TY - JOUR AU - Flood,Robert P. AU - Garber,Peter M. TI - A Systematic Banking Collapse in a Perfect Foresight World JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 691 PY - 1981 Y2 - June 1981 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0691 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0691.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert Flood Notre Dame E-Mail: rflood1@nd.edu Peter M. Garber Deutsche Bank 60 Wall Street New York, NY 10005 Tel: 212/250-5466 Fax: 212/250-2628 E-Mail: peter.garber@db.com AB - In this paper we present a model in which a systematic banking collapse is possible in a perfect foresight, general equilibrium context. Our aim is to determine con3itions under which a collapse will eventually occur and the timing of such a collapse. The collapse can occur endogenously, driven by market fundamentals. Alternatively, it can be caused by a mass hysteria which generates itself in reality. Vie also compare the assumptions and implications of our model to the observable phenomena of the 1930's. ER -