@techreport{NBERw11089, title = "Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics", author = "Francis X. Diebold and Monika Piazzesi and Glenn Rudebusch", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "11089", year = "2005", month = "January", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w11089", abstract = {From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as illustrated by much recent research, a joint macro-finance modeling strategy will provide the most comprehensive understanding of the term structure of interest rates. We discuss various questions that arise in this research, and we also present a new examination of the relationship between two prominent dynamic, latent factor models in this literature: the Nelson-Siegel and affne no-arbitrage term structure models.}, }