TY - JOUR AU - McCrary,Justin TI - Manipulation of the Running Variable in the Regression Discontinuity Design: A Density Test JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Technical Working Paper Series VL - No. 334 PY - 2007 Y2 - January 2007 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0334 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0334.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Justin McCrary School of Law University of California, Berkeley 586 Simon Hall Berkeley, CA 94720-7200 Tel: (510) 643-6252 E-Mail: jmccrary@law.berkeley.edu AB - Standard sufficient conditions for identification in the regression discontinuity design are continuity of the conditional expectation of counterfactual outcomes in the running variable. These continuity assumptions may not be plausible if agents are able to manipulate the running variable. This paper develops a test of manipulation related to continuity of the running variable density function. The methodology is applied to popular elections to the House of Representatives, where sorting is neither expected nor found, and to roll-call voting in the House, where sorting is both expected and found. ER -