TY - JOUR AU - Poterba,James TI - Taxation and Corporate Payout Policy JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10321 PY - 2004 Y2 - February 2004 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10321 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10321.pdf N1 - Author contact info: James M. Poterba Department of Economics MIT, E52-350 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142-1347 Tel: 617/253-6673 Fax: 617/258-7804 E-Mail: poterba@nber.org AB - This paper presents new evidence on how corporate payout policy responds to the differential between the tax burden on dividend income and that on accruing capital gains. It describes the construction of weighted average marginal tax rate series for the period since 1929, and it suggests that the enactment of the Job Growth of Taxpayer Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 should raise the after-tax value of dividends relative to capital gains by more than five percentage points. The impact of this change on payout depends on the elasticity of dividend payments with respect to the after-tax value of dividend income relative to capital gains. Time series estimates suggest an elasticity of more than three, and imply that the recent tax reform could ultimately increase dividends by almost twenty percent. ER -