NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Should We Fear Derivatives?

Rene M. Stulz

NBER Working Paper No. 10574
Issued in June 2004
NBER Program(s):   CF   AP

This paper discusses the extent to which derivatives pose threats to firms and to the economy. After reviewing the derivatives markets and putting in perspective the various measures of the size of these markets, the paper shows who uses derivatives and why. The difficulties firms face in valuing derivatives portfolios are evaluated. Although academics pay much attention to no-arbitrage pricing results, the paper points out that there can be considerable subjectivity in the pricing of derivatives that do not have highly liquid markets. It is shown that the known risks of derivatives portfolios can generally be measured and managed well at the firm level. However, derivatives can create systemic risks when a market participant becomes excessively large relative to particular derivatives markets. Overall, the benefits of derivatives outweigh the potential threats.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w10574

Published: Stulz, Rene M. "Should We Fear Derivatives?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004, v18(3,Summer), 173-192.

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