TY - JOUR AU - Cipollini,Fabrizio AU - Engle,Robert F. AU - Gallo,Giampiero M. TI - Vector Multiplicative Error Models: Representation and Inference JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Technical Working Paper Series VL - No. 331 PY - 2006 Y2 - November 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0331 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0331.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Fabrizio Cipollini Viale Morgagni 59-50134 Firenze Italy E-Mail: cipollin@ds.unifi.it Robert F. Engle, III Department of Finance, Stern School of Business New York University, Salomon Center 44 West 4th Street, Suite 9-160 New York, NY 10012-1126 Tel: 212/998-0710 Fax: 212/995-4220 E-Mail: rengle@stern.nyu.edu Giampiero M.. Gallo Dipartimento di Statistica "G.Parenti" Viale G.B. Morgagni, 59 50134 Firenze – Italy E-Mail: gallog@ds.unifi.it AB - The Multiplicative Error Model introduced by Engle (2002) for positive valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with positive support. In this paper we propose a multi-variate extension of such a model, by taking into consideration the possibility that the vector innovation process be contemporaneously correlated. The estimation procedure is hindered by the lack of probability density functions for multivariate positive valued random variables. We suggest the use of copulafunctions and of estimating equations to jointly estimate the parameters of the scale factors and of the correlations of the innovation processes. Empirical applications on volatility indicators are used to illustrate the gains over the equation by equation procedure. ER -