TY - JOUR AU - Gordon,Roger H. AU - Blinder,Alan S. TI - Market Wages, Reservation Wages, and Retirement Decisions JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 513 PY - 1980 Y2 - July 1980 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0513 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0513.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Roger H. Gordon Department of Economics 0508 University of California, San Diego 9500 Gilman Drive, Dept. 0508 La Jolla, CA 92093 Tel: 858/534-4828 Fax: 858/534-7040 E-Mail: rogordon@ucsd.edu Alan S. Blinder Department of Economics Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544-1021 Tel: 609/258-3358 Fax: 609/258-5398 E-Mail: blinder@princeton.edu M1 - published as Roger H. Gordon, Alan S. Blinder. "Market wages, reservation wages, and retirement decisions," in Anthony Atkinson and David F. Bradford, organizers, "Econometric Studies in Public Finance" Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 14, no. 2 (Elsevier Sequoia S. A.) (1980) AB - The paper is an empirical cross-section study of the retirement decisions of American white men between the ages of 58 and 67. predicated on the theoretical notion that an individual retires when his reservation wage exceeds his market wage. Reservation wages are derived from an explicit utility function in which the most critical taste parameter is assumed to vary both systematically and randomly across individuals. Market wages are derived from a standard wage equation adjusted to the special circumstances of older workers. The two equations are estimated jointly by maximum likelihood, which takes into account the potential selectivity bias inherent in the model (low-wage individuals tend to retire and cease reporting their market wage). The model is reasonably successful in predicting retirement decisions, and casts serious doubt on previous claims that the social security system induces many workers to retire earlier than they otherwise would. The normal effects of aging (on both market and reservation wages) and the incentives set up by private pension plans are estimated to be major causes of retirement. ER -