TY - JOUR AU - Quandt,Richard E. AU - Rosen,Harvey S. TI - Is There Chronic Excess Supply of Labor? Designing a Statistical Test JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Technical Working Paper Series VL - No. 46 PY - 1985 Y2 - April 1985 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0046 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/t0046.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Harvey S. Rosen Department of Economics Fisher Hall Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544-1021 Tel: 609/258-4022 Fax: 609/258-6419 E-Mail: HSR@princeton.edu AB - In this paper we present and implement a statistical test of the hypothesis that the labor market has chronic excess supply. The procedure is to estimate a disequilibrium labor market model, and construct a test statistic based on the unconditional probability that there is excess supply each period. We find that the data reject the hypothesis of chronic excess supply. Hence, one cannot assume that all observations lie on the demand curve. ER -