@techreport{NBERw11383, title = "Historical Perspective on Global Imbalances", author = "Michael D. Bordo", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "11383", year = "2005", month = "May", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w11383", abstract = {This paper takes an historical perspectives approach to the current episode of global imbalances. I consider four historical episodes which may give some indications as to whether the adjustment to U.S. current account deficit will lead to a 'benign' or 'gloomy' outlook. The episodes are: the transfer of capital in the earlier era of globalization the late nineteenth century; the interwar gold exchange standard; Bretton Woods; and the 1977-79 dollar crisis. I conclude that adjustment in earlier era of globalization has more resonance for the current imbalance than the other scenarios.}, }