TY  - JOUR
AU  - Choi,James J.
AU  - Laibson,David
AU  - Madrian,Brigitte C.
AU  - Metrick,Andrew
TI  - Consumption-Wealth Comovement of the Wrong Sign
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 10454
PY  - 2004
Y2  - April 2004
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10454
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10454.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
James J. Choi
Yale School of Management
135 Prospect Street
P.O. Box 208200
New Haven, CT 06520-8200
E-Mail: james.choi@yale.edu

David Laibson
Department of Economics
Littauer M-12
Harvard University
Cambridge, MA 02138
Tel: 617/496-3402
Fax: 617/495-8570
E-Mail: dlaibson@gmail.com

Brigitte C. Madrian
John F. Kennedy School of Government
Harvard University
79 JFK Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
Tel: 617-495-8917
Fax: 617-496-5960
E-Mail: Brigitte_Madrian@Harvard.edu

Andrew Metrick
Yale School of Management
135 Prospect Street
P.O. Box 208200
New Haven, CT 06520
Tel: 203/432-3069
E-Mail: metrick@yale.edu
AB  - Economic theory predicts that an unexpected wealth windfall should increase consumption shortly after the windfall is received. We test this prediction using administrative records on over 40,000 401(k) accounts. Contrary to theory, we estimate a negative short-run marginal propensity to consume out of idiosyncratic 401(k) capital gains shocks. These results cannot be interpreted as standard intertemporal substitution, since the idiosyncratic returns that we study do not predict future returns. Instead, our findings imply that many investors are influenced by a positive feedback effect, through which higher recent returns encourage higher short-run saving. Like any other animal, 401(k) participants appear to increase behaviors that have been associated with high rewards in the past.
ER  -