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Andrew Rose
NBER Working Paper No. 10373*
Issued in March 2004
NBER Program(s): IFM
ITI
---- Abstract -----
Thirty-four recent studies have investigated the effect of currency union on trade, resulting in 754 point estimates of the effect. This paper is a quantitative attempt to summarize the current state of debate; meta-analysis is used to combine the disparate estimates. The chief findings are that: a) the hypothesis that there is no effect of currency union on trade can be rejected at standard significance levels; b) the combined estimate implies that a bilateral currency union increase trade by between 30% and 90%; and c) the estimates are heterogeneous and not consistently tied to most features of the studies.
*Published: Rose, Andrew and T. D. Stanley. "A Meta-Analysis Of The Effect Of Common Currencies On International Trade," Journal of Economic Surveys, 2005, v19(3,Jul), 347-365.
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