TY - JOUR AU - Coval,Joshua D. AU - Stafford,Erik TI - Asset Fire Sales (and Purchases) in Equity Markets JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 11357 PY - 2005 Y2 - May 2005 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11357 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w11357.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joshua D. Coval Harvard Business School Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-5056 Fax: 617/496-8443 E-Mail: jcoval@hbs.edu Erik Stafford Graduate School of Business Harvard University Baker 371 Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-8064 E-Mail: estafford@hbs.edu AB - This paper examines asset fire sales, and institutional price pressure more generally, in equity markets, using market prices of mutual fund transactions caused by capital flows from 1980 to 2003. Funds experiencing large outflows (inflows) tend to decrease (increase) existing positions, which creates price pressure in the securities held in common by these funds. Forced transactions represent a significant cost of financial distress for mutual funds. We find that investors who trade against constrained mutual funds earn highly significant returns for providing liquidity when few others are willing or able. In addition, future flow-driven transactions are predictable, creating an incentive to front-run the anticipated forced trades by funds experiencing extreme capital flows. ER -