@techreport{NBERw10741, title = "On the Timing of Innovation in Stochastic Schumpeterian Growth Models", author = "Gadi Barlevy", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "10741", year = "2004", month = "September", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w10741", abstract = {Recent work has revived the Schumpeterian hypothesis that recessions facilitate innovation and growth. But a major source of productivity growth, research and development, is actually procyclical. This paper argues that while it is optimal to concentrate growth-enhancing activities in downturns, dynamic spillovers inherent to the R&D process lead private agents to concentrate too much of their R&D activity in booms, precisely when its social cost is highest. Thus, while previous literature has argued recessions promote growth and intertemporal substitution is a desirable consequence of fluctuations, in the case of R&D recessions discourage growth and intertemporal substitution proves to be a social liability.}, }