TY - JOUR AU - Bansal,Ravi AU - Dahlquist,Magnus AU - Harvey,Campbell R. TI - Dynamic Trading Strategies and Portfolio Choice JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10820 PY - 2004 Y2 - October 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10820 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10820.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ravi Bansal Fuqua School of Business Duke University 1 Towerview Drive Durham, NC 27708 Tel: 919/660-7758 Fax: 919/660-8038 E-Mail: ravi.bansal@duke.edu Magnus Dahlquist Stockholm-SIFR E-Mail: magnus.dahlquist@sifr.org Campbell R. Harvey Duke University Fuqua School of Business Durham, NC 27708-0120 Tel: 919/660-7768 Fax: 919/660-8030 E-Mail: cam.harvey@duke.edu AB - Traditional mean-variance efficient portfolios do not capture the potential wealth creation opportunities provided by predictability of asset returns. We propose a simple method for constructing optimally managed portfolios that exploits the possibility that asset returns are predictable. We implement these portfolios in both single and multi-period horizon settings. We compare alternative portfolio strategies which include both buy-and-hold and fixed weight portfolios. We find that managed portfolios can significantly improve the mean-variance trade-off, in particular, for investors with investment horizons of three to five years. Also, in contrast to popular advice, we show that the buy-and-hold strategy should be avoided. ER -