TY - JOUR AU - Barlevy,Gadi AU - Tsiddon,Daniel TI - Earnings Inequality and the Business Cycle JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10469 PY - 2004 Y2 - May 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10469 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10469.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gadi Barlevy Economic Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 230 South LaSalle Chicago, IL 60604 Tel: 312/322-6379 Fax: 312/322-2357 E-Mail: gbarlevy@frbchi.org Daniel Tsiddon Department of Economics Tel-Aviv University Ramat-Aviv Tel-Aviv 69978 ISRAEL Tel: NA E-Mail: tsiddon@post.tau.ac.il AB - Economists have long viewed recessions as contributing to increasing inequality. However, this conclusion is largely based on data from a period in which inequality was increasing over time. This paper examines the connection between long-run trends and cyclical variation in earnings inequality. We develop a model in which cyclical and trend inequality are related, and find that in our model, recessions tend to amplify long-run trends, i.e. they involve more rapidly increasing inequality more when long-run inequality is increasing, and more rapidly decreasing inequality when long-run inequality is decreasing. In support of this prediction, we present evidence that during the first half of the 20th Century when earnings inequality was generally declining, earnings disparities indeed appeared to fall more rapidly in downturns, at least among workers at the top of the earnings distribution. ER -