TY - JOUR AU - Athanasoulis,Stefano AU - Shiller,Robert J. TI - The Significance of the Market Portfolio JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Technical Working Paper Series VL - No. 209 PY - 1997 Y2 - February 1997 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0209 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0209.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert J. Shiller Yale University, Cowles Foundation Box 208281 30 Hillhouse Avenue New Haven, CT 06520-8281 Tel: 203/432-3708 Fax: 203/432-6167 E-Mail: robert.shiller@yale.edu AB - The market portfolio is in one sense the least important portfolio to provide to investors. In an J-agent one-period stochastic endowment economy, where preferences are quadratic, a social-welfare-minded contract designer would never create a contract that would allow trading the market portfolio. Even the complete set of contracts, all J 1 of them, which achieve a first best solution, never span the market portfolio. These conclusions rely on the assumption that the contract designer has perfect information about agents' utilities. We also show that as the contract designer's information about agents' utilities becomes more imperfect, the optimal contracts approach contracts that weight individual endowments in proportion to elements of eigenvectors of the variance matrix of endowments. Then, if there is a strong enough market component to endowments, a portfolio approximating the market portfolio may be the most important portfolio. ER -