TY - JOUR AU - Rob,Rafael AU - Waldfogel,Joel TI - Piracy on the High C's: Music Downloading, Sales Displacement, and Social Welfare in a Sample of College Students JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10874 PY - 2004 Y2 - November 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10874 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10874.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joel Waldfogel Frederick R. Kappel Chair in Applied Economics 3-177 Carlson School of Management University of Minnesota 321 19th Avenue South Minneapolis, MN 55455 Tel: 612/626-7128 E-Mail: jwaldfog@umn.edu AB - Recording industry revenue has fallen sharply in the last three years, and some -- but not all -- observers attribute this to file sharing. We collect new data on albums obtained via purchase and downloading, as well as the consumers' valuations of these albums, among a sample of US college students in 2003. We provide new estimates of sales displacement induced by downloading using both OLS and an instrumental variables approach using access to broadband as a source of exogenous variation in downloading. Each album download reduces purchases by about 0.2 in our sample, although possibly much more. Our valuation data allow us to measure the effects of downloading on welfare as well as expenditure in a subsample of Penn undergraduates, and we find that downloading reduces their per capita expenditure (on hit albums released 1999-2003) from $126 to $100 but raises per capita consumer welfare by $70. ER -