TY - JOUR AU - Mishkin,Frederic S. TI - Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates: An Efficient Markets Approach JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 517 PY - 1981 Y2 - April 1981 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0517 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0517.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Frederic S. Mishkin Columbia University Graduate School of Business Uris Hall 817 3022 Broadway New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212-854-3488 Fax: 212/662-8474 E-Mail: fsm3@columbia.edu AB - This paper is an application of efficient markets theory to analyze empirically the relationship of money supply growth and long-term interest rates. This approach has the advantage over earlier research on this subject in that it imposes a theoretical structure on this relationship that allows easier interpretation of the empirical results as well as more powerful statistical tests. In the interest of ascertaining the robustness of the results, many different empirical tests are carried out in this paper, and they uniformly do not support the proposition that increases in the money supply are correlated with declines in long rates. ER -