@techreport{NBERw0691, title = "A Systematic Banking Collapse in a Perfect Foresight World", author = "Robert P. Flood and Peter M. Garber", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "691", year = "1981", month = "June", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w0691", abstract = {In this paper we present a model in which a systematic banking collapse is possible in a perfect foresight, general equilibrium context. Our aim is to determine con3itions under which a collapse will eventually occur and the timing of such a collapse. The collapse can occur endogenously, driven by market fundamentals. Alternatively, it can be caused by a mass hysteria which generates itself in reality. Vie also compare the assumptions and implications of our model to the observable phenomena of the 1930's.}, }