TY - JOUR AU - Gilchrist,Simon AU - Himmelberg,Charles P. AU - Huberman,Gur TI - Do Stock Price Bubbles Influence Corporate Investment? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10537 PY - 2004 Y2 - June 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10537 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10537.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Simon Gilchrist Department of Economics Boston University 270 Bay State Road Boston, MA 02215 Tel: 617/353-6824 Fax: NA E-Mail: sgilchri@bu.edu Charles Himmelberg Goldman, Sachs & Co. Global Investment Research, 22nd floor 200 West Street New York, NY 10004 Tel: 917-343-3218 E-Mail: charles.himmelberg@gs.com Gur Huberman Columbia Business School 3022 Broadway, Uris Hall 807 New York, NY Tel: 212/854-4100 Fax: 212-662-8474 E-Mail: gh16@columbia.edu AB - Building on recent developments in behavioral asset pricing, we develop a model in which dispersion of investor beliefs under short-selling constraints drives a firm's stock price above its fundamental value. Managers optimally respond to the stock market bubble by issuing new equity. The bubble reduces the user-cost of capital and increase real investment. Using the variance of analysts' earnings forecasts as a proxy for the dispersion of investor beliefs, we find strong empirical support for the model's key prediction that increases in dispersion cause increases in new equity issuance, Tobin's Q, and real investment. ER -