TY  - JOUR
AU  - Gordon,Roger H.
AU  - Bradford,David F.
TI  - Taxation and the Stock Market Valuation of Capital Gains and Dividends: Theory and Empirical Results (Rev)
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 409
PY  - 1981
Y2  - May 1981
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0409
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w0409.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Roger H. Gordon
Department of Economics 0508
University of California, San Diego
9500 Gilman Drive, Dept. 0508
La Jolla, CA 92093
Tel: 858/534-4828
Fax: 858/534-7040
E-Mail: rogordon@ucsd.edu

David F. Bradford
Woodrow Wilson School
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ 08544-1013
Tel: 609/258-1856
Fax: 609/258-2809
E-Mail: BRADFORD@PRINCETON.EDU
AB  - Dividends seem to be more heavily taxed than capital gains. Why then do corporations pay dividends rather than repurchasing shares or retaining earnings? Either corporations are not acting in the interests of shareholders, or else shareholders desire dividends sufficiently for nontax reasons to offset the tax effect. In this paper, we measure the relative valuation of dividends and capital gains in the stock market, using a variant of the capital asset pricing model. We find that dividends are not valued differently systematically from capital gains. This finding is consistent with share price maximization by firms but inconsistent with the fact that most shareholders pay a heavier tax on dividends. We also show that the relative value of dividends provides an indirect measure of a marginal Tobin's q. The measured value of dividends relative to capital gains tends to be higher during prosperous periods, as is consistent with this interpretation. We hope that this time series on a marginal Tobin's q will prove to be useful in forecasting the rate of investment.
ER  -