TY - JOUR AU - Watson,Mark W. TI - Measures of Fit for Calibrated Models JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Technical Working Paper Series VL - No. 102 PY - 1991 Y2 - May 1991 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0102 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0102.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Mark W. Watson Department of Economics Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544-1013 Tel: 609/258-4811 Fax: 609/258-5533 E-Mail: mwatson@princeton.edu AB - This paper develops a new procedure for assessing how well a given dynamic economic model describes a set of economic time series. To answer the question, the variables in the model are augmented with just enough error so that the model can exactly mimic the second moment properties of the actual data. The properties of this error provide a useful diagnostic for the economic model, since they show the dimensions in which model fits the data relatively well and the dimensions in which it fits the data relatively poorly. ER -