TY - JOUR AU - Gilchrist,Simon AU - Williams,John C. TI - Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10446 PY - 2004 Y2 - April 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10446 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10446.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Simon Gilchrist Department of Economics Boston University 270 Bay State Road Boston, MA 02215 Tel: 617/353-6824 Fax: NA E-Mail: sgilchri@bu.edu John Williams Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Research Department, MS 1130 101 Market St. San Francisco, CA 94105 Tel: (415) 974-2240 Fax: (415) 974-2168 E-Mail: john.c.williams@sf.frb.org AB - We embed the microeconomic decisions associated with investment under uncertainty, capacity utilization, and machine replacement in a general equilibrium model based on putty-clay technology. In the presence of irreversible factor proportions, a mean-preserving spread in the productivity of investment raises aggregate investment, productivity, and output. Increases in uncertainty have important dynamic implications, causing sustained increases in investment and hours and a medium-term expansion in the growth rate of labor productivity. ER -