NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Asset Pricing Theories

Michael Rothschild

NBER Technical Working Paper No. 44
Issued in March 1985
NBER Program(s):   ME

This article compares two leading models of asset pricing: the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the arbitrage pricing theory (APT): I argue that while the APT is compatible with the data available for testing theories of asset pricing, the CAPM is not. In reaching this conclusion emphasis is placed on the distinction between the unconditional (relatively incomplete) information which econometricians must use to estimate asset pricing models and the conditional (complete) information which investors use in making the portfolio decisions which determine asset prices. Empirical work to date suggests that it is unlikely that the APT will produce a simple equation which explains differences in risk premium well with a few parameters. If the CAPM were correct, it would provide such an equation.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/t0044

Published: Heller, Walter P., Ross M. Starr and David Starrett (eds.) Uncertainty, Information and Communication. Essays in Honor of Kenneth J. Arrow, Vol. III. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1986.

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