TY - JOUR AU - Gompers,Paul AU - Kovner,Anna AU - Lerner,Josh AU - Scharfstein,David TI - Venture Capital Investment Cycles: The Impact of Public Markets JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11385 PY - 2005 Y2 - May 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11385 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11385.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Paul Gompers Harvard Business School Baker Library 263 Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-6297 Fax: 617/496-8443 E-Mail: pgompers@hbs.edu Anna Kovner Financial Intermediation Function Federal Reserve Bank of New York 33 Liberty Street New York, NY 10045 E-Mail: Anna.Kovner@ny.frb.org Josh Lerner Harvard Business School Rock Center 214 Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-6065 Fax: 617/496-7357 E-Mail: jlerner@hbs.edu David S. Scharfstein Harvard Business School Baker 239 Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/496-5067 Fax: 617/496-8443 E-Mail: dscharfstein@hbs.edu AB - It is well documented that the venture capital industry is highly volatile and that much of this volatility is associated with shifting valuations and activity in public equity markets. This paper examines how changes in public market signals affected venture capital investing between 1975 and 1998. We find that venture capitalists with the most industry experience increase their investments the most when public market signals become more favorable. Their reaction to an increase is greater than the reaction of venture capital organizations with relatively little industry experience and those with considerable experience but in other industries. The increase in investment rates does not affect the success of these transactions adversely to a significant extent. These findings are consistent with the view that venture capitalists rationally respond to attractive investment opportunities signaled by public market shifts. ER -