NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Transition Dynamics in Vintage Capital Models: Explaining the Postwar Catch-Up of Germany and Japan

Simon Gilchrist, John C. Williams

NBER Working Paper No. 10732
Issued in September 2004
NBER Program(s):   EFG   ME

We consider a neoclassical interpretation of Germany and Japan's rapid postwar growth that relies on a catch-up mechanism through capital accumulation where technology is embodied in new capital goods. Using a putty-clay model of production and investment, we are able to capture many of the key empirical properties of Germany and Japan's postwar transitions, including persistently high but declining rates of labor and total-factor productivity growth, a U-shaped response of the capital-output ratio, rising rates of investment and employment, and moderate rates of return to capital.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w10732

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