TY - JOUR AU - Diamond,Douglas W. AU - Rajan,Raghuram G. TI - Liquidity Shortages and Banking Crises JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 10071 PY - 2003 Y2 - November 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10071 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w10071.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Douglas W. Diamond Booth School of Business University of Chicago 5807 S Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-7283 Fax: 773/834-9134 E-Mail: douglas.diamond@chicagobooth.edu Raghuram Rajan Booth School of Business University of Chicago 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-4437 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: raghuram.rajan@ChicagoBooth.edu AB - We show in this paper that bank failures can be contagious. Unlike earlier work where contagion stems from depositor panics or ex ante contractual links between banks, we argue bank failures can shrink the common pool of liquidity, creating or exacerbating aggregate liquidity shortages. This could lead to a contagion of failures and a possible total meltdown of the system. Given the costs of a meltdown, there is a possible role for government intervention. Unfortunately, liquidity problems and solvency problems interact and can cause each other, making it hard to determine the root cause of a crisis from observable factors. We propose a robust sequence of intervention. ER -