A Disaggregated Structural Model of the Treasury Securities, Corporate Bond, and Equity Markets: Estimation and Simulation Results
NBER Technical Working Paper No. 7
The estimation and simulation results of a disaggregated structural model of u\U.S. security markets are presented in this paper. The model consists of estimated demands for corporate bonds, equities, and four distinct maturity classes of Treasury securities by 11 categories of investors. The model is closed with the addition of six market-clearing identities equating market demands with exogenous supplies. The empirical results provide support to the model's specification and indicate that the "within-sample forecasts" of the six endogenous security yields closely track historical data.