NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Financial Economics

General Financial Markets


2009
w15538 Marcin Kacperczyk
Philipp Schnabl

When Safe Proved Risky: Commercial Paper During the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009

w15533 Torben G. Andersen
Dobrislav Dobrev
Ernst Schaumburg

Jump-Robust Volatility Estimation using Nearest Neighbor Truncation

w15528 Katheryn N. Russ
Diego Valderrama

Financial Choice in a Non-Ricardian Model of Trade

w15518 Òscar Jordà
Alan M. Taylor

The Carry Trade and Fundamentals: Nothing to Fear But FEER Itself

w15515 Christian Laux
Christian Leuz

Did Fair-Value Accounting Contribute to the Financial Crisis?

w15513 Mikhail Golosov
Guido Lorenzoni
Aleh Tsyvinski

Decentralized Trading with Private Information

w15506 Jaroslav Borovička
Lars Peter Hansen
Mark Hendricks
José A. Scheinkman

Risk Price Dynamics

w15504 Ravi Bansal
Dana Kiku
Amir Yaron

An Empirical Evaluation of the Long-Run Risks Model for Asset Prices

w15502 William N. Goetzmann
Luc Renneboog
Christophe Spaenjers

Art and Money

w15487 Dimitri Vayanos
Jean-Luc Vila

A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

w15484 Joshua Aizenman
Hoarding International Reserves Versus a Pigovian Tax-Cum-Subsidy Scheme: Reflections on the Deleveraging Crisis of 2008-9, and a Cost Benefit Analysis

w15481 Wei Xiong
Jialin Yu

The Chinese Warrants Bubble

w15479 Ricardo J. Caballero
Alp Simsek

Fire Sales in a Model of Complexity

w15472 Wenli Li
Michelle J. White

Mortgage Default, Foreclosure, and Bankruptcy

w15462 Todd M. Sinai
Nicholas S. Souleles

Can Owning a Home Hedge the Risk of Moving?

w15457 Nicolae Gârleanu
Leonid Kogan
Stavros Panageas

The Demographics of Innovation and Asset Returns

w15452 Eduardo Borensztein
Olivier Jeanne
Damiano Sandri

Macro-Hedging for Commodity Exporters

w15399 François Gourio
Disasters Risk and Business Cycles

w15384 René M. Stulz
Credit Default Swaps and the Credit Crisis

w15382 Yi-Li Chien
Harold L. Cole
Hanno Lustig

Is the Volatility of the Market Price of Risk due to Intermittent Portfolio Re-balancing?

w15381 David B. Brown
Bruce Ian Carlin
Miguel Sousa Lobo

On the Scholes Liquidation Problem

w15362 Amir E. Khandani
Andrew W. Lo
Robert C. Merton

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

w15353 Sergio Mayordomo
Juan Ignacio Peña
Eduardo S. Schwartz

Towards a Common European Monetary Union Risk Free Rate

w15340 Nicolae B. Gârleanu
Stavros Panageas
Jianfeng Yu

Technological Growth and Asset Pricing

w15338 Urban Jermann
Vincenzo Quadrini

Macroeconomic Effects of Financial Shocks

w15336 George O. Aragon
Philip E. Strahan

Hedge Funds as Liquidity Providers: Evidence from the Lehman Bankruptcy

w15335 Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Roman Kräussl
Joshua Pollet

Risk and Expected Returns of Private Equity Investments: Evidence Based on Market Prices

w15333 Douglas W. Blackburn
William N. Goetzmann
Andrey D. Ukhov

Risk Aversion and Clientele Effects

w15332 Rik G.P. Frehen
William N. Goetzmann
K. Geert Rouwenhorst

New Evidence on the First Financial Bubble

w15331 Dion Bongaerts
K.J. Martijn Cremers
William N. Goetzmann

Multiple Ratings and Credit Spreads

w15327 Clemens Sialm
Laura Starks

Mutual Fund Tax Clienteles

w15318 Yong Chen
Wayne Ferson
Helen Peters

Measuring the Timing Ability and Performance of Bond Mutual Funds

w15317 Ning Tang
Olivia S. Mitchell
Gary R. Mottola
Stephen Utkus

The Efficiency of Sponsor and Participant Portfolio Choices in 401(k) Plans

w15307 Motohiro Yogo
Portfolio Choice in Retirement: Health Risk and the Demand for Annuities, Housing, and Risky Assets

w15298 Stefano DellaVigna
Matthew Gentzkow

Persuasion: Empirical Evidence

w15297 Lasse Heje Pedersen
When Everyone Runs for the Exit

w15295 Yannick Malevergne
Pedro Santa-Clara
Didier Sornette

Professor Zipf goes to Wall Street

w15273 Gary B. Gorton
Andrew Metrick

Haircuts

w15270 Andrew Ang
Jean Boivin
Sen Dong
Rudy Loo-Kung

Monetary Policy Shifts and the Term Structure

w15260 Lieven Baele
Geert Bekaert
Koen Inghelbrecht

The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements

w15254 Chris Edmond
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Aggregate Implications of Micro Asset Market Segmentation

w15247 Robert J. Barro
Tao Jin

On the Size Distribution of Macroeconomic Disasters

w15243 Fatih Guvenen
A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing

w15240 David Backus
Mikhail Chernov
Ian Martin

Disasters implied by equity index options

w15227 Yosef Bonaparte
Russell Cooper

Costly Portfolio Adjustment

w15223 Gary B. Gorton
Andrew Metrick

Securitized Banking and the Run on Repo

w15222 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom

Asset Return Dynamics under Bad Environment Good Environment Fundamentals

w15219 Long Chen
Lu Zhang

The stock market and aggregate employment

w15215 Dimitri Vayanos
Jiang Wang

Liquidity and Asset Prices: A Unified Framework

w15205 Nicolae B. Garleanu
Lasse H. Pedersen

Dynamic Trading with Predictable Returns and Transaction Costs

w15189 Leonid Kogan
Stephen Ross
Jiang Wang
Mark M. Westerfield

Market Selection

w15188 Sydney C. Ludvigson
Serena Ng

A Factor Analysis of Bond Risk Premia

w15180 Andrea Beltratti
René M. Stulz

Why Did Some Banks Perform Better During the Credit Crisis? A Cross-Country Study of the Impact of Governance and Regulation

w15170 John Geanakoplos
Stephen P. Zeldes

Market Valuation of Accrued Social Security Benefits

w15145 Luigi Guiso
Paola Sapienza
Luigi Zingales

Moral and Social Constraints to Strategic Default on Mortgages

w15139 Bruce Ian Carlin
Simon Gervais
Gustavo Manso

When Does Libertarian Paternalism Work?

w15128 Marc Flandreau
Juan H. Flores
Norbert Gaillard
Sebastián Nieto-Parra

The End of Gatekeeping: Underwriters and the Quality of Sovereign Bond Markets, 1815-2007

w15108 Olivia S. Mitchell
Gary R. Mottola
Stephen P. Utkus
Takeshi Yamaguchi

Default, Framing and Spillover Effects: The Case of Lifecycle Funds in 401(k) Plans

w15079 Jingjing Chai
Wolfram Horneff
Raimond Maurer
Olivia S. Mitchell

Extending Life Cycle Models of Optimal Portfolio Choice: Integrating Flexible Work, Endogenous Retirement, and Investment Decisions with Lifetime Payouts

w15052 Robert B. Barsky
The Japanese Bubble: A 'Heterogeneous' Approach

w15047 Raymond Kan
Cesare Robotti
Jay Shanken

Pricing Model Performance and the Two-Pass Cross-Sectional Regression Methodology

w15040 Arvind Krishnamurthy
Amplification Mechanisms in Liquidity Crises

w15038 Vincent Glode
Burton Hollifield
Marcin Kacperczyk
Shimon Kogan

Is Investor Rationality Time Varying? Evidence from the Mutual Fund Industry

w15028 Farley Grubb
Land Policy: Founding Choices and Outcomes, 1781-1802

w15024 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom

Inflation and the Stock Market:Understanding the "Fed Model"

w15023 Dhammika Dharmapala
C. Fritz Foley
Kristin J. Forbes

Watch What I Do, Not What I Say: The Unintended Consequences of the Homeland Investment Act

w15020 Yuko Hashimoto
Takatoshi Ito

Effects of Japanese Macroeconomic Announcements on the Dollar/Yen Exchange Rate: High-Resolution Picture

w15014 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller
Luis M. Viceira

Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets

w15010 Andrew B. Abel
Janice C. Eberly
Stavros Panageas

Optimal Inattention to the Stock Market with Information Costs and Transactions Costs

w15009 Bruno Biais
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Liquidity Shocks and Order Book Dynamics

w14997 Ricardo J. Caballero
Alp Simsek

Complexity and Financial Panics

w14972 Bruce I. Carlin
Simon Gervais

Legal Protection in Retail Financial Markets

w14971 Roger K. Loh
René M. Stulz

When are Analyst Recommendation Changes Influential?

w14961 Juan Carlos Gozzi
Ross Levine
Sergio L. Schmukler

Patterns of International Capital Raisings

w14944 Gary B. Gorton
Lixin Huang
Qiang Kang

The Limitations of Stock Market Efficiency: Price Informativeness and CEO Turnover

w14932 Joseph Golec
John Vernon

What's the "Interest" in FDA Drug Advisory Committee Conflicts of Interest?

w14931 Söhnke M. Bartram
Gregory Brown
René M. Stulz

Why Do Foreign Firms Have Less Idiosyncratic Risk than U.S. Firms?

w14913 David S. Bates
U.S. Stock Market Crash Risk, 1926-2006

w14904 Barry Eichengreen
Ashoka Mody
Milan Nedeljkovic
Lucio Sarno

How the Subprime Crisis Went Global: Evidence from Bank Credit Default Swap Spreads

w14903 Jennifer Huang
Clemens Sialm
Hanjiang Zhang

Risk Shifting and Mutual Fund Performance

w14898 Veronica Guerrieri
Péter Kondor

Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility

w14897 Christian Leuz
Catherine Schrand

Disclosure and the Cost of Capital: Evidence from Firms’ Responses to the Enron Shock

w14892 Eric Hilt
Wall Street's First Corporate Governance Crisis: The Panic of 1826

w14890 Darren J. Kisgen
Philip E. Strahan

Do Regulations Based on Credit Ratings Affect a Firm's Cost of Capital?

w14889 Zhi Da
Re-Jin Guo
Ravi Jagannathan

CAPM for Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital: Interpreting the Empirical Evidence

w14881 Richard A. Lambert
Christian Leuz
Robert E. Verrecchia

Information Asymmetry, Information Precision, and the Cost of Capital

w14871 Francis A. Longstaff
Brett Myers

Valuing Toxic Assets: An Analysis of CDO Equity

w14866 John Y. Campbell
Stefano Giglio
Parag Pathak

Forced Sales and House Prices

w14863 Simon Gilchrist
Vladimir Yankov
Egon Zakrajsek

Credit Market Shocks and Economic Fluctuations: Evidence from Corporate Bond and Stock Markets

w14859 John Beshears
James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

How Does Simplified Disclosure Affect Individuals' Mutual Fund Choices?

w14848 Hui Chen
Jianjun Miao
Neng Wang

Entrepreneurial Finance and Non-diversifiable Risk

w14845 Patrick Bolton
Hui Chen
Neng Wang

A Unified Theory of Tobin's q, Corporate Investment, Financing, and Risk Management

w14843 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey
Christian Lundblad

Financial Openness and Productivity

w14821 Joshua Aizenman
Gurnain Kaur Pasricha

Selective Swap Arrangements and the Global Financial Crisis: Analysis and Interpretation

w14815 Ravi Bansal
Ivan Shaliastovich

Confidence Risk and Asset Prices

w14814 Ravi Bansal
Ivan Shaliastovich

Learning and Asset-Price Jumps

w14813 Ulrike Malmendier
Stefan Nagel

Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking?

w14804 Turan G. Bali
Nusret Cakici
Robert F. Whitelaw

Maxing Out: Stocks as Lotteries and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

w14802 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey
Christian Lundblad
Stephan Siegel

What Segments Equity Markets?

w14788 Jason Beeler
John Y. Campbell

The Long-Run Risks Model and Aggregate Asset Prices: An Empirical Assessment

w14772 Lars Ljungqvist
Harald Uhlig

Optimal Endowment Destruction under Campbell-Cochrane Habit Formation

w14760 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursúa

Stock-Market Crashes and Depressions

w14757 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Are Stocks Really Less Volatile in the Long Run?

w14735 Reint Gropp
Anil Kashyap

A New Metric for Banking Integration in Europe

w14734 Pierpaolo Benigno
Salvatore Nisticò

International Portfolio Allocation under Model Uncertainty

w14733 Jung-Wook Kim
Jason Lee
Randall Morck

Characteristics of Observed Limit Order Demand and Supply Schedules for Individual Stocks

w14701 John Y. Campbell
Adi Sunderam
Luis M. Viceira

Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds

w14699 Laurent E. Calvet
John Y. Campbell
Paolo Sodini

Measuring the Financial Sophistication of Households

w14691 Maurice Obstfeld
International Finance and Growth in Developing Countries: What Have We Learned?

w14698 Martin Lettau
Jessica A. Wachter

The Term Structures of Equity and Interest Rates

w14688 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Global Imbalances and Financial Fragility

w14687 Francis A. Longstaff
Municipal Debt and Marginal Tax Rates: Is there a Tax Premium in Asset Prices?

w14678 Frederic S. Mishkin
Is Monetary Policy Effective During Financial Crises?

w14669 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Momentum traders in the housing market: survey evidence and a search model

w14665 Jonathan A. Parker
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

Who Bears Aggregate Fluctuations and How?

w14649 Gary B. Gorton
Information, Liquidity, and the (Ongoing) Panic of 2007


2008
w14629 Bernard Dumas
Andrew Lyasoff

Incomplete-Market Equilibria Solved Recursively on an Event Tree

w14625 Patrick Bajari
Chenghuan Sean Chu
Minjung Park

An Empirical Model of Subprime Mortgage Default From 2000 to 2007

w14609 Zhi Da
Pengjie Gao
Ravi Jagannathan

Informed Trading, Liquidity Provision, and Stock Selection by Mutual Funds

w14602 Matthew J. Higgins
Paula E. Stephan
Jerry G. Thursby

Conveying Quality and Value in Emerging Industries: Star Scientists and the Role of Learning in Biotechnology

w14597 Richard M. Levich
Valerio Poti

Predictability and 'Good Deals' in Currency Markets

w14583 Zoran Ivkovich
Scott Weisbenner

Individual Investor Mutual-Fund Flows

w14581 Robert E. Hall
Equity Depletion from Government-Guaranteed Debt

w14571 Miguel A. Ferreira
Pedro Santa-Clara

Forecasting Stock Market Returns: The Sum of the Parts is More than the Whole

w14544 George M. Constantinides
Jens Carsten Jackwerth
Stylianos Perrakis

Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options

w14543 George M. Constantinides
Anisha Ghosh

Asset Pricing Tests with Long Run Risks in Consumption Growth

w14528 Stephen Gilmore
Fumio Hayashi

Emerging Market Currency Excess Returns

w14525 Thomas J. Brennan
Andrew W. Lo

Impossible Frontiers

w14523 Dimitri Vayanos
Paul Woolley

An Institutional Theory of Momentum and Reversal

w14518 Kimie Harada
Takatoshi Ito

Did Mergers Help Japanese Mega-Banks Avoid Failure? Analysis of the Distance to Default of Banks

w14500 Benjamin Chabot
Eric Ghysels
Ravi Jagannathan

Price Momentum In Stocks: Insights From Victorian Age Data

w14496 Andrew Ang
Vineer Bhansali
Yuhang Xing

Taxes on Tax-Exempt Bonds

w14476 Alberto Giovannini
Why the European Securities Market is Not Fully Integrated

w14473 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Stefan Nagel
Lasse H. Pedersen

Carry Trades and Currency Crashes

w14465 Amir E. Khandani
Andrew W. Lo

What Happened To The Quants In August 2007?: Evidence from Factors and Transactions Data

w14463 Jens H.E. Christensen
Francis X. Diebold
Glenn D. Rudebusch

An Arbitrage-Free Generalized Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Model

w14440 Nicholas C. Barberis
Wei Xiong

Realization Utility

w14427 Alexander W. Blocker
Laurence J. Kotlikoff
Stephen A. Ross

The True Cost of Social Security

w14424 Geetesh Bhardwaj
Gary B. Gorton
K. Geert Rouwenhorst

Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: The Inefficient Performance and Persistence of Commodity Trading Advisors

w14422 Asaf Bernstein
Eric Hughson
Marc D. Weidenmier

Can a Lender of Last Resort Stabilize Financial Markets? Lessons from the Founding of the Fed

w14411 Anthony W. Lynch
Jessica A. Wachter

Using Samples of Unequal Length in Generalized Method of Moments Estimation

w14401 Takeo Hoshi
Anil K Kashyap

Will the U.S. Bank Recapitalization Succeed? Eight Lessons from Japan

w14398 Gary B. Gorton
The Subprime Panic

w14386 Jessica Wachter
Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility?

w14378 William A. Brock
Charles F. Manski

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment

w14377 Paul W. Rhode
Koleman Strumpf

Historical Political Futures Markets: An International Perspective

w14366 Zhiguo He
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A Model of Capital and Crises

w14355 Momtchil Pojarliev
Richard M. Levich

Trades of the Living Dead: Style Differences, Style Persistence and Performance of Currency Fund Managers

w14351 Rajnish Mehra
Facundo Piguillem
Edward C. Prescott

Intermediated Quantities and Returns

w14343 Robert Novy-Marx
Joshua D. Rauh

The Intergenerational Transfer of Public Pension Promises

w14342 Dongmei Li
Lu Zhang

Costly External Finance: Implications for Capital Markets Anomalies

w14341 Josh Lerner
Antoinette Schoar
Jialan Wang

Secrets of the Academy: The Drivers of University Endowment Success

w14340 Isaac Ehrlich
William A. Hamlen Jr.
Yong Yin

Asset Management, Human Capital, and the Market for Risky Assets

w14332 Raimond Maurer
Olivia S. Mitchell
Ralph Rogalla

Managing Contribution and Capital Market Risk in a Funded Public Defined Benefit Plan: Impact of CVaR Cost Constraints

w14299 Xavier Gabaix
Power Laws in Economics and Finance

w14290 Gerard Hoberg
Gordon M. Phillips

Real and Financial Industry Booms and Busts

w14269 Francis X. Diebold
Kamil Yilmaz

Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, Worldwide

w14245 Craig Doidge
G. Andrew Karolyi
René M. Stulz

Why Do Foreign Firms Leave U.S. Equity Markets?

w14243 Lars Peter Hansen
Modeling the Long Run: Valuation in Dynamic Stochastic Economies

w14219 Robert E. Hall
Susan E. Woodward

The Burden of the Nondiversifiable Risk of Entrepreneurship

w14218 René M. Stulz
Securities Laws, Disclosure, and National Capital Markets in the Age of Financial Globalization

w14210 Dwight Jaffee
Howard Kunreuther
Erwann Michel-Kerjan

Long Term Insurance (LTI) for Addressing Catastrophe Risk

w14205 Hui Tong
Shang-Jin Wei

Real Effects of the Subprime Mortgage Crisis: Is it a Demand or a Finance Shock?

w14204 Willem H. Buiter
Housing Wealth Isn't Wealth

w14193 Edward L. Glaeser
Joseph Gyourko
Albert Saiz

Housing Supply and Housing Bubbles

w14180 Alexander Ljungqvist
Matthew Richardson
Daniel Wolfenzon

The Investment Behavior of Buyout Funds: Theory and Evidence

w14177 Laurent E. Calvet
John Y. Campbell
Paolo Sodini

Fight or Flight? Portfolio Rebalancing by Individual Investors

w14172 Harald Hau
Helene Rey

Home Bias at the Fund Level

w14169 Jon Faust
Jonathan H. Wright

Efficient Prediction of Excess Returns

w14165 Harald Hau
Hélène Rey

Global Portfolio Rebalancing Under the Microscope

w14160 Yuko Hashimoto
Takatoshi Ito
Takaaki Ohnishi
Misako Takayasu
Hideki Takayasu
Tsutomu Watanabe

Random Walk or A Run: Market Microstructure Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Rate Movements based on Conditional Probability

w14158 Paul Asquith
Rebecca Oman
Christopher Safaya

Short Sales and Trade Classification Algorithms

w14144 Joost Driessen
Tse-Chun Lin
Ludovic Phalippou

A New Method to Estimate Risk and Return of Non-Traded Assets from Cash Flows: The Case of Private Equity Funds

w14140 Ulrike Malmendier
Geoffrey Tate

Superstar CEOs

w14119 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crashes and Recoveries in Illiquid Markets

w14113 Luc Laeven
Ross Levine

Bank Governance, Regulation, and Risk Taking

w14111 Robin Greenwood
Stefan Nagel

Inexperienced Investors and Bubbles

w14094 Ian Ayres
Barry J. Nalebuff

Life-cycle Investing and Leverage: Buying Stock on Margin Can Reduce Retirement Risk

w14083 Christopher J. Mayer
Karen Pence

Subprime Mortgages: What, Where, and to Whom?

w14082 Hanno Lustig
Nikolai Roussanov
Adrien Verdelhan

Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets

w14078 Olivia S. Mitchell
John Piggott
Cagri Kumru

Managing Public Investment Funds: Best Practices and New Challenges

w14068 Nicole M. Boyson
Christof W. Stahel
Rene M. Stulz

Hedge Fund Contagion and Liquidity

w14058 Jennifer Huang
Jiang Wang

Market Liquidity, Asset Prices and Welfare

w14055 Wolfram J. Horneff
Raimond H. Maurer
Olivia S. Mitchell
Michael Z. Stamos

Asset Allocation and Location over the Life Cycle with Survival-Contingent Payouts

w14019 Michael D. Bordo
Michael J. Dueker
David C. Wheelock

Inflation, Monetary Policy and Stock Market Conditions

w14015 George-Marios Angeletos
Private Sunspots and Idiosyncratic Investor Sentiment

w14013 Jennifer Huang
Jiang Wang

Liquidity and Market Crashes

w13976 John Beshears
James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

How are Preferences Revealed?

w13973 Lauren Cohen
Andrea Frazzini
Christopher Malloy

Sell Side School Ties

w13940 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursúa

Macroeconomic Crises since 1870

w13966 Francisco J. Gomes
Laurence J. Kotlikoff
Luis M. Viceira

Optimal Life-Cycle Investing with Flexible Labor Supply: A Welfare Analysis of Life-Cycle Funds

w13962 Robert J. Shiller
Derivatives Markets for Home Prices

w13944 Andrew Ang
Matthew Rhodes-Kropf
Rui Zhao

Do Funds-of-Funds Deserve Their Fees-on-Fees?

w13908 Kristin J. Forbes
Why do Foreigners Invest in the United States?

w13904 Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Laura Veldkamp

Information Acquisition and Under-Diversification

w13896 Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Adrien Verdelhan

The Wealth-Consumption Ratio

w13884 Woodrow T. Johnson
James M. Poterba

Taxes and Mutual Fund Inflows Around Distribution Dates

w13874 Efraim Benmelech
Nittai K. Bergman

Collateral Pricing

w13854 Yacine Aït-Sahalia
Michael W. Brandt

Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Option-Implied State Prices

w13848 Bruce Lehmann
Arbitrage-free Limit Order Books and the Pricing of Order Flow Risk

w13825 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Jialin Yu

High Frequency Market Microstructure Noise Estimates and Liquidity Measures

w13811 Francis X. Diebold
Kamil Yilmaz

Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets

w13806 Robin Greenwood
Dimitri Vayanos

Bond Supply and Excess Bond Returns

w13805 Emmanuel Farhi
Xavier Gabaix

Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates

w13804 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors

w13786 Joseph Chen
Samuel Hanson
Harrison Hong
Jeremy C. Stein

Do Hedge Funds Profit From Mutual-Fund Distress?

w13774 Charles Calomiris
Raymond Fisman
Yongxiang Wang

Profiting from Government Stakes in a Command Economy: Evidence from Chinese Asset Sales

w13768 Stephanie E. Curcuru
Tomas Dvorak
Francis E. Warnock

Cross-Border Returns Differentials

w13723 Itay Goldstein
Assaf Razin
Hui Tong

Liquidity, Institutional Quality and the Composition of International Equity Outflows

w13762 Malcolm Baker
Robin Greenwood
Jeffrey Wurgler

Catering Through Nominal Share Prices

w13748 Jeffrey R. Brown
Jeffrey R. Kling
Sendhil Mullainathan
Marian V. Wrobel

Why Don't People Insure Late Life Consumption: A Framing Explanation of the Under-Annuitization Puzzle

w13739 Andrew Ang
Robert J. Hodrick
Yuhang Xing
Xiaoyan Zhang

High Idiosyncratic Volatility and Low Returns: International and Further U.S. Evidence

w13726 Julia Coronado
Olivia S. Mitchell
Steven A. Sharpe
S. Blake Nesbitt

Footnotes Aren't Enough: The Impact of Pension Accounting on Stock Values

w13724 Xavier Gabaix
Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance

w13721 Woochan Kim
Taeyoon Sung
Shang-Jin Wei

How Does Corporate Governance Risk at Home Affect Investment Choices Abroad?


2007
w13693 Todd Sinai
Nicholas S. Souleles

Net Worth and Housing Equity in Retirement

w13690 Robert J. Barro
Rare Disasters, Asset Prices, and Welfare Costs

w13658 Francis A. Longstaff
Jun Pan
Lasse H. Pedersen
Kenneth J. Singleton

How Sovereign is Sovereign Credit Risk?

w13656 James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

Mental Accounting in Portfolio Choice: Evidence from a Flypaper Effect

w13650 Dirk Krueger
Hanno Lustig
Fabrizio Perri

Evaluating Asset Pricing Models with Limited Commitment using Household Consumption Data

w13639 Guido Lorenzoni
Inefficient Credit Booms

w13635 Josephine M. Smith
John B. Taylor

The Long and the Short End of the Term Structure of Policy Rules

w13625 Zhi Da
Pengjie Gao
Ravi Jagannathan

When Does a Mutual Fund's Trade Reveal its Skill?

w13611 Jens H. E. Christensen
Francis X. Diebold
Glenn D. Rudebusch

The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of: Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models

w13604 Joseph H. Golec
John A. Vernon

Financial Risk in the Biotechnology Industry

w13588 Francis X. Diebold
Canlin Li
Vivian Z. Yue

Global Yield Curve Dynamics and Interactions: A Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach

w13555 YiLi Chien
Harold Cole
Hanno Lustig

A Multiplier Approach to Understanding the Macro Implications of Household Finance

w13560 Thomas Philippon
Financiers vs. Engineers: Should the Financial Sector be Taxed or Subsidized?

w13559 Fernando A. Broner
Alberto Martin
Jaume Ventura

Enforcement Problems and Secondary Markets

w13558 Robert J. Shiller
Low Interest Rates and High Asset Prices: An Interpretation in Terms of Changing Popular Economic Models

w13537 Jeffrey R. Brown
Rational and Behavioral Perspectives on the Role of Annuities in Retirement Planning

w13525 Jin Ginger Wu
Lu Zhang
X. Frank Zhang

Understanding the Accrual Anomaly

w13504 Harrison Hong
Jose A. Scheinkman
Wei Xiong

Advisors and Asset Prices: A Model of the Origins of Bubbles

w13487 Sumit Agarwal
John C. Driscoll
David Laibson

Optimal Mortgage Refinancing: A Closed Form Solution

w13475 George-Marios Angeletos
Guido Lorenzoni
Alessandro Pavan

Wall Street and Silicon Valley: A Delicate Interaction

w13473 Bronwyn H. Hall
Measuring the Returns to R&D: The Depreciation Problem

w13468 Anna Pavlova
Roberto Rigobon

An Asset-Pricing View of External Adjustment

w13458 Michael Greenstone
Is the "Surge" Working? Some New Facts

w13449 Torben G. Andersen
Oleg Bondarenko

Construction and Interpretation of Model-Free Implied Volatility

w13448 Andrew Ang
Sen Dong
Monika Piazzesi

No-Arbitrage Taylor Rules

w13438 Jeffrey R. Brown
Guaranteed Trouble: The Economic Effects of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation

w13435 Joseph P.H. Fan
Randall Morck
Lixin Colin Xu
Bernard Yeung

Institutions and Foreign Investment: China versus the World

w13430 Xavier Gabaix
Linearity-Generating Processes: A Modelling Tool Yielding Closed Forms for Asset Prices

w13427 Siddhartha G. Dastidar
Raymond Fisman
Tarun Khanna

Testing Limits to Policy Reversal: Evidence from Indian Privatizations

w13424 Nicolas Coeurdacier
Robert Kollmann
Philippe Martin

International Portfolios with Supply, Demand and Redistributive Shocks

w13423 John Y. Campbell
Estimating the Equity Premium

w13420 Stefano DellaVigna
Psychology and Economics: Evidence from the Field

w13419 David K. Backus
Jonathan H. Wright

Cracking the Conundrum

w13403 Kris James Mitchener
Marc D. Weidenmier

The Baring Crisis and the Great Latin American Meltdown of the 1890s

w13387 Paola Sapienza
Anna Toldra
Luigi Zingales

Understanding Trust

w13381 James Poterba
Steven Venti
David A. Wise

The Changing Landscape of Pensions in the United States

w13366 Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Laura Veldkamp

Information Immobility and the Home Bias Puzzle

w13363 Igor Livshits
James MacGee
Michèle Tertilt

Accounting for the Rise in Consumer Bankruptcies

w13361 Ralph S.J Koijen
Otto Van Hemert
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Mortgage Timing

w13357 A. Craig Burnside
Empirical Asset Pricing and Statistical Power in the Presence of Weak Risk Factors

w13355 Stefano DellaVigna
Eliana La Ferrara

Detecting Illegal Arms Trade

w13337 Miles S. Kimball
Claudia R. Sahm
Matthew D. Shapiro

Imputing Risk Tolerance from Survey Responses

w13320 Boyan Jovanovic
Bubbles in Prices of Exhaustible Resources

w13282 Long Chen
Lu Zhang

Neoclassical Factors

w13281 Mihir A. Desai
Dhammika Dharmapala

Taxes and Portfolio Choice: Evidence from JGTRRA's Treatment of International Dividends

w13251 Rui Albuquerque
Neng Wang

Agency Conflicts, Investment, and Asset Pricing

w13250 Jianjun Miao
Neng Wang

Investment, Consumption, and Hedging under Incomplete Markets

w13249 Gary B. Gorton
Fumio Hayashi
K. Geert Rouwenhorst

The Fundamentals of Commodity Futures Returns

w13245 Michael F. Gallmeyer
Burton Hollifield
Francisco Palomino
Stanley E. Zin

Arbitrage-Free Bond Pricing with Dynamic Macroeconomic Models

w13220 John Donaldson
Rajnish Mehra

Risk Based Explanations of the Equity Premium

w13201 Zoran Ivkovich
Scott Weisbenner

Information Diffusion Effects in Individual Investors' Common Stock Purchases Covet Thy Neighbors' Investment Choices

w13196 Ravi Bansal
Long-Run Risks and Financial Markets

w13189 Malcolm Baker
Jeffrey Wurgler

Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

w13173 Pierpaolo Benigno
Portfolio Choices with Near Rational Agents: A Solution of Some International-Finance Puzzles

w13169 Jeffrey R. Brown
Nellie Liang
Scott Weisbenner

Individual Account Investment Options and Portfolio Choice: Behavioral Lessons from 401(k) Plans

w13168 Jeffrey R. Brown
Zoran Ivkovich
Paul A. Smith
Scott Weisbenner

Neighbors Matter: Causal Community Effects and Stock Market Participation

w13165 Jessica A. Wachter
Missaka Warusawitharana

Predictable Returns and Asset Allocation: Should a Skeptical Investor Time the Market?

w13151 Martin D. D. Evans
Richard K. Lyons

Exchange Rate Fundamentals and Order Flow

w13148 Jiandong Ju
Shang-Jin Wei

Domestic Institutions and the Bypass Effect of Financial Globalization

w13132 Mihir A. Desai
Dhammika Dharmapala

Taxes, Institutions and Foreign Diversification Opportunities

w13129 Craig Burnside
The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk: A Comment

w13124 Ulrike Malmendier
Devin Shanthikumar

Do Security Analysts Speak in Two Tongues?

w13121 Lauren Cohen
Andrea Frazzini
Christopher Malloy

The Small World of Investing: Board Connections and Mutual Fund Returns

w13118 Laura Alfaro
Andrew Charlton

International Financial Integration and Entrepreneurial Firm Activity

w13108 Ravi Bansal
Robert Dittmar
Dana Kiku

Cointegration and Consumption Risks in Asset Returns

w13107 Ravi Bansal
A. Ronald Gallant
George Tauchen

Rational Pessimism, Rational Exuberance, and Asset Pricing Models

w13101 Kenneth N. Kuttner
Adam S. Posen

Do Markets Care Who Chairs the Central Bank?

w13090 Owen Lamont
Andrea Frazzini

The Earnings Announcement Premium and Trading Volume

w13088 John Y. Campbell
Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros
Luis M. Viceira

Global Currency Hedging

w13081 Veronica Cacdac Warnock
Francis E. Warnock

Markets and Housing Finance

w13079 Craig Doidge
G. Andrew Karolyi
Rene M. Stulz

Has New York Become Less Competitive in Global Markets? Evaluating Foreign Listing Choices Over Time

w13076 Fernando A. Broner
Guido Lorenzoni
Sergio L. Schmukler

Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?

w13067 William Adams
Liran Einav
Jonathan Levin

Liquidity Constraints and Imperfect Information in Subprime Lending

w13056 Robert E. Hall
Susan E. Woodward

The Incentives to Start New Companies: Evidence from Venture Capital

w13042 Jonathan B. Berk
Ian Tonks

Return Persistence and Fund Flows in the Worst Performing Mutual Funds

w13024 Laura X. L. Liu
Toni Whited
Lu Zhang

Regularities

w12990 Kristian R. Miltersen
Eduardo S. Schwartz

Real Options With Uncertain Maturity and Competition

w12986 Joao F. Gomes
Leonid Kogan
Motohiro Yogo

Durability of Output and Expected Stock Returns

w12970 Jules H. van Binsbergen
Michael W. Brandt

Optimal Asset Allocation in Asset Liability Management

w12963 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Dobrislav Dobrev

No-Arbitrage Semi-Martingale Restrictions for Continuous-Time Volatility Models subject to Leverage Effects, Jumps and i.i.d. Noise: Theory and Testable Distributional Implications

w12962 Torben G. Andersen
Luca Benzoni

Do Bonds Span Volatility Risk in the U.S. Treasury Market? A Specification test for Affine Term Structure Models

w12959 Emmanuel Farhi
Mikhail Golosov
Aleh Tsyvinski

A Theory of Liquidity and Regulation of Financial Intermediation

w12957 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Inflation Illusion, Credit, and Asset Pricing

w12953 Kathryn M.E. Dominguez
Freyan Panthaki

The Influence of Actual and Unrequited Interventions

w12948 Lars Peter Hansen
Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Economic Risk

w12942 Wolfram J. Horneff
Raimond H. Maurer
Olivia S. Mitchell
Michael Z. Stamos

Money in Motion: Dynamic Portfolio Choice in Retirement

w12940 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Christian Gollier
Jonathan A. Parker

Optimal Beliefs, Asset Prices, and the Preference for Skewed Returns

w12939 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity

w12937 Fabio Ghironi
Jaewoo Lee
Alessandro Rebucci

The Valuation Channel of External Adjustment

w12936 Nicholas Barberis
Ming Huang

Stocks as Lotteries: The Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices

w12933 Eugene N. White
The Crash of 1882, Counterparty Risk, and the Bailout of the Paris Bourse

w12930 Andrew Ang
Geert Bekaert
Min Wei

The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation

w12918 Charles W. Calomiris
Doron Nissim

Activity-Based Valuation of Bank Holding Companies

w12912 Mariano M. Croce
Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Investor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Duration of Risky Cash-Flows

w12897 T. Clifton Green
Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Yue Tang

Gender and Job Performance: Evidence from Wall Street

w12896 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode

w12887 Nicolae B. Garleanu
Lasse H. Pedersen

Liquidity and Risk Management

w12881 Arvind Krishnamurthy
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

The Demand for Treasury Debt

w12877 Mark Mitchell
Lasse Heje Pedersen
Todd Pulvino

Slow Moving Capital

w12866 Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Woojin Kim

Do Analysts Herd? An Analysis of Recommendations and Market Reactions

w12847 Borja Larrain
Motohiro Yogo

Does Firm Value Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Cash Flow?

w12843 Andrew Ang
Jun Liu

Risk, Return and Dividends

w12842 Jeffrey R. Brown
Scott J. Weisbenner

Who Chooses Defined Contribution Plans?

w12814 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors


2006
w12810 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Christian Julliard

Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies

w12809 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Stefan Nagel

Do Wealth Fluctuations Generate Time-varying Risk Aversion? Micro-Evidence on Individuals' Asset Allocation

w12797 Laurent E. Calvet
Adlai J. Fisher

Multifrequency Jump-Diffusions: An Equilibrium Approach

w12792 Lubos Pastor
Lucian Taylor
Pietro Veronesi

Entrepreneurial Learning, the IPO Decision, and the Post-IPO Drop in Firm Profitability

w12783 Fernando Broner
Alberto Martin
Jaume Ventura

Sovereign Risk and Secondary Markets

w12781 Wei Xiong
Hongjun Yan

Heterogeneous Expectations and Bond Markets

w12767 Jonathan E. Alevy
Michael S. Haigh
John List

Information Cascades: Evidence from An Experiment with Financial Market Professionals

w12766 Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Can Housing Collateral Explain Long-Run Swings in Asset Returns?

w12763 Robert J. Barro
On the Welfare Costs of Consumption Uncertainty

w12751 Erik Snowberg
Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Party Influence in Congress and the Economy

w12744 Anders B. Trolle
Eduardo S. Schwartz

Unspanned Stochastic Volatility and the Pricing of Commodity Derivatives

w12742 Darius Lakdawalla
George Zanjani

Catastrophe Bonds, Reinsurance, and the Optimal Collateralization of Risk-Transfer

w12728 Eric van Wincoop
Francis E. Warnock

Is Home Bias in Assets Related to Home Bias in Goods?

w12726 Alexander D. Rothenberg
Francis E. Warnock

Sudden Flight and True Sudden Stops

w12724 Dirk Jenter
Katharina Lewellen
Jerold B. Warner

Security Issue Timing: What Do Managers Know, and When Do They Know It?

w12698 Peter Blair Henry
Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation

w12697 Karen K. Lewis
Is the International Diversification Potential Diminishing? Foreign Equity Inside and Outside the US

w12695 Hamid Mehran
Rene M. Stulz

The Economics of Conflicts of Interest in Financial Institutions

w12682 Takatoshi Ito
Yuko Hashimoto

Price Impacts of Deals and Predictability of the Exchange Rate Movements

w12670 Dimitri Vayanos
Pierre-Olivier Weill

A Search-Based Theory of the On-the-Run Phenomenon

w12661 Eugene N. White
Anticipating the Stock Market Crash of 1929: The View from the Floor of the Stock Exchange

w12659 John Beshears
James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

Simplification and Saving

w12658 Wayne E. Ferson
Sergei Sarkissian
Timothy Simin

Asset Pricing Models with Conditional Betas and Alphas: The Effects of Data Snooping and Spurious Regression

w12656 Timothy J. Kehoe
David K. Levine

Bankruptcy and Collateral in Debt Constrained Markets

w12650 Lars Peter Hansen
Jose Scheinkman

Long Term Risk: An Operator Approach

w12644 Charles Calomiris
Devaluation with Contract Redenomination in Argentina

w12633 Eduardo S. Schwartz
Claudio Tebaldi

Illiquid Assets and Optimal Portfolio Choice

w12622 Charles Calomiris
Thanavut Pornrojnangkool

Relationship Banking and the Pricing of Financial Services

w12614 Christian Hellwig
Guido Lorenzoni

Bubbles and Self-Enforcing Debt

w12609 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Equilibrium Yield Curves

w12589 Hali J. Edison
Francis E. Warnock

Cross-border Listings, Capital Controls, and Equity Flows To Emerging Markets

w12555 Dmitry Livdan
Horacio Sapriza
Lu Zhang

Financially Constrained Stock Returns

w12552 John D. Burger
Francis E. Warnock

Local Currency Bond Markets

w12548 John D. Burger
Francis E. Warnock

Foreign Participation in Local Currency Bond Markets

w12513 Michael W. Brandt
David A. Chapman

Linear Approximations and Tests of Conditional Pricing Models

w12502 Gene Amromin
Jennifer Huang
Clemens Sialm

The Tradeoff Between Mortgage Prepayments and Tax-Deferred Retirement Savings

w12500 John Ammer
Sara B. Holland
David C. Smith
Francis E. Warnock

Look at Me Now: What Attracts U.S. Shareholders?

w12489 Craig Burnside
Martin Eichenbaum
Isaac Kleshchelski
Sergio Rebelo

The Returns to Currency Speculation

w12487 Urban Jermann
The Equity Premium Implied by Production

w12484 M. Ayhan Kose
Eswar Prasad
Kenneth S. Rogoff
Shang-Jin Wei

Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

w12482 Jaume Ventura
Fernando A. Broner

Globalization and Risk Sharing

w12461 Josef Lakonishok
Louis Chan
Stephen G. Dimmock

Benchmarking Money Manager Performance: Issues and Evidence

w12434 Rajnish Mehra
The Equity Premium in India

w12433 Rajnish Mehra
Recursive Competitive Equilibrium

w12419 Stefania Albanesi
Optimal Taxation of Entrepreneurial Capital with Private Information

w12413 Takatoshi Ito
Yuko Hashimoto

Intra-Day Seasonality in Activities of the Foreign Exchange Markets: Evidence From the Electronic Broking System

w12412 Orazio P. Attanasio
Monica Paiella

Intertemporal Consumption Choices, Transaction Costs and Limited Participation to Financial Markets: Reconciling Data and Theory

w12397 Nicholas Barberis
Wei Xiong

What Drives the Disposition Effect? An Analysis of a Long-Standing Preference-Based Explanation

w12391 Courtney Coile
Kevin Milligan

How Household Portfolios Evolve After Retirement: The Effect of Aging and Health Shocks

w12389 Bong-Chan Kho
René M. Stulz
Francis E. Warnock

Financial Globalization, Governance, and the Evolution of the Home Bias

w12378 Nicholas Barberis
Ming Huang

The Loss Aversion / Narrow Framing Approach to the Equity Premium Puzzle

w12376 Alessandro Beber
Michael W. Brandt
Kenneth A. Kavajecz

Flight-to-Quality or Flight-to-Liquidity? Evidence From the Euro-Area Bond Market

w12367 Leora Friedberg
Anthony Webb

Determinants and Consequences of Bargaining Power in Households

w12362 John Y. Campbell
Jens Hilscher
Jan Szilagyi

In Search of Distress Risk

w12360 Jonathan Lewellen
Stefan Nagel
Jay Shanken

A Skeptical Appraisal of Asset-Pricing Tests

w12346 Charles P. Thomas
Francis E. Warnock
Jon Wongswan

The Performance of International Equity Portfolios

w12343 William O. Brown
Jr.
J. Harold Mulherin
Marc D. Weidenmier

Competing With the NYSE

w12342 Zhonglan Dai
Edward Maydew
Douglas A. Shackelford
Harold H. Zhang

Capital Gains Taxes and Asset Prices: Capitalization or Lock-In?

w12337 Anders B. Trolle
Eduardo S. Schwartz

A General Stochastic Volatility Model for the Pricing and Forecasting of Interest Rate Derivatives

w12333 Elias Papaioannou
Richard Portes
Gregorios Siourounis

Optimal Currency Shares in International Reserves: The Impact of the Euro and the Prospects for the Dollar

w12330 Miki Kohara
Charles Yuji Horioka

Do Borrowing Constraints Matter? An Analysis of Why the Permanent Income Hypothesis Does Not Apply in Japan

w12309 Paul Willen
Felix Kubler

Collateralized Borrowing and Life-Cycle Portfolio Choice

w12308 Urban Jermann
Vincenzo Quadrini

Financial Innovations and Macroeconomic Volatility

w12295 Michelle Lowry
Micah S. Officer
G. William Schwert

The Variability of IPO Initial Returns

w12290 Andrew B. Abel
Equity Premia with Benchmark Levels of Consumption: Closed-Form Results

w12283 Bernardo S. de M. Carvalho
Márcio G.P. Garcia

Ineffective Controls on Capital Inflows Under Sophisticated Financial Markets: Brazil in the Nineties

w12276 Mihir A. Desai
C. Fritz Foley
James R. Hines Jr.

Capital Structure with Risky Foreign Investment

w12270 Alessandro Beber
Michael W. Brandt

Resolving Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Stock and Bond Markets

w12256 James Dow
Gary Gorton

Noise Traders

w12248 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Yuhang Xing

Risk, Uncertainty and Asset Prices

w12247 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Steven R. Grenadier

Stock and Bond Returns with Moody Investors

w12234 Evan Gatev
Til Schuermann
Philip E. Strahan

Managing Bank Liquidity Risk: How Deposit-Loan Synergies Vary with Market Conditions

w12233 Viviana Fernandez
The International CAPM and a Wavelet-Based Decomposition of Value at Risk

w12223 Mark Grinblatt
Matti Keloharju

Sensation Seeking, Overconfidence, and Trading Activity

w12220 Fang Cai
Francis E. Warnock

International Diversification at Home and Abroad

w12214 Charles Engel
Akito Matsumoto

Portfolio Choice in a Monetary Open-Economy DSGE Model

w12210 Francis A. Longstaff
Arvind Rajan

An Empirical Analysis of the Pricing of Collateralized Debt Obligations

w12204 John Y. Campbell
Yves Nosbusch

Intergenerational Risksharing and Equilibrium Asset Prices

w12203 Andrew Ang
Li Gu
Yael V. Hochberg

Is IPO Underperformance a Peso Problem?

w12200 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities

w12183 Long Chen
Ralitsa Petkova
Lu Zhang

The Expected Value Premium

w12149 John Y. Campbell
Household Finance

w12146 Clemens Sialm
Investment Taxes and Equity Returns

w12144 Jules H. van Binsbergen
Michael W. Brandt
Ralph S.J. Koijen

Optimal Decentralized Investment Management

w12138 Eugene N. White
Bubbles and Busts: The 1990s in the Mirror of the 1920s

w12109 Martin Lettau
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence

w12107 Patrick Bolton
Jose Scheinkman
Wei Xiong

Pay for Short-Term Performance: Executive Compensation in Speculative Markets

w12098 Wayne E. Ferson
Andrew F. Siegel

Testing Portfolio Efficiency with Conditioning Information

w12090 Nicole M. Boyson
Christof W. Stahel
Rene M. Stulz

Is There Hedge Fund Contagion?

w12084 Gary Gorton
Ping He

Agency-Based Asset Pricing

w12083 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice

w12073 Erik Snowberg
Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections

w12060 Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

w12055 Jay Shanken
Guofu Zhou

Estimating and Testing Beta Pricing Models: Alternative Methods and their Performance in Simulations

w12042 Steven R. Grenadier
Neng Wang

Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences

w12026 John H. Cochrane
The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability

w12020 Darrell Duffie
Nicolae Garleanu
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Valuation in Over-the-Counter Markets

w12017 Jakub W. Jurek
Luis M. Viceira

Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios

w12011 J. Bradford DeLong
Konstantin Magin

A Short Note on the Size of the Dot-Com Bubble

w12000 Murray Carlson
Zeigham Khokher
Sheridan Titman

Equilibrium Exhaustible Resource Price Dynamics

w11996 Ricardo J. Caballero
Emmanuel Farhi
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

An Equilibrium Model of "Global Imbalances" and Low Interest Rates

w11989 Justin Wolfers
Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender

w11984 Leora Friedberg
Anthony Webb

Life is Cheap: Using Mortality Bonds to Hedge Aggregate Mortality Risk

w11974 James Poterba
Joshua Rauh
Steven Venti
David Wise

Lifecycle Asset Allocation Strategies and the Distribution of 401(k) Retirement Wealth

w11959 Alan J. Auerbach
Kevin A. Hassett

Dividend Taxes and Firm Valuation: New Evidence

w11941 Lubos Pastor
Meenakshi Sinha
Bhaskaran Swaminathan

Estimating the Intertemporal Risk-Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital

w11929 Refet Gurkaynak
Justin Wolfers

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk

w11912 Rene M. Stulz
Financial Globalization, Corporate Governance, and Eastern Europe


2005
w11906 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick
Xiaoyan Zhang

International Stock Return Comovements

w11903 Andrew Ang
Joseph chen

CAPM Over the Long Run: 1926-2001

w11894 Ross Levine
Sergio Schmukler

Internationalization and Stock Market Liquidity

w11882 Owen A. Lamont
Jeremy C. Stein

Investor Sentiment and Corporate Finance: Micro and Macro

w11876 Lubos Pastor
Pietro Veronesi

Technological Revolutions and Stock Prices

w11868 Farley Grubb
The Net Asset Position of the U.S. National Government, 1784-1802: Hamilton's Blessing or the Spoils of War?

w11864 Jaime Casassus
Pierre Collin-Dufresne
Bryan R. Routledge

Equilibrium Commodity Prices with Irreversible Investment and Non-Linear Technology

w11851 Xavier Gabaix
Arvind Krishnamurthy
Olivier Vigneron

Limits of Arbitrage: Theory and Evidence from the Mortgage-Backed Securities Market

w11850 Axel Boersch-Supan
Alexander Ludwig
Joachim Winter

Aging, Pension Reform, and Capital Flows: A Multi-Country Simulation Model

w11843 Nicolae Garleanu
Lasse Heje Pedersen
Allen M. Poteshman

Demand-Based Option Pricing

w11841 Jacob Boudoukh
Matthew Richardson
Robert Whitelaw

The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability

w11840 Jacob Boudoukh
Matthew Richardson
Robert Whitelaw

The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates: Implications for Exchange Rates and the Forward Premium Anomaly

w11838 Sendhil Mullainathan
Andrei Shleifer

Persuasion in Finance

w11834 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Financial System Risk and Flight to Quality

w11824 Andrew Ang
Joseph Chen
Yuhang Xing

Downside Risk

w11816 Tano Santos
Pietro Veronesi

Cash-Flow Risk, Discount Risk, and the Value Premium

w11803 Bernard Dumas
Alexander Kurshev
Raman Uppal

What Can Rational Investors Do About Excessive Volatility and Sentiment Fluctuations?

w11775 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Francis X. Diebold

Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility

w11769 Kathryn Dominguez
Freyan Panthaki

What Defines "News" in Foreign Exchange Markets?

w11766 Marcin Kacperczyk
Clemens Sialm
Lu Zheng

Unobserved Actions of Mutual Funds

w11756 Clemens Sialm
Tax Changes and Asset Pricing: Time-Series Evidence

w11748 Martin D. D. Evans
Richard K. Lyons

Understanding Order Flow

w11747 Henry Hongbo Jin
Olivia S. Mitchell
John Piggott

Socially Responsible Investment in Japanese Pensions

w11736 Sean D. Campbell
Francis X. Diebold

Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence

w11728 Raghuram G. Rajan
Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?

w11722 Xavier Gabaix
Parameswaran Gopikrishnan
Vasiliki Plerou
H. Eugene Stanley

Institutional Investors and Stock Market Volatility

w11713 William H. Branson
Conor N. Healy

Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy Coordination in ASEAN 1

w11703 Sydeny C. Ludvigson
Serena Ng

Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia

w11701 Martin D. D. Evans
Viktoria Hnatkovska

International Capital Flows, Returns and World Financial Integration

w11698 Philipp Hartmann
Stefan Straetmans
Casper G. De Vries

Banking System Stability: A Cross-Atlantic Perspective

w11697 Kee-Hong Bae
Rene M. Stulz
Hongping Tan

Do Local Analysts Know More? A Cross-Country Study of the Performance of Local Analysts and Foreign Analysts

t0318 Martin D. D. Evans
Viktoria Hnatkovska

Solving General Equilibrium Models with Incomplete Markets and Many Assets

w11691 Enrique G. Mendoza
Real Exchange Rate Volatility and the Price of Nontradables in Sudden-Stop-Prone Economies

w11687 Hanno Lustig
Christopher Sleet
Sevin Yeltekin

Fiscal Hedging and the Yield Curve

w11683 Stefano DellaVigna
Joshua Pollet

Investor Inattention, Firm Reaction, and Friday Earnings Announcements

w11643 Charles Himmelberg
Christopher Mayer
Todd Sinai

Assessing High House Prices: Bubbles, Fundamentals, and Misperceptions

w11633 Philippe Bacchetta
Eric van Wincoop

Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle

w11618 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Bubbles and Capital Flow Volatility: Causes and Risk Management

w11606 Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Euler Equation Errors

w11579 Bernadette A. Minton
René Stulz
Rohan Williamson

How Much Do Banks Use Credit Derivatives to Reduce Risk?

w11564 Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

The Returns on Human Capital: Good News on Wall Street is Bad News on Main Street

w11559 Jessica A. Wachter
Solving Models with External Habit

w11554 James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian

$100 Bills on the Sidewalk: Suboptimal Investment in 401(k) Plans

w11534 John Y. Campbell
João F. Cocco

How Do House Prices Affect Consumption? Evidence From Micro Data

w11533 Bruce N. Lehmann
Notes for a Contingent Claims Theory of Limit Order Markets

w11526 Andrea Frazzini
Owen A. Lamont

Dumb Money: Mutual Fund Flows and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

w11509 Leonid Kogan
Dmitry Livdan
Amir Yaron

Futures Prices in a Production Economy with Investment Constraints

w11488 Harrison Hong
Jeffrey D. Kubik
Jeremy C. Stein

The Only Game in Town: Stock-Price Consequences of Local Bias

w11480 Laura X.L. Liu
Jerold B. Warner
Lu Zhang

Momentum Profits and Macroeconomic Risk

w11477 Sydney C. Ludvigson
Serena Ng

The Empirical Risk-Return Relation: A Factor Analysis Approach

w11476 Lars Peter Hansen
John Heaton
Nan Li

Consumption Strikes Back?: Measuring Long-Run Risk

w11472 Kris James Mitchener
Marc D. Weidenmier

Supersanctions and Sovereign Debt Repayment

w11468 John Y. Campbell
Samuel B. Thompson

Predicting the Equity Premium Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?

w11459 Evgeny Lyandres
Le Sun
Lu Zhang

Investment-Based Underperformance Following Seasoned Equity Offerings

w11452 Raj Chetty
Joseph Rosenberg
Emmanuel Saez

The Effects of Taxes on Market Responses to Dividend Announcements and Payments: What Can we Learn from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut?

w11449 Alan J. Auerbach
Kevin A. Hassett

The 2003 Dividend Tax Cuts and the Value of the Firm: An Event Study

w11444 Anna Obizhaeva
Jiang Wang

Optimal Trading Strategy and Supply/Demand Dynamics

w11442 Mark Carey
Rene M. Stulz

The Risks of Financial Institutions

w11441 Laurent E. Calvet
Adlai J. Fisher

Multifrequency News and Stock Returns

w11440 Anna Pavlova
Roberto Rigobon

Wealth Transfers, Contagion, and Portfolio Constraints

w11439 John Y. Campbell
Tarun Ramadorai
Tuomo O. Vuolteenaho

Caught On Tape: Institutional Order Flow and Stock Returns

w11426 John R. Graham
Campbell R. Harvey
Hai Huang

Investor Competence, Trading Frequency, and Home Bias

w11413 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey
Christian Lundblad

Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons From Emerging Markets

w11400 Lin Peng
Wei Xiong

Investor Attention: Overconfidence and Category Learning

w11389 John Y. Campbell
Christopher Polk
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns

w11380 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Per A. Mykland
Lan Zhang

Ultra High Frequency Volatility Estimation with Dependent Microstructure Noise

w11372 Kristin J. Forbes
The Microeconomic Evidence on Capital Controls: No Free Lunch

w11367 Harrison Hong
Jose Scheinkman
Wei Xiong

Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles

w11362 Jianping Mei
Jose Scheinkman
Wei Xiong

Speculative Trading and Stock Prices: Evidence from Chinese A-B Share Premia

w11361 Manju Puri
David Robinson

Optimism and Economic Choice

w11357 Joshua D. Coval
Erik Stafford

Asset Fire Sales (and Purchases) in Equity Markets

w11350 Antonio Geldson de Carvalho
Charles W. Calomiris
Joao Amaro de Matos

Venture Capital as Human Resource Management

w11326 Naiping Lu
Lu Zhang

The Value Spread as a Predictor of Returns

w11323 Murillo Campello
Long Chen
Lu Zhang

Expected Returns, Yield Spreads, and Asset Pricing Tests

w11313 Jeff Dominitz
Charles F. Manski

Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns

w11312 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Francis X. Diebold
Clara Vega

Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets

w11280 Mitchell A. Petersen
Estimating Standard Errors in Finance Panel Data Sets: Comparing Approaches

w11276 Michael Gallmeyer
Burton Hollifield
Stanley E. Zin

Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

w11270 Cade Massey
Richard Thaler

Overconfidence vs. Market Efficiency in the National Football League

w11247 Luca Benzoni
Pierre Collin-Dufresne
Robert S. Goldstein

Portfolio Choice over the Life-Cycle in the Presence of 'Trickle Down' Labor Income

w11243 Andrew W. Lo
Dmitry V. Repin
Brett N. Steenbarger

Fear and Greed in Financial Markets: A Clinical Study of Day-Traders

w11222 Claude B. Erb
Campbell R. Harvey

The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures

w11220 Richard K. Lyons
Michael J. Moore

An Information Approach to International Currencies

w11214 Genevieve Boyreau-Debray
Shang-Jin Wei

Pitfalls of a State-Dominated Financial System: The Case of China

w11211 Stefano DellaVigna
Joshua M. Pollet

Attention, Demographics, and the Stock Market

w11200 Nicholas Chan
Mila Getmansky
Shane M. Haas
Andrew W. Lo

Systemic Risk and Hedge Funds

w11193 John Cochrane
Financial Markets and the Real Economy

w11188 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Peter F. Christoffersen
Francis X. Diebold

Volatility Forecasting

w11180 George-Marios Angeletos
UNINSURED IDIOSYNCRATIC INVESTMENT RISK

w11169 Peter Hecht
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies

w11162 Craig Doidge
G. Andrew Karolyi
Karl V. Lins
Darius P. Miller
Rene M. Stulz

Private Benefits of Control, Ownership, and the Cross-Listing Decision

w11144 Martin Lettau
Jessica Wachter

Why is Long-Horizon Equity Less Risky? A Duration-Based Explanation of the Value Premium

w11136 Josh Lerner
Antoinette Schoar
Wan Wong

Smart Institutions, Foolish Choices? The Limited Partner Performance Puzzle

w11134 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Francis X. Diebold
Jin (Ginger) Wu

A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk

w11122 George M. Constantinides
John B. Donaldson
Rajnish Mehra

Junior is Rich: Bequests as Consumption

w11119 John Y. Campbell
Luis Viceira

The Term Structure of the Risk-Return Tradeoff

w11116 Ali Hortacsu
Samita Sareen

Order Flow and the Formation of Dealer Bids: Information Flows and Strategic Behavior in the Government of Canada Securities Auctions

w11089 Francis X. Diebold
Monika Piazzesi
Glenn Rudebusch

Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics

w11082 Bart Lambrecht
Stewart C. Myers

A Theory of Takeovers and Disinvestment

w11070 Rene M. Stulz
The Limits of Financial Globalization

w11069 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Peter F. Christoffersen
Francis X. Diebold

Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management

w11067 Michelle Hanlon
Terry Shevlin

Bank-Tax Conformity for Corporate Income: An Introduction to the Issues

w11042 Martin D.D. Evans
Richard K. Lyons

Meese-Rogoff Redux: Micro-Based Exchange Rate Forecasting

w11041 Martin D.D. Evans
Richard K. Lyons

Do Currency Markets Absorb News Quickly?

w11037 Philippe Jorion
Bank Trading Risk and Systemic Risk

w11033 Menzie D. Chinn
Michael LeBlanc
Olivier Coibion

The Predictive Content of Energy Futures: An Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline

w11026 Ravi Jagannathan
Yong Wang

Consumption Risk and the Cost of Equity Capital

w11023 Ross Levine
Sergio L. Schmukler

Internationalization and the Evolution of Corporate Valuation

w11021 Wayne E. Ferson
Andrea Heuson
Tie Su

Weak and Semi-Strong Form Stock Return Predictability Revisited

w11020 Wayne E. Ferson
Andrew F. Siegel
Pisun (Tracy) Xu

Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Information

w11018 Randolph B. Cohen
Christopher Polk
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis


2004
w11015 George-Marios Angeletos
Ivan Werning

Crises and Prices: Information Aggregation, Multiplicity and Volatility

w11011 David J. Brophy
Paige P. Ouimet
Clemens Sialm

PIPE Dreams? The Performance of Companies Issuing Equity Privately

w11010 Anthony W. Lynch
Sinan Tan

Labor Income Dynamics at Business-Cycle Frequencies: Implications for Portfolio Choice

w10996 Michael W. Brandt
Pedro Santa-Clara
Rossen Valkanov

Parametric Portfolio Policies: Exploiting Characteristics in the Cross Section of Equity Returns

w10994 Anthony W. Lynch
Sinan Tan

Explaining the Magnitude of Liquidity Premia: The Roles of Return Predictability, Wealth Shocks and State-Dependent Transaction Costs

w10990 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey
Christian Lundblad
Stephan Siegel

Global Growth Opportunities and Market Integration

w10970 Raj Chetty
Adam Szeidl

Consumption Commitments: Neoclassical Foundations for Habit Formation

w10982 Philip E. Strahan
Evan Gatev
Til Schuermann

How do Banks Manage Liquidity Risk? Evidence from Equity and Deposit Markets in the Fall of 1998

w10981 Charles Engel
Some New Variance Bounds for Asset Prices

w10978 Mihir A. Desai
Alexander Dyck
Luigi Zingales

Theft and Taxes

w10934 Michael W. Brandt
Amit Goyal
Pedro Santa-Clara
Jonathan Storud

A Simulation Approach to Dynamic Portfolio Choice with an Application to Learning About Return Predictability

w10925 Jun Pan
Allen Poteshman

The Information of Option Volume for Future Stock Prices

w10914 Eric Ghysels
Pedro Santa-Clara
Rossen Valkanov

Predicting Volatility: Getting the Most out of Return Data Sampled at Different Frequencies

w10913 Eric Ghysels
Pedro Santa-Clara
Rossen Valkanov

There is a Risk-Return Tradeoff After All

w10912 Pedro Santa-Clara
Shu Yan

Jump and Volatility Risk and Risk Premia: A New Model and Lessons from S&P 500 Options

w10860 Kevin Milligan
Life-Cycle Asset Accumulation and Allocation in Canada

w10856 Takatoshi Ito
Yuko Hashimoto

Microstructure of the Yen/Dollar Foreign Exchange Market: Patterns of Intra-day Activity Revealed in the Electronic Broking System

w10852 Andrew Ang
Robert J. Hodrick
Yuhang Xing
Xiaoyan Zhang

The Cross-Section of Volatility and Expected Returns

w10851 James Poterba
The Impact of Population Aging on Financial Markets

w10850 William M. Gentry
Charles M. Jones
Christopher J. Mayer

Do Stock Prices Really Reflect Fundamental Values? The Case of REITs

w10847 Edward J. Kane
Charles Kindleberger

w10845 Raghuram G. Rajan
Dollar Shortages and Crises

w10823 Malcolm P. Baker
Ryan Taliaferro
Jeffrey Wurgler

Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

w10820 Ravi Bansal
Magnus Dahlquist
Campbell R. Harvey

Dynamic Trading Strategies and Portfolio Choice

w10816 Darrell Duffie
Nicolae Garleanu
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Over-the-Counter Markets

w10814 Viral V. Acharya
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Asset Pricing with Liquidity Risk

w10813 Ulrike Malmendier
Geoffrey Tate

Who Makes Acquisitions? CEO Overconfidence and the Market's Reaction

w10812 Ulrike Malmendier
Devin Shanthikumar

Are Investors Naive About Incentives?

w10805 Robert P. Flood
Andrew K. Rose

Estimating the Expected Marginal Rate of Substitution: Exploiting Idiosyncratic Risk

w10794 Lily Qiu
Ivo Welch

Investor Sentiment Measures

w10785 Mihir A. Desai
C. Fritz Foley

The Comovement of Returns and Investment Within the Multinational Firm

w10756 Pierre Collin-Dufresne
Christopher S. Jones
Robert S. Goldstein

Can Interest Rate Volatility be Extracted from the Cross Section of Bond Yields? An Investigation of Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

w10755 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Predatory Trading

w10729 Kris James Mitchener
Marc D. Weidenmier

Empire, Public Goods, and the Roosevelt Corollary

w10726 Rene M. Stulz
Craig Doidge
Andrew Karolyi

Why Do Countries Matter So Much for Corporate Governance?

w10719 John M. Griffin
Federico Nardari
Rene M. Stulz

Stock Market Trading and Market Conditions

w10723 Charles Engel
Kenneth D. West

Exchange Rates and Fundamentals

w10704 Michael D. Bordo
David C. Wheelock

Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: A Look Back at Past U.S. Stock Market Booms

w10689 Wayne E. Ferson
Andrea Heuson
Tie Su

Weak and Semi-Strong Form Stock Return Predictability, Revisited

w10675 Zoran Ivkovich
Clemens Sialm
Scott Weisbenner

Portfolio Concentration and the Performance of Individual Investors

w10659 Owen Lamont
Go Down Fighting: Short Sellers vs. Firms

w10651 Jacob Boudoukh
Roni Michaely
Matthew Richardson
Michael Roberts

On the Importance of Measuring Payout Yield: Implications for Empirical Asset Pricing

w10650 Li Jin
Robert Merton
Zvi Bobie

Do a Firm's Equity Returns Reflect the Risk of Its Pension Plan?

w10620 Robert C. Merton
Zvi Bodie

The Design of Financial Systems: Towards a Synthesis of Function and Structure

w10616 Francis X. Diebold
Glenn D. Rudebusch
S. Boragan Aruoba

The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach

w10595 Gary Gorton
K. Geert Rouwenhorst

Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures

w10581 Lubos Pastor
Pietro Veronesi

Was There a Nasdaq Bubble in the Late 1990s?

w10574 Rene M. Stulz
Should We Fear Derivatives?

w10567 Armando Gomes
Gary Gorton
Leonardo Madureira

SEC Regulation Fair Disclosure, Information, and the Cost of Capital

w10547 Monika Piazzesi
Eric Swanson

Futures Prices as Risk-adjusted Forecasts of Monetary Policy

w10503 Xiaohong Chen
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Land of Addicts? An Empirical Investigation of Habit-Based Asset Pricing Behavior

w10502 Hyuk Choe
Bong-Chan Kho
Rene M. Stulz

Do Domestic Investors Have an Edge? The Trading Experience of Foreign Investors in Korea

w10483 Amit Goval
Ivo Welch

A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction

w10468 William N. Goetzmann
Vicente Pons-Sanz
S. Abraham Ravid

Soft Information, Hard Sell: The Role of Soft Information in the Pricing of Intellectual Property

w10458 Marjorie Flavin
Shinobu Nakagawa

A Model of Housing in the Presence of Adjustment Costs: A Structural Interpretation of Habit Persistence

w10454 James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte C. Madrian
Andrew Metrick

Consumption-Wealth Comovement of the Wrong Sign

w10453 Li Jin
Stewart C. Myers

R-Squared Around the World: New Theory and New Tests

w10449 Malcolm Baker
Jeffrey Wurgler

Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

w10448 Yuko Hashimoto
Takatoshi Ito

High-Frequency Contagion Between the Exchange Rates and Stock Prices

w10447 Gopal K. Basak
Ravi Jagannathan
Tongshu Ma

A Jackknife Estimator for Tracking Error Variance of Optimal Portfolios Constructed Using Estimated Inputs1

w10436 Zoran Ivkovich
Scott Weisbenner

Information Diffusion Effects in Individual Investors' Common Stock Purchases: Covet Thy Neighbors' Investment Choices

w10434 Paul Asquith
Parag A. Pathak
Jay R. Ritter

Short Interest and Stock Returns

w10422 Francis A. Longstaff
Optimal Recursive Refinancing and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities

w10419 Jeffrey R. Brown
Nellie Liang
Scott Weisbenner

401(k) Matching Contributions in Company Stock: Costs and Benefits for Firms and Workers

w10418 Francis A. Longstaff
Sanjay Mithal
Eric Neis

Corporate Yield Spreads: Default Risk or Liquidity? New Evidence from the Credit-Default Swap Market

w10413 Tano Santos
Pietro Veronesi

Conditional Betas

w10412 Jonathan Berk
Richard Stanton

A Rational Model of the Closed-End Fund Discount

w10411 Francis A. Longstaff
Financial Claustrophobia: Asset Pricing in Illiquid Markets

w10406 Christopher Polk
Samuel Thompson
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

New Forecasts of the Equity Premium

w10402 Ben S. Bernanke
Kenneth N. Kuttner

What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?

w10388 Jeffrey R. Brown
J. David Cummins
Christopher M. Lewis
Ran Wei

An Empirical Analysis of the Economic Impact of Federal Terrorism Reinsurance

w10372 Michael W. Brandt
Pedro Santa-Clara

Dynamic Portfolio Selection by Augmenting the Asset Space

w10359 Charles F. Manski
Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets

w10355 Kenneth A. Froot
Melvyn Teo

Equity Style Returns and Institutional Investor Flows

w10343 William N. Goetzmann
Massimo Massa
Andrei Simonov

Portfolio Diversification and City Agglomeration

w10340 Olivia S. Mitchell
John Piggott

Unlocking Housing Equity in Japan

w10327 Dimitri Vayanos
Flight to Quality, Flight to Liquidity, and the Pricing of Risk

w10291 Alan J. Auerbach
How Much Equity Does the Government Hold?

w10270 Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson
Jessica A. Wachter

The Declining Equity Premium: What Role Does Macroeconomic Risk Play?

w10267 Charles Engel
Kenneth D. West

Accounting for Exchange Rate Variability in Present-Value Models When the Discount Factor is Near One

w10264 Josef Lakonishok
Inmoo Lee
Allen M. Poteshman

Investor Behavior in the Option Market

w10263 John Y. Campbell
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Inflation Illusion and Stock Prices

w10259 Jeremy C. Stein
Why Are Most Funds Open-End? Competition and the Limits of Arbitrage

w10245 Philippe Bacchetta
Eric van Wincoop

A Scapegoat Model of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

w10236 Raymond Fisman
Inessa Love

Financial Development and Growth in the Short and Long Run

w10235 Jeffrey R. Brown
Zoran Ivkovich
Paul A. Smith
Scott Weisbenner

The Geography of Stock Market Participation: The Influence of Communities and Local Firms

w10228 James J. Choi
David Laibson
Brigitte Madrian
Andrew Metrick

Employees' Investment Decisions about Company Stock

w10218 Owen A. Lamont
Jeremy C. Stein

Aggregate Short Interest and Market Valuations

w10210 Casey B. Mulligan
Robust Aggregate Implications of Stochastic Discount Factor Volatility

w10202 Susan E. Woodward
Robert E. Hall

Benchmarking the Returns to Venture


2003
w10188 Lee Pinkowitz
Rene M. Stulz
Rohan Williamson

Do Firms in Countries with Poor Protection of Investor Rights Hold More Cash?

w10157 Kenneth A. Froot
Paul G. J. O'Connell

The Risk Tolerance of International Investors

w10150 Robert E. Hall
Corporate Earnings Track the Competitive Benchmark

w10141 Sean D. Campbell
Francis X. Diebold

Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives

w10131 Randolph B. Cohen
Christopher Polk
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

The Price is (Almost) Right

w10111 Lan Zhang
Per A. Mykland
Yacine Ait-Sahalia

A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility with Noisy High Frequency Data

w10107 Bryan R. Routledge
Stanley E. Zin

Generalized Disappointment Aversion and Asset Prices

w10086 Antonios Sangvinatsos
Jessica A. Wachter

Does the Failure of the Expectations Hypothesis Matter for Long-Term Investors

w10080 Andrew Ang
Geert Bekaert

How do Regimes Affect Asset Allocation?

w10054 Francis Longstaff
Monika Piazzesi

Corporate Earnings and the Equity Premium

w10048 Francis X. Diebold
Canlin Li

Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields

w10042 Andrew Ang
Jun Liu

How to Discount Cashflows with Time-Varying Expected Returns

w10026 John Y. Campbell
Motohiro Yogo

Efficient Tests of Stock Return Predictability

w10018 Martin Uribe
Vivian Z. Yue

Country Spreads and Emerging Countries: Who Drives Whom?

w10013 Harrison Hong
Jeremy C. Stein

Simple Forecasts and Paradigm Shifts

w10009 Peter F. Christoffersen
Francis X. Diebold

Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics

w9988 Raj Chetty
A New Method of Estimating Risk Aversion

w9974 Jonathan Lewellen
Stefan Nagel

The Conditional CAPM does not Explain Asset-Pricing Anamolies

w9959 Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia: An Empirical Perpective

w9951 Sheridan Titman
K.C. John Wei
Feixue Xie

Capital Investments and Stock Returns

w9934 Daron Acemoglu
Simon Johnson

Unbundling Institutions

w9927 Hui Guo
Robert F. Whitelaw

Uncovering the Risk-Return Relation in the Stock Market

w9915 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Disentangling Volatility from Jumps

w9914 Alessandro Beber
Michael W. Brandt

The Effect of Macroeconomic News on Beliefs and Preferences: Evidence from the Options Market

w9894 Patric H. Hendershott
Bryan D. MacGregor

Investor Rationality: Evidence from UK Property Capitalization Rates

w9893 H. Henry Cao
Richard K. Lyons
Martin D.D. Evans

Inventory Information

w9882 Rafael La Porta
Florencio Lopez-de-Silane
Andrei Shleifer

What Works in Securities Law?

w9880 Robert P. Flood
Andrew K. Rose

Financial Integration: A New Methodology and an Illustration

w9875 Kathryn M.E. Dominguez
When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-Daily and Longer-Term Exchange Rate Movements?

w9861 Martin B. Haugh
Leonid Kogan
Jiang Wang

Evaluating Portfolio Policies: A Duality Approach

w9858 Lubos Pastor
Pietro Veronesi

Stock Prices and IPO Waves

w9852 Louis Kaplow
The Value of a Statistical Life and the Coefficient of Relative Risk Aversion

w9848 Martin Lettau
Sydney Ludvigson

Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption

w9807 Steven Kaplan
Antoinette Schoar

Private Equity Performance: Returns, Persistence and Capital

w9806 Mario Draghi
Francesco Giavazzi
Robert C. Merton

Transparency, Risk Management and International Financial Fragility

w9759 John Y. Campbell
Joao F. Cocco

Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice

w9758 James Dow
Gary Gorton
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Equilibrium Asset Prices Under Imperfect Corporate Control

w9743 Kent Daniel
Sheridan Titman

Market Reactions to Tangible and Intangible Information

w9711 Harrison Hong
Jeffrey D. Kubik
Jeremy C. Stein

The Neighbor's Portfolio: Word-of-Mouth Effects in the Holdings and Trade of Money Managers

w9685 Scott Weisbenner
Zoran Ivkovich

Local Does as Local Is: Information Content of the Geography of Individual Investors' Common Stock Investments

w9677 Andrew Ang
Angela Maddaloni

Do Demographic Changes Affect Risk Premiums? Evidence from International Data

w9674 Richard J. Rendleman
Jr.
Douglas A. Shackelford

Diversification and the Taxation of Capital Gains and Losses

w9664 Michael W. Brandt
Francis X. Diebold

A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations

w9634 Edward J. Kane
Continuing Dangers of Disinformation in Corporate Accounting Reports

w9614 Ross Levine
Sergio L. Schmukler

Migration, Spillovers,and Trade Diversion: The Impact of Internationalization on Stock Market Liquidity

w9611 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Per A. Mykland

How Often to Sample a Continuous-Time Process in the Presence of Market Microstructure Noise

w9605 Martin Lettau
Sydney Ludvigson

Expected Returns and Expected Dividend Growth

w9589 Takatoshi Ito
Kimie Harada

Market Evaluations of Banking Fragility in Japan: Japan Premium, Stock Prices, and Credit Derivatives

w9587 Andrew Leigh
Justin Wolfers
Eric Zitzewitz

What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?

w9582 Raymond Fisman
Inessa Love

Financial Dependence and Growth Revisited

w9574 Chen-Chien Hsun
Shih Hui-Tzu

Initial Public Offering and Corporate Governance in China's Transitional Economy

w9583 Raymond Fisman
Inessa Love

Financial Development and the Composition of Industrial Growth

w9555 Kristin J. Forbes
Menzie D. Chinn

A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time

w9548 Jonathan A. Parker
Consumption Risk and Expected Stock Returns

w9547 John Y. Campbell
George Chacko
Jorge Rodriguez
Luis M. Viciera

Strategic Asset Allocation in a Continuous-Time VAR Model

w9544 Louis K. C. Chan
Jason Karceski
Josef Lakonishok

Analysts' Conflict of Interest and Biases in Earnings Forecasts

w9538 Jonathan A. Parker
Christian Julliard

Consumption Risk and Cross-Sectional Returns

w9528 Glenn Ellison
Drew Fudenberg

Knife Edge of Plateau: When Do Market Models Tip?

w9515 Jacob Boudoukh
Matthew Richardson
YuQing Shen
Robert F. Whitelaw

Do Asset Prices Reflect Fundamentals? Freshly Squeezed Evidence from the OJ Market

w9512 Rajnish Mehra
The Equity Premium: Why is it a Puzzle?

w9510 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey

Market Integration and Contagion

w9509 John Y. Campbell
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Bad Beta, Good Beta

w9499 William N. Goetzmann
Massimo Massa

Disposition Matters: Volume, Volatility and Price Impact of a Behavioral Bias

w9481 Rodolfo Martell
Rene M. Stulz

Equity market liberalizations as country IPOs

w9475 Steven R. Grenadier
An Equilibrium Analysis of Real Estate

w9470 Stephen J. Brown
William N. Goetzmann
Takato Hiraki
Noriyoshi Shirishi
Masahiro Watanabe

Investor Sentiment in Japanese and U.S. Daily Mutual Fund Flows

w9465 William N. Goetzmann
Ning Zhu

Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect?

w9464 Stephen J. Brown
William N. Goetzmann
Bing Liang

Fees on Fees in Funds of Funds

w9461 Bruce N. Lehmann
David M. Modest

Diversification and the Optimal Construction of Basis Portfolios

w9453 Harvey S. Rosen
Stephen Wu

Portfolio Choice and Health Status

w9441 Wayne E. Ferson
Tests of Multifactor Pricing Models, Volatility Bounds and Portfolio Performance

w9434 Leonid Kogan
Stephen Ross
Jiang Wang
Mark Westerfield

The Price Impact and Survival of Irrational Traders

w9423 Eli Ofek
Matthew Richardson
Robert F. Whitelaw

Limited Arbitrage and Short Sales Restrictions: Evidence from the Options Markets

w9422 Steven D. Levitt
How Do Markets Function? An Empirical Analysis of Gambling on the National Football League


2002
w9392 Christopher S. Jones
Jay Shanken

Mutual Fund Performance with Learning Across Funds

w9376 Takatoshi Ito
Yuko Hashimoto

High Frequency Contagion of Currency Crises in Asia

t0286 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Robert Kimmel

Estimating Affine Multifactor Term Structure Models Using Closed-Form Likelihood Expansions

w9359 Randolph Cohen
Joshua Coval
Lubos Pastor

Judging Fund Managers by the Company They Keep

w9353 Mark Grinblatt
Jun Liu

Debt Policy, Corporate Taxes, and Discount Rates

w9348 Jeeman Jung
Robert J. Shiller

One Simple Test of Samuelson's Dictum for the Stock Market

w9344 Stefano Cavaglia
Robert J. Hodrick
Moroz Vadim
Xiaoyan Zhang

Pricing the Global Industry Portfolios

w9333 Peter L. Rousseau
Historical Perspectives on Financial Development and Economic Growth

w9331 Steven J. Davis
Felix Kubler
Paul Willen

Borrowing Costs and the Demand for Equity Over the Life Cycle

w9301 Clemens Sialm
Stochastic Taxation and Asset Pricing in Dynamic General Equilibrium

w9271 Jeffrey R. Brown
Randall S. Kroszner
Brian H. Jenn

Federal Terrorism Risk Insurance

w9262 Dennis R. Capozza
Patric H. Hendershott
Charlotte Mack
Christopher J. Mayer

Determinants of Real House Price Dynamics

w9251 Antonio E. Bernardo
Ivo Welch

Financial Market Runs

w9246 Paul Asquith
Michael B. Mikhail
Andrea S. Au

Information Content of Equity Analyst Reports

w9241 Jessica Tjornhom Donohue
Kenneth A. Froot

The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows

w9222 Nicholas Barberis
Richard Thaler

A Survey of Behavioral Finance

w9217 Lior Menzly
Tano Santos
Pietro Veronesi

The Time Series of the Cross Section of Asset Prices

w9178 John H. Cochrane
Monika Piazzesi

Bond Risk Premia

w9147 Larry Neal
Marc Weidenmier

Crises in the Global Economy from Tulips to Today: Contagion and Consequences

w9143 Wayne E. Ferson
Sergei Sarkissian
Timothy Simin

Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics?

w9131 Nellie Liang
Scott Weisbenner

Investor Behavior and the Purchase of Company Stock in 401(k) Plans - The Importance of Plan Design

w9116 William Goetzmann
Jonathan Ingersoll
Matthew I. Spiegel
Ivo Welch

Sharpening Sharpe Ratios

w9111 Arik Ben Dor
Ravi Jagannathan

Understanding Mutual Fund and Hedge Fund Styles Using Return Based Style Analysis

w9103 Jun Liu
Francis A. Longstaff
Jun Pan

Dynamic Asset Allocation With Event Risk

w9101 Kenneth A. Froot
Tarun Ramadorai

Currency Returns, Institutional Investor Flows, and Exchange Rate Fundamentals

w9087 Peter G. Dunne
Michael J. Moore
Richard Portes

Defining Benchmark Status: An Application using Euro-Area Bonds

w9080 Kenneth A. Froot
Tarun Ramadorai

Currency Returns, Institutional Investor Flows, and Exchange Rate Fundamentals

w9079 Kenneth A. Froot
Jessica D. Tjornhom

Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows

w9075 John Y. Campbell
Luis M. Viceira
Joshua S. White

Foreign Currency for Long-Term Investors

w9056 Michael W. Brandt
Qiang Kang

On the Relationship Between the Conditional Mean and Volatility of Stock Returns: A Latent VAR Approach

w9049 Owen A. Lamont
Evaluating Value Weighting: Corporate Events and Market Timing

w9034 Urban Jermann
Vincenzo Quadrini

Stock Market Boom and the Productivity Gains of the 1990s

w9018 Rajeev Dehejia
Roberta Gatti

Child Labor: The Role of Income Variability and Access to Credit Across Countries

w9000 John M. Griffin
Federico Nardari
Rene M. Stulz

Daily Cross-Border Equity Flows: Pushed or Pulled?

w8994 G. Andrew Karolyi
Rene M. Stulz

Are Financial Assets Priced Locally or Globally?

w8991 Lubos Pastor
Pietro Veronesi

Stock Valuation and Learning about Profitability

w8987 John H. Cochrane
Stocks as Money: Convenience Yield and the Tech-Stock Bubble

w8969 Matthias Kahl
Jun Liu
Francis A. Longstaff

Paper millionaires: How valuable is stock to a stockholder who is restricted from selling it?

w8961 John Y. Campbell
Glen B. Taksler

Equity Volatility and Corporate Bond Yields

w8960 Raymond Fisman
Inessa Love

Trade Credit, Financial Intermediary Development and Industry Growth

w8959 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Francis X. Diebold
Clara Vega

Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange

w8956 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Closed-Form Likelihood Expansions for Multivariate Diffusions

w8944 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Jefferson Duarte

Nonparametric Option Pricing under Shape Restrictions

w8922 Ravi Jagannathan
Tongshu Ma

Risk Reduction in Large Portfolios: Why Imposing the Wrong Constraints Helps

w8896 Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
Limited Asset Market Participation and the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution

w8895 Nicholas Barberis
Andrei Shleifer
Jeffrey Wurgler

Comovement

w8884 Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
Towards an Explanation of Household Portfolio Choice Heterogeneity: Nonfinancial Income and Participation Cost Structures

t0276 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Per A. Mykland

The Effects of Random and Discrete Sampling When Estimating Continuous-Time Diffusions

w8876 Tobias J. Moskowitz
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

The Returns to Entrepreneurial Investment: A Private Equity Premium Puzzle?

w8867 George M. Constantinides
Stylianos Perrakis

Stochastic Dominance Bounds on Derivative Prices in a Multiperiod Economy with Proportional Transaction Costs

w8826 George M. Constantinides
Rational Asset Prices

w8822 Alon Brav
George M. Constantinides
Christopher C. Geczy

Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Consumers and Limited Participation: Empirical Evidence

w8816 Malcolm Baker
Jeremy C. Stein

Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator

w8793 Randolph B. Cohen
Paul A. Gompers
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Who Underreacts to Cash-Flow News? Evidence from Trading between Individuals and Institutions

w8791 Heber Farnsworth
Wayne E. Ferson
David Jackson
Steven Todd

Performance Evaluation with Stochastic Discount Factors

w8790 Wayne Ferson
Kenneth Khang

Conditional Performance Measurement Using Portfolio Weights: Evidence for Pension Funds

w8789 Wayne E. Ferson
Andrew Siegel

Stochastic Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information

w8788 Amit Goyal
Ivo Welch

Predicting the Equity Premium With Dividend Ratios

w8747 Hans-Werner Sinn
The New Systems Competition

w8746 Bhagwan Chowdhry
Mark Grinblatt
David Levine

Information Aggregation, Security Design and Currency Swaps

w8745 Mark Grinblatt
Matti Keloharju

Tax-Loss Trading and Wash Sales

w8744 Mark Grinblatt
Tobias J. Moskowitz

What Do We Really Know About the Cross-Sectional Relation Between Past and Expected Returns?

w8734 Mark Grinblatt
Bing Han

The Disposition Effect and Momentum

w8732 Kent Smetters
Controlling the Cost of Minimum Benefit Guarantees in Public Pension Conversions

w8717 Michael D. Bordo
Anna J. Schwartz

Charles Goodhart's Contributions to the History of Monetary Institutions

w8711 Alexander Dyck
Luigi Zingales

Private Benefits of Control: An International Comparison


2001
w8686 William N. Goetzmann
Alok Kumar

Equity Portfolio Diversification

w8683 Bryan R. Routledge
Stanley E. Zin

Model Uncertainty and Liquidity

w8680 Lee Pinkowitz
Rene M. Stulz
Rohan Williamson

Corporate Governance and the Home Bias

w8678 John R. Graham
Campbell R. Harvey

Expectations of Equity Risk Premia, Volatility and Asymmetry from a Corporate Finance Perspective

w8666 Jay Shanken
Ane Tamayo

Risk, Mispricing, and Asset Allocation: Conditioning on Dividend Yield

w8623 Ellen R. McGrattan
Edward C. Prescott

Taxes, Regulations, and Asset Prices

w8622 Ellen R. McGrattan
Edward C. Prescott

The Stock Market Crash of 1929: Irving Fisher Was Right!

w8620 Severin Borenstein
James Bushnell
Christopher R. Knittel
Catherine Wolfram

Trading Inefficiencies in California's Electricity Markets

w8618 Robert C. Apfel
John E. Parsons
G. William Schwert
Geoffrey S. Stewart

Short Sales, Damages and Class Certification in 10b-5 Actions

w8612 William N. Goetzmann
Lingfeng Li
K. Geert Rouwenhorst

Long-Term Global Market Correlations

w8609 Leonid Kogan
Raman Uppal

Risk Aversion and Optimal Portfolio Policies in Partial and General Equilibrium Economies

w8607 Yeung Lewis Chan
Leonid Kogan

Catching Up with the Joneses: Heterogeneous Preferences and the Dynamics of Asset Prices

w8606 Karl E. Case
Robert J. Shiller
John M. Quigley

Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market Versus the Housing Market

w8566 John Y. Campbell
Yeung Lewis Chan
Luis M. Viceira

A Multivariate Model of Strategic Asset Allocation

w8565 Andrew W. Lo
Jiang Wang

Trading Volume: Implications of An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model

w8557 David S. Bates
The Market for Crash Risk

w8538 Craig Doidge
G. Andrew Karolyi
Rene M. Stulz

Why are Foreign Firms Listed in the U.S. Worth More?

w8510 Torben G. Andersen
Luca Benzoni
Jesper Lund

An Empirical Investigation of Continuous-Time Equity Return Models

w8508 Andrew W. Lo
Dmitry V. Repin

The Psychophysiology of Real-Time Financial Risk Processing

w8506 Sebastian Edwards
Raul Susmel

Volatility Dependence and Contagion in Emerging Equity Markets

w8505 Paul A. Gompers
Josh Lerner

The Really Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings: The Pre-NASDAQ Evidence

w8504 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Telling from Discrete Data Whether the Underlying Continuous-Time Model is a Diffusion

w8494 Charles M. Jones
Owen A. Lamont

Short Sale Constraints and Stock Returns

w8491 William P. Killeen
Richard K. Lyons
Michael J. Moore

Fixed versus Flexible: Lessons from EMS Order Flow

w8478 Alberto Abadie
Javier Gardeazabal

The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case-Control Study for the Basque Country

w8472 Kenneth A. Froot
Tarun Ramadorai

The Information Content of International Portfolio Flows

w8462 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns

w8456 Joshua Angrist
Alan B. Krueger

Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments

w8436 G. William Schwert
Stock Volatility in the New Millennium: How Wacky Is Nasdaq?

w8429 Michael D. Bordo
Ronald MacDonald

The Inter-War Gold Exchange Standard: Credibility and Monetary Independence

w8417 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Jonathan A. Parker
Motohiro Yogo

Luxury Goods and the Equity Premium

t0274 Michael W. Brandt
Pedro Santa-Clara

Simulated Likelihood Estimation of Diffusions with an Application to Exchange Rate Dynamics in Incomplete Markets

w8404 Michael W. Brandt
John H. Cochrane
Pedro Santa-Clara

International Risk Sharing is Better Than You Think (or Exchange Rates are Much Too Smooth)

w8386 Stijn Claessens
Daniela Klingebiel
Luc Laeven

Financial Restructuring in Banking and Corporate Sector Crises: What Policies to Pursue?

w8360 Fernando Alvarez
Urban J. Jermann

The Size of the Permanent Component of Asset Pricing Kernels

w8358 Harrison Hong
Jeffrey D. Kubik
Jeremy C. Stein

Social Interaction and Stock-Market Participation

w8356 Martin D. D. Evans
Richard K. Lyons

Portfolio Balance, Price Impact, and Secret Intervention

w8354 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Stefan Krause

Financial Structure, Macroeconomic Stability and Monetary Policy

w8340 James M. Poterba
Taxation, Risk-Taking, and Household Portfolio Behavior

w8312 Guillermo Llorente
Roni Michaely
Gideon Saar
Jiang Wang

Dynamic Volume-Return Relation of Individual Stocks

w8311 Andrew W. Lo
Harry Mamaysky
Jiang Wang

Asset Prices and Trading Volume Under Fixed Transactions Costs

w8309 Tano Santos
Pietro Veronesi

Labor Income and Predictable Stock Returns

w8308 Konan Chan
Louis K. C. Chan
Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Josef Lakonishok

Earnings Quality and Stock Returns

w8303 Giancarlo Corsetti
Paolo Pesenti
Nouriel Roubini

The Role of Large Players in Currency Crises

w8302 Owen A. Lamont
Richard H. Thaler

Can the Market Add and Subtract? Mispricing in Tech Stock Carve-Outs

w8282 Louis K.C. Chan
Jason Karceski
Josef Lakonishok

The Level and Persistence of Growth Rates

w8242 Randolph B. Cohen
Christopher Polk
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

The Value Spread

w8240 Tuomo Vuolteenaho
What Drives Firm-Level Stock Returns?

w8223 James M. Poterba
Taxation and Portfolio Structure: Issues and Implications

w8222 Rene M. Stulz
Rohan Williamson

Culture, Openness, and Finance

w8221 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller

Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook: An Update

w8190 Nicholas Barberis
Ming Huang

Mental Accounting, Loss Aversion, and Individual Stock Returns

w8172 Ravi Jagannathan
Ellen R. McGrattan
Anna Scherbina

The Declining U.S. Equity Premium

w8162 Sassan Alizadeh
Michael W. Brandt
Francis X. Diebold

High- and Low-Frequency Exchange Rate Volatility Dynamics: Range-Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models

w8160 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Francis X. Diebold
Paul Labys

Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility

w8151 Joseph Chen
Harrison Hong
Jeremy C. Stein

Breadth of Ownership and Stock Returns

w8132 Andrew B. Abel
An Exploration of the Effects of Pessimism and Doubt on Asset Returns

w8131 Andrew B. Abel
Will Bequests Attenuate the Predicted Meltdown in Stock Prices When Baby Boomers Retire?

w8127 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Michael W. Brandt

Variable Selection for Portfolio Choice

w8122 Alan A. Auerbach
David F. Bradford

Generalized Cash Flow Taxation

w8116 Martin D. D. Evans
FX Trading and Exchange Rate Dynamics

w8110 Kenneth A. Froot
The Market for Catastrophe Risk: A Clinical Examination

w8106 Kenneth A. Froot
Steven E. Posner

The Pricing of Event Risks with Parameter Uncertainty

w8092 John H. Boyd
Ravi Jagannathan
Jian Hu

The Stock Market's Reaction to Unemployment News: Why Bad News is Usually Good for Stocks

w8077 Ellen R. McGrattan
Edward C. Prescott

Is the Stock Market Overvalued?

w8073 Hyuk Choe
Bong-Chan Kho
Rene M. Stulz

Do Domestic Investors Have More Valuable Information About Individual Stocks Than Foreign Investors?


2000
w8059 Ravi Bansal
Amir Yaron

Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles

w8039 Nicholas Barberis
Andrei Shleifer

Style Investing

w8011 Jennifer L. Blouin
Jana Smith Raedy
Douglas A. Shackelford

The Impact of Capital Gains Taxes on Stock Price Reactions to S&P 500 Inclusion

w7997 Takatoshi Ito
Kimie Harada

Japan Premium and Stock Prices: Two Mirrors of Japanese Banking Crises

w7991 James M. Poterba
John B. Shoven
Clemens Sialm

Asset Location for Retirement Savers

w7978 Fernando Alvarez
Urban J. Jermann

Using Asset Prices to Measure the Cost of Business Cycles

w7913 Kee-Hong Bae
G. Andrew Karolyi
Rene M. Stulz

A New Approach to Measuring Financial Contagion

w7905 Steven J. Davis
Paul Willen

Occupation-Level Income Shocks and Asset Returns: Their Covariance and Implications for Portfolio Choice

w7900 Michael D. Bordo
Antu P. Murshid

Are Financial Crises Becoming Increasingly More Contagious? What is the Historical Evidence on Contagion?

w7855 Graciela Kaminsky
Richard K. Lyons
Sergio Schmukler

Managers, Investors, and Crises: Mutual Fund Strategies in Emerging Markets

w7835 Evan Gatev
Stephen A. Ross

Rebels, Conformists, Contrarians and Momentum Traders

w7827 Jennifer L. Blouin
Jana Smith Raedy
Douglas A. Shackelford

Capital Gains Holding Periods and Equity Trading: Evidence from the 1998 Tax Act

w7796 Steven J. Davis
Jeremy Nalewaik
Paul Willen

On the Gains to International Trade in Risky Financial Assets

w7779 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Evaluating and Investing in Equity Mutual Funds

w7778 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

The Equity Premium and Structural Breaks

w7753 Aaron Tornell
Robust-H-infinity Forecasting and Asset Pricing Anomalies

w7748 George Chacko
Peter Tufano
Geoffrey Verter

Cephalon, Inc. Taking Risk Management Theory Seriously

w7687 Joseph Chen
Harrison Hong
Jeremy C. Stein

Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices

w7683 Francois Degeorge
Dirk Jenter
Alberto Moel
Peter Tufano

Selling Company Shares to Reluctant Employees: France Telecom's Experience

w7661 Robert J. Hodrick
Xiaoyan Zhang

Evaluating the Specification Errors of Asset Pricing Models

w7644 Jennifer L. Blouin
Jana Smith Raedy
Douglas A. Shackelford

Capital Gains Taxes and Stock Reactions to Quarterly Earnings Announcements

w7625 Andrew W. Lo
Jiang W. Wang

Trading Volume: Definitions, Data Analysis, and Implications of Portfolio Theory

w7622 Brent W. Ambrose
Patric H. Hendershott
Malgorzata M. Klosek

Pricing Upward-Only Adjusting Leases

w7615 Kent D. Daniel
David Hirshleifer
Avanidhar Subrahmanyam

Covariance Risk, Mispricing, and the Cross Section of Security Returns

w7595 Daniel Bergstresser
James Poterba

Do After-Tax Returns Affect Mutual Fund Inflows?

w7590 John Y. Campbell
Martin Lettau
Burton G. Malkiel
Yexiao Xu

Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk

w7589 John Y. Campbell
Asset Pricing at the Millennium

w6521 Lucian Arye Bebchuk
Andrew T. Guzman

An Economic Analysis of Transnational Bankruptcies

w6130 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Andrew W. Lo

Nonparametric Risk Management and Implied Risk Aversion

w7532 Alan J. Auerbach
Jonathan M. Siegel

Capital Gains Realizations of the Rich and Sophisticated

w7524 Yin-Wong Cheung
Menzie D. Chinn
Ian W. Marsh

How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?

w7489 Kent Daniel
Sheridan Titman

Market Efficiency in an Irrational World


1999
w7451 Douglas A. Shackelford
Robert E. Verrecchia

Intertemporal Tax Discontinuities

w7448 Peter L. Rousseau
Richard Sylla

Emerging Financial Markets and Early U.S. Growth

w7417 Yin-Wong Cheung
Menzie D. Chinn

Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders

w7416 Yin-Wong Cheung
Menzie D. Chinn

Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics

w7409 Luis M. Viceira
Optimal Portfolio Choice for Long-Horizon Investors with Nontradable Labor Income

w7406 Alon Brav
George M. Constantinides
Christopher C. Geczy

Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Consumers and Limited Participation: Empirical Evidence

w7396 Owen Lamont
Christopher Polk

The Diversification Discount: Cash Flows vs. Returns

w7392 James M. Poterba
Andrew Samwick

Taxation and Household Portfolio Composition: U.S. Evidence from the 1980s and 1990s

w7377 George Chacko
Luis M. Viceira

Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets

w7376 Harrison Hong
Jeremy C. Stein

Differences of Opinion, Rational Arbitrage and Market Crashes

w7346 Geert Bekaert
Steven R. Grenadier

Stock and Bond Pricing in an Affine Economy

w7337 Kathryn M. Dominguez
The Market Microstructure of Central Bank Intervention

w7331 Young-Hye Cho
Robert F. Engle

Modeling the Impacts of Market Activity on Bid-Ask Spreads in the Option Market

w7330 Young-Hye Cho
Robert F. Engle

Time-Varying Betas and Asymmetric Effect of News: Empirical Analysis of Blue Chip Stocks

w7325 David Ikenberry
Josef Lakonishok
Theo Vermaelen

Stock Repurchases in Canada: Performance and Strategic Trading

w7317 Martin D.D. Evans
Richard K. Lyons

Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics

w7295 Henry S. Farber
Kevin F. Hallock

Have Employment Reductions Become Good News for Shareholders? The Effect of Job Loss Announcements on Stock Prices, 1970-97

w7284 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Comparing Asset Pricing Models: An Investment Perspective

w7254 Kiyohiko G. Nishimura
Fukujyu Yamazaki
Takako Idee
Toshiaki Watanabe

Distortionary Taxation, Excessive Price Sensitivity, and Japanese Land Prices

w7247 Takatoshi Ito
Michael Melvin

Japan's Big Bang and the Transformation of Financial Markets

w7246 Kent Daniel
Sheridan Titman
K.C. John Wei

Explaining the Cross-Section of Stock Returns in Japan: Factors or Characteristics?

w7223 Louis K.C. Chan
Josef Lakonishok
Theodore Sougiannis

The Stock Market Valuation of Research and Development Expenditures

w7220 Nicholas Barberis
Ming Huang
Tano Santos

Prospect Theory and Asset Prices

w7219 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey
Robin L. Lumsdaine

The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows

w7215 Louis K.C. Chan
Hsiu-Lang Chen
Josef Lakonishok

On Mutual Fund Investment Styles

w7201 Michael R. Darby
Qiao Liu
Lynne G. Zucker

Stakes and Stars: The Effect of Intellectual Human Capital on the Level and Variability of High-Tech Firms' Market Values

w7192 John B. Shoven
Clemens Sialm

Asset Location in Tax-Deferred and Conventional Savings Accounts

w7162 A. Craig MacKinlay
Lubos Pastor

Asset Pricing Models: Implications for Expected Returns and Portfolio Selection

w7159 Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Sheridan Titman

Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations

w7105 Darrell Duffie
Jun Pan
Kenneth Singleton

Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions

w7104 Olivier Jeanne
Andrew K. Rose

Noise Trading and Exchange Rate Regimes

w7069 Klaas Baks
Andrew Metrick
Jessica Wachter

Bayesian Performance Evaluation

w7039 Louis K.C. Chan
Jason Karceski
Josef Lakonishok

On Portfolio Optimization: Forecasting Covariances and Choosing the Risk Model

w7015 Thomas E. MaCurdy
John B. Shoven

Asset Allocation and Risk Allocation: Can Social Security Improve Its Future Solvency Problem by Investing in Private Securities?

w7009 Wayne E. Ferson
Campbell R. Harvey

Conditioning Variables and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

w7007 John B. Shoven
The Location and Allocation of Assets in Pension and Conventional Savings Accounts

w6984 Bronwyn H. Hall
Innovation and Market Value

w6967 Wayne E. Ferson
Campbell R. Harvey

Economic, Financial, and Fundamental Global Risk In and Out of the EMU

w6953 Fernando Alvarez
Urban J. Jermann

Quantitative Asset Pricing Implications of Endogenous Solvency Constraints

w6931 Jeremy Greenwood
Boyan Jovanovic

The IT Revolution and the Stock Market

w6929 Jose M. Campa
P.H. Kevin Chang
James F. Refalo

An Options-Based Analysis of Emerging Market Exchange Rate Expectations: Brazil's Real Plan, 1994-1997

w6913 Leslie A. Jeng
Andrew Metrick
Richard Zeckhauser

The Profits to Insider Trading: A Performance-Evaluation Perspective

w6886 Benjamin E. Hermalin
Andrew K. Rose

Risks to Lenders and Borrowers in International Capital Markets

w6885 Mark H. Lang
Douglas A. Shackelford

Capitalization of Capital Gains Taxes: Evidence from Stock Price Reactions to the 1997 Rate Reduction

w6884 Assaf Razin
Efraim Sadka
Chi-Wa Yuen

An Information-Based Model of Foreign Direct Investment: The Gains from Trade Revisited


1998
w6845 Francis X. Diebold
Jinyong Hahn
Anthony S. Tay

Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration: Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange

w6844 Peter F. Christoffersen
Francis X. Diebold

How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?

w6801 John Y. Campbell
Luis M. Viceira

Who Should Buy Long-Term Bonds?

w6774 James M. Poterba
Population Age Structure and Asset Returns: An Empirical Investigation

w6747 S. Rao Aiyagari
Mark Gertler

"Overreaction" of Asset Prices in General Equilibrium

w6745 Jonathan B. Berk
Richard C. Green
Vasant Naik

Valuation and Return Dynamics of New Ventures

w6736 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Chris Telmer

Discrete-Time Models of Bond Pricing

w6733 Patrick F. Rowland
Linda L. Tesar

Multinationals and the Gains from International Diversification

w6730 Takatoshi Ito
Yuri Nagatake Sasaki

Impacts of the Basle Capital Standard on Japanese Banks' Behavior

w6724 Geert Bekaert
Campbell R. Harvey
Robin L. Lumsdaine

Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets

w6723 Paul A. Gompers
Andrew Metrick

Institutional Investors and Equity Prices

t0235 Jonathan B. Berk
Sorting Out Sorts

w6683 Andrew B. Abel
Risk Premia and Term Premia in General Equilibrium

w6673 Bengt Holmstrom
Jean Tirole

LAPM: A Liquidity-based Asset Pricing Model

w6661 Hyuk Choe
Bong-Chan Kho
Rene M. Stulz

Do Foreign Investors Destabilize Stock Markets? The Korean Experience in 1997

w6648 Andrew Metrick
Performance Evaluation with Transactions Data: The Stock Selection of Investment Newsletters

w6627 Jonathan Berk
Richard C. Green
Vasant Naik

Optimal Investment, Growth Options, and Security Returns

w6616 James M. Poterba
Scott J. Weisbenner

Capital Gains Tax Rules, Tax Loss Trading and Turn-of-the-Year Returns

w6567 Orazio Attanasio
James Banks
Sarah Tanner

Asset Holding and Consumption Volatility

w6490 Lubos Pastor
Robert F. Stambaugh

Costs of Equity Capital and Model Mispricing

w6485 John Y. Campbell
Asset Prices, Consumption, and the Business Cycle

w6476 Fernando Alvarez
Urban J. Jermann

Asset Pricing when Risk Sharing is Limited by Default

w6207 John H. Cochrane
Where is the Market Going? Uncertain Facts and Novel Theories

t0222 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Discretely Sampled Diffusions: A Closed-Form Approach

w6389 Marjorie Flavin
Takashi Yamashita

Owner-Occupied Housing and the Composition of the Household Portfolio Over the Life-Cycle

w6382 Urban J. Jermann
International Portfolio Diversification and Labor/Leisure Choice

w6381 G. William Schwert
Stock Market Volatility: Ten Years After the Crash

w6379 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Abon Mozumdar
Liuren Wu

Predictable Changes in Yields and Forward Rates

w6365 Tommy Berger
Peter Englund
Patric H. Hendershott
Bengt Turner

Another Look at the Capitalization of Interest Subsidies: Evidence from Sweden

w6354 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Pok-sang Lam
Nelson C. Mark

Asset Pricing with Distorted Beliefs: Are Equity Returns Too Good To Be True?


1997
w6325 Pierluigi Balduzzi
Sanjiv Ranjan Das
Silverio Foresi

The Central Tendency: A Second Factor in Bond Yields

w6250 Dimitris Bertsimas
Leonid Kogan
Andrew W. Lo

Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities in Incomplete Markets: An E-Aritrage Model

w6218 Sara Fisher Ellison
Wallace P. Mullin

Gradual Incorporation of Information into Stock Prices: Empirical Strategies

w6210 Owen Lamont
Christopher Polk
Jesus Saa-Requejo

Financial Constraints and Stock Returns

t0216 Christian Gollier
Richard J. Zeckhauser

Horizon Length and Portfolio Risk

w6185 James M. Poterba
Andrew A. Samwick

Household Portfolio Allocation Over the Life Cycle

w6158 Dong-Hyun Ahn
Jacob Boudoukh
Matthew Richardson
Robert F. Whitelaw

Optimal Risk Management Using Options

w6147 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick
David A. Marshall

"Peso Problem" Explanations for Term Structure Anomalies

w6098 Louis K. C. Chan
Jason Karceski
Josef Lakonishok

The Risk and Return from Factors

w4890 John R. Graham
Campbell R. Harvey

Market Timing Ability and Volatility Implied in Investment Newletters' Asset Allocation Recommendations

t0212 Sanjiv Ranjan Das
An Efficient Generalized Discrete-Time Approach to Poisson-Gaussian Bond Option Pricing in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton Model

w5974 Jose M. Campa
P. H. Kevin Chang

The Forecasting Ability of Correlations Implied in Foreign Exchange Options

w5950 Patrick K. Asea
Mthuli Ncube

Heterogeneous Information Arrival and Option Pricing

h0096 Alan M. Taylor
Latifundia as Malefactor in Economic Development? Scale, Tenancy, and Agriculture on the Pampas, 1880-1914

w5936 Takatoshi Ito
Richard K. Lyons
Michael T. Melvin

Is There Private Information in the FX Market? The Tokyo Experiment

w5918 Robert F. Stambaugh
Analyzing Investments Whose Histories Differ in Length

t0209 Stefano Athanasoulis
Robert J. Shiller

The Significance of the Market Portfolio

w5906 William N. Goetzmann
Philippe Jorion

Re-emerging Markets

w5901 William N. Goetzmann
Philippe Jorion

A Century of Global Stock Markets

w5882 Willem H. Buiter
Ricardo Lago
Helene Rey

A Portfolio Approach to a Cross-Sectoral and Cross-National Investment Strategy in Transition Economies

w5873 Sanjiv Ranjan Das
Rangarajan K. Sundaram

Auction Theory: A Summary with Applications to Treasury Markets


1996
w5857 John Y. Campbell
Luis M. Viceira

Consumption and Portfolio Decisions When Expected Returns are Time Varying

w5852 Judith Chevalier
Glenn Ellison

Are Some Mutual Funds Managers Better Than Others? Cross-Sectional Patterns in Behavior and Performance

w5830 Jon A. Christopherson
Wayne E. Ferson
Debra A. Glassman

Conditioning Manager Alphas on Economic Information: Another Look at the Persistence of Performance

w5381 Kristen L. Willard
Timothy W. Guinnane
Harvey S. Rosen

Turning Points in the Civil War: Views from the Greenback Market

w5141 Benjamin M. Friedman
Economic Implications of Changing Share Ownership

w5769 Alan B. Krueger
Do Markets Respond More to More Reliable Labor Market Data? A Test of Market Rationality

w5714 Jeffrey A. Frankel
Sergio L. Schmukler

Country Fund Discounts, Asymmetric Information and the Mexican Crisis of 1994: Did Local Residents Turn Pessimistic Before International Investors?

w5671 Owen Lamont
Earnings and Expected Returns

w5638 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Stanley Zin

Arbitrage Opportunities in Arbitrage-Free Models of Bond Pricing

w5623 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Chris Telmer

Affine Models of Currency Pricing

w5604 Kent Daniel
Sheridan Titman

Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns

w5588 Peter Klibanoff
Owen Lamont
Thierry A. Wizman

Investor Reaction to Salient News in Closed-End Country Funds

w5587 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller

A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt

w5500 Bernard Dumas
Jeff Fleming
Robert E. Whaley

Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests

w5446 Charles M. Jones
Owen Lamont
Robin Lumsdaine

Public Information and the Persistence of Bond Market Volatility


1995
w5376 Graham Elliott
Takatoshi Ito

Heterogeneous Expectations and Tests of Efficiency in the Yen/Dollar Forward Foreign Exchange Rate Market

w5375 Louis K. C. Chan
Narasimhan Jegadeesh
Josef Lakonishok

Momentum Strategies

w5374 Louis K. C. Chan
Josef Lakonishok

A Cross-Market Comparison of Institutional Equity Trading Costs

w5371 Michael D. Bordo
Bruce Mizrach
Anna J. Schwartz

Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk: Some Lessons from History

w5358 Takatoshi Ito
Tokuo Iwaisako

Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan

w5352 Michael P. Dooley
A Survey of Academic Literature on Controls over International Capital Transactions

w5351 Yacine Ait-Sahalia
Andrew W. Lo

Nonparametric Estimation of State-Price Densities Implicit in Financial Asset Prices

w4288 Charles W. Calomiris
R. Glenn Hubbard

Internal Finance and Investment: Evidence from the Undistributed Profits Tax of 1936-1937

w5289 Karen K. Lewis
Stochastic Regime Switching and Stabilizing Policies within Regimes

w5233 James Dow
Gary Gorton

Stock Market Efficiency and Economic Efficiency: Is There a Connection?

w4993 Franklin R. Edwards
Frederic S. Mishkin

The Decline of Traditional Banking: Implications for Financial Stabilityand Regulatory Policy

w5184 Yongheng Deng
John M. Quigley
Robert Van Order

Mortgage Default and Low Downpayment Loans: The Costs of Public Subsidy

w5181 Sewin Chan
Residential Mobility and Mortgages

w5180 Wayne Archer
David C. Ling
Gary A. McGill

The Effect of Income and Collateral Constraints on Residential Mortgage Terminations

w5179 Dennis R. Capozza
Paul J. Seguin

Expectations, Efficiency, and Euphoria in the Housing Market

w5129 David S. Bates
Testing Option Pricing Models

w5100 Gary Gorton
Richard Rosen

Banks and Derivatives

w5095 Robert J. Shiller
Stefano Athanasoulis

World Income Components: Measuring and Exploiting International Risk Sharing Opportunities

w5074 William C. LaFayette
Donald R. Haurin
Patric H. Hendershott

Endogenous Mortgage Choice, Borrowing Constraints and the Tenure Decision

w5069 Patric H. Hendershott
William C. LaFayette

Debt Usage and Mortgage Choice: Sensitivity to Default Insurance Costs

w5031 John Y. Campbell
Some Lessons from the Yield Curve

w5027 Andrew W. Lo
A. Craig MacKinlay

Maximizing Predictability in the Stock and Bond Markets

w5019 Marianne Baxter
Urban J. Jermann

The International Diversification Puzzle is Worse Than You Think

w4718 James M. Hutchinson
Andrew W. Lo
Tomaso Poggio

A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities Via Learning Networks

w3709 Louis Kaplow
Taxation and Risk Taking: A General Equilibrium Perspective

w4997 Shmuel Kandel
Robert F. Stambaugh

On the Predictability of Stock Returns: An Asset-Allocation Perspective

w4984 Richard K. Lyons
Foreign Exchange Volume: Sound and Fury Signifying Nothing?

w4982 Richard K. Lyons
Andrew K. Rose

Explaining Forward Exchange Bias..Intraday

w4093 Maurice Obstfeld
Risk-Taking, Global Diversification, and Growth


1994
w4590 Jeffrey A. Frankel
The Internationalization of Equity Markets

w3794 Bronwyn H. Hall
Corporate Restructuring and Investment Horizons

w4308 Maurice Obstfeld
Are Industrial-Country Consumption Risks Globally Diversified?

w4875 Raghuram G. Rajan
Luigi Zingales

What Do We Know About Capital Structure? Some Evidence from International Data

w4858 James Dow
Gary Gorton

Noise Trading, Delegated Portfolio Management, and Economic Welfare

w4857 Niko Canner
N. Gregory Mankiw
David N. Weil

An Asset Allocation Puzzle

w4801 Michael R. Darby
Over-the-Counter Derivatives and Systemic Risk to the Global Financial System

w4778 Roni Michaely
Richard H. Thaler
Kent Womack

Price Reactions to Dividend Initiations and Omissions: Overreaction or Drift?

w4775 Patric H. Hendershott
Rental Adjustment & Valuation of Real Estate in Overbuilt Markets: Fundamental vs. Reported Office Market Values in Sydney Australia

w4774 Jesse M. Abraham
Patric H. Hendershott

Bubbles in Metropolitan Housing Markets

w4756 A. Craig MacKinlay
Multifactor Models Do Not Explain Deviations from the CAPM

w4720 Andrew W. Lo
Jiang Wang

Implementing Option Pricing Models When Asset Returns Are Predictable

w4702 Shmuel Kandel
Robert F. Stambaugh

Portfolio Inefficiency and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

w3818 Richard M. Levich
Lee R. Thomas

The Significance of Technical Trading-Rule Profits in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Bootstrap Approach

w4676 David K. Backus
Stanley E. Zin

Reverse Engineering the Yield Curve

t0153 Lars Peter Hansen
Ravi Jagannathan

Assessing Specification Errors in Stochastic Discount Factor Models

w4663 Campbell R. Harvey
Roger D. Huang

The Impact of the Federal Reserve Bank's Open Market Operations

w4657 Bernard Dumas
A Test of the International CAPM Using Business Cycles Indicators as Instrumental Variables

w4627 Eugene N. White
Peter Rappoport

The New York Stock Market in the 1920s and 1930s: Did Stock Prices Move Together Too Much?

w4624 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick
David A. Marshall

The Implications of First-Order Risk Aversion for Asset Market Risk Premiums


1993
t0131 Robert J. Shiller
Measuring Asset Values for Cash Settlement in Derivative Markets: Hedonic Repeated Measures indices and Perpetual Futures

w4596 David S. Bates
Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in thePHLX Deutschemark Options

w4595 Wayne E. Ferson
Campbell R. Harvey

An Exploratory Investigation of the Fundamental Determinants of National Equity Market Returns

w4592 Takatoshi Ito
Wen-Ling Lin

Price Volatility and Volume Spillovers between the Tokyo and New York Stock Markets

w4571 Gikas A. Hardouvelis
Rafael La Porta
Thierry A. Wizman

What Moves the Discount on Country Equity Funds?

w4554 John Y. Campbell
Understanding Risk and Return

t0145 Lars Peter Hansen
John Heaton
Erzo Luttmer

Econometric Evaluation of Asset Pricing Models

w4471 Richard K. Lyons
Tests of Microstructural Hypotheses in the Foreign Exchange Market

w4467 Richard K. Lyons
Optimal Transparency in a Dealership Market with an Application to Foreign Exchange

w4459 Bernard Dumas
Bruno Solnik

The World Price of Foreign Exchange Risk

w4458 Bernard Dumas
L. Peter Jennergren
Bertil Naslund

Realignment Risk and Currency Option Pricing in Target Zones

t0142 John Y. Campbell
Why Long Horizons: A Study of Power Against Persistent Alternatives

w4083 Robert S. Pindyck
The Present Value Model of Rational Commodity Pricing

w4329 John Campbell
Jianping Mei

Where do Betas Come From? Asset Price Dynamics and the Sources of Systematic Risk

w4315 James Dow
Gary Gorton

Profitable Informed Trading in a Simple General Equilibrium Model of Asset Pricing

w4314 James Dow
Gary Gorton

Arbitrage Chains

w4294 Charles Engel
Jeffrey A. Frankel
Kenneth A. Froot
Anthony P. Rodrigues

The Constrained Asset Share Estimation (CASE) Method: Testing Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market

w4253 Michael Haliassos
Andrew B. Lyon

Progressivity of Capital Gains Taxation with Optimal Portfolio Selection


1992
w4234 Douglas Elmendorf
Mary Hirshfeld
David Weil

The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom 1900-1920

w4217 Rene M. Stulz
Walter Wasserfallen

Foreign Equity Investment Restrictions and Shareholder Wealth Maximization

w4193 John Y. Campbell
Sanford J. Grossman
Jiang Wang

Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns

w3790 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick

Characterizing Predictable Components in Excess Returns on Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets

w4128 Patric Hendershott
Edward J. Kane

Office Market Values During the Past Decade: How Distorted Have Appraisals Been?

w4121 David Romer
Rational Asset Price Movements Without News

t0124 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Pok-sang Lam
Nelson C. Mark

Testing Volatility Restrictions on Intertemporal Marginal Rates of Substitution Implied by Euler Equations and Asset Returns

w4110 Andrew B. Abel
Exact Solutions for Expected Rates of Return Under Markov Regime Switching: Implications for the Equity Premium Puzzle

w4108 Tim Bollerslev
Robert J. Hodrick

Financial Market Efficiency Tests

w4104 Phillip A. Braun
George M. Constantinides
Wayne E. Ferson

Time Nonseparability in Aggregate Consumption: International Evidence

w4074 K.C. Chan
G. Andrew Karolyi
Rene M. Stulz

Global Financial Markets and the Risk Premium on U.S. Equity

w4043 Bruce N. Lehmann
Empirical Testing of Asset Pricing Models

w4004 Noriyuki Yanagawa
Gene M. Grossman

Asset Bubbles and Endogenous Growth

w3995 Robert B. Barsky
J. Bradford De Long

Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?

w3992 Olivier Jean Blanchard
Philippe Weil

Dynamic Efficiency, the Riskless Rate, and Debt Ponzi Games Under Uncertainty

w3989 John Y. Campbell
Intertemporal Asset Pricing Without Consumption Data

w3975 Philippe Weil
Equilibrium Asset Prices With Undiversifiable Labor Income Risk


1991
w3911 Wen-Ling Lin
Robert F. Engle
Takatoshi Ito

Do Bulls and Bears Move Across Borders? International Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility as the World Turns

w3910 Shang-Jin Wei
Jeffrey A. Frankel

Are Option-Implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable?

w3889 Richard K. Lyons
Private Beliefs and Information Externalities in the Foreign Exchange Market

w3888 Jerry A. Hausman
Andrew W. Lo
A. Craig MacKinlay

An Ordered Probit Analysis of Transaction Stock Prices

w3873 Bruce N. Lehmann
Asset Pricing and Intrinsic Values: A Review Essay

w3862 Franklin Allen
Gary Gorton

Stock Price Manipulation, Market Microstructure and Asymmetric Information

w3861 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick

On Biases in the Measurement of Foreign Exchange Risk Premiums

t0110 Scott Freeman
Guido Tabellini

The Optimality of Nominal Contracts

t0109 Larry G. Epstein
Stanley E. Zin

The Independence Axiom and Asset Returns

w3760 John Y. Campbell
John Ammer

What Moves the Stock and Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long-Term Asset Returns

w3752 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Pok-sang Lam
Nelson C. Clark

The Equity Premium and the Risk Free Rate: Matching the Moments

w3742 John Y. Campbell
Ludger Hentschel

No News is Good News: An Asymmetric Model of Changing Volatility in Stock Returns

w3731 Richard Zeckhauser
Jayendu Patel
Darryll Hendricks

Nonrational Actors and Financial Market Behavior

w3707 Franklin Allen
Gary Gorton

Rational Finite Bubbles

w3687 Gary Gorton
James Dow

Trading, Communication and the Response of Price to New Information


Generated Wed Nov 25 04:33:00 2009

 
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