TY - JOUR AU - Abowd,John M. AU - Crepon,Bruno AU - Kramarz,Francis AU - Trognon,Alain TI - A La Recherche des Moments Perdus: Covariance Models for Unbalanced Panels with Endogenous Death JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Technical Working Paper Series VL - No. 180 PY - 1995 Y2 - May 1995 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0180 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0180.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John M. Abowd School of Industrial and Labor Relations 261 Ives Hall Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 Tel: 607/255-8024 Fax: 866/873-9078 E-Mail: John.Abowd@cornell.edu Bruno Crepon CREST 15, boulevard Gabriel Peri 92245 Malakoff Cedex France E-Mail: crepon@ensae.fr Francis Kramarz CREST-INSEE 15 blvd Gabriel Peri Malakoff CEDEX, 92245 FRANCE E-Mail: kramarz@ensae.fr AB - We develop a model for decomposing the covariance structure of panel data on firms into a part due to permanent heterogeneity, a part due to differential histories with unknown ages, and a part due to the evolution of economic shocks to the firm. Our model allows for the endogenous death of firms and correctly handles the problems arising from the estimation of this death process. We implement this model on an unbalanced longitudinal sample of French firms which have both known and unknown ages and histories. For firms with unknown birthdates, we find that the structural autocorrelation in employment, compensation and capital is dominated by the part due to initial heterogeneity and random growth rates. Serial correlation in the periodic shocks is less important. For these firms, profitability, value-added and indebtedness have processes in which the heterogeneity components are less important. Firms with known birthdates and histories (which are younger than the censored firms) have autocorrelation structures dominated by the heterogeneity. ER -