NBER Papers in JEL Code E4: Money and Interest Rates

w23828 Haelim Park Anderson
Gary Richardson
Brian S. Yang

Deposit Insurance and Depositor Monitoring: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Creation of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
w23767 John R. Graham
Mark T. Leary

The Evolution of Corporate Cash
w23783 Cory Cutsail
Farley Grubb

The Paper Money of Colonial North Carolina, 1712-1774
w23784 Alejandro Justiniano
Giorgio E. Primiceri
Andrea Tambalotti

The Mortgage Rate Conundrum
w23802 Atif Mian
Amir Sufi
Emil Verner

How do Credit Supply Shocks Affect the Real Economy? Evidence from the United States in the 1980s
w23747 Benjamin Bernard
Agostino Capponi
Joseph E. Stiglitz

Bail-ins and Bail-outs: Incentives, Connectivity, and Systemic Stability
w23754 Jeffrey A. Frankel
Ayako Saiki

Does It Matter If Statistical Agencies Frame the Month's CPI Reporton a 1-Month or 12-month Basis?
w23759 Wenxin Du
Joanne Im
Jesse Schreger

The U.S. Treasury Premium
w23740 Stefania Albanesi
Giacomo De Giorgi
Jaromir Nosal

Credit Growth and the Financial Crisis: A New Narrative
w23694 Greg Kaplan
Kurt Mitman
Giovanni L. Violante

The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence
w23706 Andreas Fuster
Stephanie H. Lo
Paul S. Willen

The Time-Varying Price of Financial Intermediation in the Mortgage Market
w23711 Michael D. Bordo
Andrew T. Levin

Central Bank Digital Currency and the Future of Monetary Policy
w23651 Elena Gerko
Hélène Rey

Monetary Policy in the Capitals of Capital
w23647 Thorsten Drautzburg
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Pablo Guerrón-Quintana

Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations
w23672 Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Serena Ng

Level and Volatility Factors in Macroeconomic Data
w23614 Ricardo J. Caballero
Alp Simsek

A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Macroprudential Policy
w23586 Sebastian Di Tella
Optimal Regulation of Financial Intermediaries
w23562 Richard H. Clarida
The Global Factor in Neutral Policy Rates: Some Implications for Exchange Rates, Monetary Policy, and Policy Coordination
w23440 Maurice Obstfeld
Alan M. Taylor

International Monetary Relations: Taking Finance Seriously
w23452 Tomasz Piskorski
Alexei Tchistyi

An Equilibrium Model of Housing and Mortgage Markets with State-Contingent Lending Contracts
w23424 Ali Ozdagli
Michael Weber

Monetary Policy through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market
w23429 James D. Hamilton
Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter
w23311 Eric T. Swanson
Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets
w23314 Cristina Arellano
Yan Bai
Luigi Bocola

Sovereign Default Risk and Firm Heterogeneity
w23316 Falk Bräuning
Victoria Ivashina

Monetary Policy and Global Banking
w23304 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Rupal Kamdar

The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve
w23281 Emmanuel Farhi
Iván Werning

Monetary Policy, Bounded Rationality, and Incomplete Markets
w23287 Òscar Jordà
Björn Richter
Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis
w23245 Nuno Coimbra
Hélène Rey

Financial Cycles with Heterogeneous Intermediaries
w23234 Maryam Farboodi
Gregor Jarosch
Robert Shimer

The Emergence of Market Structure
w23204 Sebastian Edwards
The London Monetary and Economic Conference of 1933 and the End of The Great Depression: A "Change of Regime" Analysis
w23151 Julio A. Carrillo
Enrique G. Mendoza
Victoria Nuguer
Jessica Roldán-Peña

Tight Money-Tight Credit: Coordination Failure in the Conduct of Monetary and Financial Policies
w23154 Andrew Fieldhouse
Karel Mertens
Morten O. Ravn

The Macroeconomic Effects of Government Asset Purchases: Evidence from Postwar US Housing Credit Policy
w23165 Andrew J. Fieldhouse
Karel Mertens

A Narrative Analysis of Mortgage Asset Purchases by Federal Agencies
w23157 Michael T. Belongia
Peter N. Ireland

Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money
w23167 Kyriakos T. Chousakos
Gary B. Gorton

Bank Health Post-Crisis
w23066 Francesco D’Acunto
Ryan Liu
Carolin Pflueger
Michael Weber

Flexible Prices and Leverage
w23074 Òscar Jordà
Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Large and State-Dependent Effects of Quasi-Random Monetary Experiments
w23032 Joseph E. Stiglitz
Macro-economic Management in an Electronic Credit/Financial System
w22990 Cristina Arellano
Yan Bai
Patrick J. Kehoe

Financial Frictions and Fluctuations in Volatility
w22979 John H. Cochrane
Stepping on a Rake: Replication and Diagnosis
w22958 Cosmin L. Ilut
Hikaru Saijo

Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles
w22905 Tano Santos
Pietro Veronesi

Habits and Leverage
w22924 Dong Lee
Han Shin
René M. Stulz

Why Does Capital No Longer Flow More to the Industries with the Best Growth Opportunities?
w22891 Jon Cohen
Kinda Cheryl Hachem
Gary Richardson

Relationship Lending and the Great Depression: Measurement and New Implications
w22868 Enrique G. Mendoza
Macroprudential Policy: Promise and Challenges
w22837 Joseph E. Stiglitz
The Theory of Credit and Macro-economic Stability
w22839 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Andrey Ermolov

Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
w22827 Simon Gilchrist
Raphael Schoenle
Jae Sim
Egon Zakrajšek

Inflation Dynamics During the Financial Crisis
w22831 Andreas Neuhierl
Michael Weber

Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence
w22785 George-Marios Angeletos
Chen Lian

Forward Guidance without Common Knowledge
w22790 Tarek A. Hassan
Thomas M. Mertens
Tony Zhang

Currency Manipulation
w22761 Robert E. Hall
Ricardo Reis

Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank's Payment on Reserves
w22747 David S. Jacks
Se Yan
Liuyan Zhao

Silver Points, Silver Flows, and the Measure of Chinese Financial Integration
w22751 Ricardo J. Caballero
Alp Simsek

A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment
w22743 Òscar Jordà
Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts
w22729 Arvind Krishnamurthy
Jennie Bai
Charles-Henri Weymuller

Measuring Liquidity Mismatch in the Banking Sector
w22694 Luigi Bocola
Alessandro Dovis

Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis
w22663 Pedro Brinca
V. V. Chari
Patrick J. Kehoe
Ellen McGrattan

Accounting for Business Cycles
w22639 Vladimir Asriyan
Luca Fornaro
Alberto Martin
Jaume Ventura

Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World
w22618 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
Hélène Rey

Real Interest Rates, Imbalances and the Curse of Regional Safe Asset Providers at the Zero Lower Bound
w22592 Wenxin Du
Carolin E. Pflueger
Jesse Schreger

Sovereign Debt Portfolios, Bond Risks, and the Credibility of Monetary Policy
w22599 Gary Gorton
Ping He

Optimal Monetary Policy in a Collateralized Economy
w22572 Francesco Bianchi
Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation
w22520 Michael Weber
Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns
w22533 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Yuliy Sannikov

The I Theory of Money
w22535 Guillermo A. Calvo
From Chronic Inflation to Chronic Deflation: Focusing on Expectations and Liquidity Disarray Since WWII
w22510 Marc Dordal-i-Carreras
Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Johannes Wieland

Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation
w22481 Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé
Martín Uribe

Is Optimal Capital-Control Policy Countercyclical In Open-Economy Models With Collateral Constraints?
w22475 Luca Benati
Robert E. Lucas
Juan Pablo Nicolini
Warren Weber

International Evidence on Long Run Money Demand
w22431 Edward C. Prescott
Ryan Wessel

Monetary Policy with 100 Percent Reserve Banking: An Exploration
w22444 Eduardo Dávila
Anton Korinek

Pecuniary Externalities in Economies with Financial Frictions
w22415 Ricardo Reis
QE in the future: the central bank's balance sheet in a fiscal crisis
w22364 Jaroslav Borovička
Lars Peter Hansen

Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy
w22370 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
Thomas Philippon
Dimitri Vayanos

The Analytics of the Greek Crisis
w22354 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Housing and Macroeconomics
w22356 John B. Taylor
The Staying Power of Staggered Wage and Price Setting Models in Macroeconomics
w22343 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Yuliy Sannikov

Macro, Money and Finance: A Continuous Time Approach
w22297 George-Marios Angeletos
Chen Lian

Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination
w22311 Julio Garín
Robert Lester
Eric Sims

Are Supply Shocks Contractionary at the ZLB? Evidence from Utilization-Adjusted TFP Data
w22283 Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi
Alessandro Rebucci

Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?
w22285 Michael Woodford
Quantitative Easing and Financial Stability
w22295 Emmanuel Farhi
Matteo Maggiori

A Model of the International Monetary System
w22256 Atif Mian
Amir Sufi

Who Bears the Cost of Recessions? The Role of House Prices and Household Debt
w22259 Marco Del Negro
Gauti Eggertsson
Andrea Ferrero
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki

The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed's Liquidity Facilities
w22264 Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé
Martín Uribe

Multiple Equilibria in Open Economy Models with Collateral Constraints: Overborrowing Revisited
w22271 Zhiguo He
Arvind Krishnamurthy
Konstantin Milbradt

A Model of Safe Asset Determination
w22243 Gauti B. Eggertsson
Kevin Proulx

Bernanke's No-arbitrage Argument Revisited: Can Open Market Operations in Real Assets Eliminate the Liquidity Trap?
w22223 Charles W. Calomiris
Matthew Jaremski

Deposit Insurance: Theories and Facts
w22238 Max Raskin
David Yermack

Digital Currencies, Decentralized Ledgers, and the Future of Central Banking
w22192 Farley Grubb
Colonial American Paper Money and the Quantity Theory of Money: An Extension
w22196 Robert E. Hall
The Role of the Growth of Risk-Averse Wealth in the Decline of the Safe Real Interest Rate
w22198 Nicholas Ford
Charles Yuji Horioka

The 'Real' Explanation of the PPP Puzzle
w22210 Gary B. Gorton
The History and Economics of Safe Assets
w22212 Saki Bigio
Jennifer La’O

Financial Frictions in Production Networks
w22183 Drew D. Creal
Jing Cynthia Wu

Bond Risk Premia in Consumption-based Models
w22177 Julio Garín
Robert Lester
Eric Sims

Raise Rates to Raise Inflation? Neo-Fisherianism in the New Keynesian Model
w22157 Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Daniel Sanches

Can Currency Competition Work?
w22125 Mark Aguiar
Satyajit Chatterjee
Harold Cole
Zachary Stangebye

Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises
w22129 Alisdair McKay
Emi Nakamura
Jón Steinsson

The Discounted Euler Equation: A Note
w22133 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Yuliy Sannikov

On the Optimal Inflation Rate
w22136 Roger E.A. Farmer
Konstantin Platonov

Animal Spirits in a Monetary Model
w22100 Richard G. Anderson
Michael Bordo
John V. Duca

Money and Velocity During Financial Crises: From the Great Depression to the Great Recession
w22074 Kris James Mitchener
Gary Richardson

Network Contagion and Interbank Amplification during the Great Depression
w22053 Douglas W. Diamond
Anil K. Kashyap

Liquidity Requirements, Liquidity Choice and Financial Stability
w22058 Dario Caldara
Cristina Fuentes-Albero
Simon Gilchrist
Egon Zakrajšek

The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks
w22064 Gary Gorton
Ellis W. Tallman

Too-Big-To-Fail Before the Fed
w22020 Rajnish Mehra
Arunima Sinha

The Term Structure of Interest Rates in India
w22021 Michael D. Bordo
John V. Duca
Christoffer Koch

Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Credit Channel: Aggregate and Bank Level U.S. Evidence over Several Decades
w22036 Gary Gorton
Ellis W. Tallman

How Did Pre-Fed Banking Panics End?
w22006 Gaetano Gaballo
Ramon Marimon

Breaking the Spell with Credit-Easing: Self-Confirming Credit Crises in Competitive Search Economies
w22008 Gary Gorton
Guillermo Ordoñez

Good Booms, Bad Booms
w21997 Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Oren Levintal

Solution Methods for Models with Rare Disasters
w21954 Takatoshi Ito
Japanization: Is it Endemic or Epidemic?
w21958 Carmen M. Reinhart
Vincent Reinhart
Christoph Trebesch

Global Cycles: Capital Flows, Commodities, and Sovereign Defaults, 1815-2015
w21942 Alejandro Justiniano
Giorgio E. Primiceri
Andrea Tambalotti

A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth
w21879 David López-Salido
Jeremy C. Stein
Egon Zakrajšek

Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle
w21880 Kinda Cheryl Hachem
Zheng Michael Song

Liquidity Regulation and Unintended Financial Transformation in China
w21881 Farley Grubb
Colonial Virginia's Paper Money Regime, 1755-1774: Value Decomposition and Performance
w21888 Robert J. Barro
Gordon Y. Liao

Options-Pricing Formula with Disaster Risk
w21892 Mark Gertler
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki
Andrea Prestipino

Wholesale Banking and Bank Runs in Macroeconomic Modelling of Financial Crises
w21820 Vasco Cúrdia
Michael Woodford

Credit Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy
w21814 Saten Kumar
Hassan Afrouzi
Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand
w21816 Eric T. Swanson
Measuring the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Asset Prices
w21791 Michael B. Devereux
Eric R. Young
Changhua Yu

A New Dilemma: Capital Controls and Monetary Policy in Sudden Stop Economies
w21803 Sydney C. Ludvigson
Sai Ma
Serena Ng

Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?
w21779 Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill
Tsz-Nga Wong

Working through the Distribution: Money in the Short and Long Run
w21739 Francesco Trebbi
Kairong Xiao

Regulation and Market Liquidity
w21722 Silvia Miranda-Agrippino
Hélène Rey

World Asset Markets and the Global Financial Cycle
w21728 Farley Grubb
Common Currency versus Currency Union: The U.S. Continental Dollar and Denominational Structure, 1775-1776
w21731 Darrell Duffie
Lei Qiao
Yeneng Sun

Dynamic Directed Random Matching
w21694 Sebastian Edwards
Francis A. Longstaff
Alvaro Garcia Marin

The U.S. Debt Restructuring of 1933: Consequences and Lessons
w21686 Felipe S. Iachan
Plamen T. Nenov
Alp Simsek

The Choice Channel of Financial Innovation
w21614 Mariana García-Schmidt
Michael Woodford

Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis
w21581 Atif R. Mian
Amir Sufi
Emil Verner

Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide
w21599 Louis Phaneuf
Eric R. Sims
Jean Gardy Victor

Inflation, Output, and Markup Dynamics with Forward-Looking Wage and Price Setters
w21569 Jeremy C. Stein
Adi Sunderam

Gradualism in Monetary Policy: A Time-Consistency Problem?
w21576 Peter N. Ireland
Monetary Policy, Bond Risk Premia, and the Economy
w21476 James D. Hamilton
Ethan S. Harris
Jan Hatzius
Kenneth D. West

The Equilibrium Real Funds Rate: Past, Present and Future
w21486 Òscar Jordà
Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Leveraged Bubbles
w21487 Frederico Belo
Xiaoji Lin
Jun Li
Xiaofei Zhao

Labor-Force Heterogeneity and Asset Prices: the Importance of Skilled Labor
w21444 Joseph E. Stiglitz
Towards a General Theory of Deep Downturns
w21458 Sari Kerr
William R. Kerr
Ramana Nanda

House Money and Entrepreneurship
w21420 Julio Garín
Robert Lester
Eric Sims

On the Desirability of Nominal GDP Targeting
w21333 Carmen M. Reinhart
Miguel Angel Santos

From Financial Repression to External Distress: The Case of Venezuela
w21334 Juliane Begenau
Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Banks' Risk Exposures
w21336 Saroj Bhattarai
Gauti B. Eggertsson
Bulat Gafarov

Time Consistency and the Duration of Government Debt: A Signalling Theory of Quantitative Easing
w21287 Michael D. Bordo
Christopher M. Meissner

Growing Up to Stability? Financial Globalization, Financial Development and Financial Crises
w21294 Jess Benhabib
Xuewen Liu
Pengfei Wang

Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
w21226 Ricardo Reis
Different Types of Central Bank Insolvency and the Central Role of Seignorage
w21201 Miguel Faria-e-Castro
Joseba Martinez
Thomas Philippon

Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity
w21173 Robert E. Hall
Ricardo Reis

Maintaining Central-Bank Financial Stability under New-Style Central Banking
w21179 Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill
Tsz-Nga Wong

A Tractable Model of Monetary Exchange with Ex-post Heterogeneity
w21182 Ian Dew-Becker
Stefano Giglio
Anh Le
Marius Rodriguez

The Price of Variance Risk
w21152 Farley Grubb
Colonial New Jersey's Provincial Fiscal Structure, 1709-1775: Spending Obligations, Revenue Sources, and Tax Burdens in War and in Peace
w21121 Luigi Guiso
Paola Sapienza
Luigi Zingales

Monnet's Error?
w21110 Fernando Alvarez
Francesco Lippi

Cash burns: An inventory model with a cash-credit choice
w21092 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Saten Kumar

How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence
w21039 Alan M. Taylor
Credit, Financial Stability, and the Macroeconomy
w21016 Hang Bai
Kewei Hou
Howard Kung
Lu Zhang

The CAPM Strikes Back? An Investment Model with Disasters
w21017 Michael Bordo
Harold James

Capital Flows and Domestic and International Order: Trilemmas from Macroeconomics to Political Economy and International Relations
w21021 Christina D. Romer
David H. Romer

New Evidence on the Impact of Financial Crises in Advanced Countries
w20957 Jennifer N. Carpenter
Fangzhou Lu
Robert F. Whitelaw

The Real Value of China's Stock Market
w20963 Stefano Giglio
Bryan T. Kelly
Seth Pruitt

Systemic Risk and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Evaluation
w20933 Jaume Ventura
Alberto Martin

The International Transmission of Credit Bubbles: Theory and Policy
w20947 Atif R. Mian
Amir Sufi

Fraudulent Income Overstatement on Mortgage Applications during the Credit Expansion of 2002 to 2005
w20874 Alejandro Justiniano
Giorgio E. Primiceri
Andrea Tambalotti

Credit Supply and the Housing Boom
w20882 Alisdair McKay
Emi Nakamura
Jón Steinsson

The Power of Forward Guidance Revisited
w20852 Christopher M. Meissner
The Limits of Bimetallism
w20821 Era Dabla-Norris
Yan Ji
Robert M. Townsend
D. Filiz Unsal

Distinguishing Constraints on Financial Inclusion and Their Impact on GDP, TFP, and Inequality
w20831 Roger E.A. Farmer
Global Sunspots and Asset Prices in a Monetary Economy
w20805 Anton Korinek
Damiano Sandri

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?
w20771 Òscar Jordà
Moritz HP. Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Betting the House
w20730 Fiorella De Fiore
Harald Uhlig

Corporate Debt Structure and the Financial Crisis
w20711 Don H. Kim
Jonathan H. Wright

Jumps in Bond Yields at Known Times
w20703 Frédéric Boissay
Russell Cooper

The Collateral Trap
w20678 Anisha Ghosh
George M. Constantinides

Prices, Consumption, and Dividends Over the Business Cycle: A Tale of Two Regimes
w20682 Kewei Hou
Chen Xue
Lu Zhang

A Comparison of New Factor Models
w20642 Jess Benhabib
Feng Dong
Pengfei Wang

Adverse Selection and Self-fulfilling Business Cycles
w20650 Russell Cooper
Antoine Camous

Monetary Policy and Debt Fragility
w20617 Makoto Nakajima
José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

Credit, Bankruptcy, and Aggregate Fluctuations
w20594 Drew D. Creal
Jing Cynthia Wu

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations
w20603 Kris James Mitchener
Matthew Jaremski

The Evolution of Bank Supervision: Evidence from U.S. States
w20569 Alp Simsek
Andrei Shleifer
Matthew Rognlie

Investment Hangover and the Great Recession
w20572 Philippe Martin
Thomas Philippon

Inspecting the Mechanism: Leverage and the Great Recession in the Eurozone
w20581 John Graham
Mark T. Leary
Michael R. Roberts

How Does Government Borrowing Affect Corporate Financing and Investment?
w20554 Guillaume Bazot
Michael D. Bordo
Eric Monnet

The Price of Stability: The balance sheet policy of the Banque de France and the Gold Standard (1880-1914)
w20442 Andrea L. Eisfeldt
Tyler Muir

Aggregate External Financing and Savings Waves
w20518 John Fernald
Mark M. Spiegel
Eric T. Swanson

Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model
w20524 Farley Grubb
Jim Celia

Non-Legal-Tender Paper Money: The Structure and Performance of Maryland's Bills of Credit, 1767-1775
w20501 Òscar Jordà
Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles
w20507 Julio J. Rotemberg
The Federal Reserve's Abandonment of its 1923 Principles
w20486 Eric T. Swanson
John C. Williams

Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates
w20490 Javier Bianchi
Saki Bigio

Banks, Liquidity Management and Monetary Policy
w20419 Gara Afonso
Ricardo Lagos

Trade Dynamics in the Market for Federal Funds
w20435 Jonathan B. Berk
Jules H. van Binsbergen

Assessing Asset Pricing Models Using Revealed Preference
w20445 Anna Orlik
Laura Veldkamp

Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans
w20408 Cristian Badarinza
John Y. Campbell
Tarun Ramadorai

What Calls to ARMs? International Evidence on Interest Rates and the Choice of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages
w20377 Jianjun Miao
Pengfei Wang
Tao Zha

Liquidity Premia, Price-Rent Dynamics, and Business Cycles
w20365 Kinda Hachem
Resource Allocation and Inefficiency in the Financial Sector
w20346 Helios Herrera
Guillermo Ordoñez
Christoph Trebesch

Political Booms, Financial Crises
w20328 YiLi Chien
Harold L. Cole
Hanno Lustig

Implications of Heterogeneity in Preferences, Beliefs and Asset Trading Technologies for the Macroeconomy
w20335 Alan Moreira
Alexi Savov

The Macroeconomics of Shadow Banking
w20340 Joel M. David
Hugo A. Hopenhayn
Venky Venkateswaran

Information, Misallocation and Aggregate Productivity
w20303 Frank Schorfheide
Dongho Song
Amir Yaron

Identifying Long-Run Risks: A Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Approach
w20255 Tri Vi Dang
Gary Gorton
Bengt Holmström
Guillermo Ordonez

Banks as Secret Keepers
w20265 Stefan Nagel
The Liquidity Premium of Near-Money Assets
w20230 Gabriel Chodorow-Reich
Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Financial Institutions
w20237 Christoph E. Boehm
Christopher L. House

Optimal Taylor Rules in New Keynesian Models
w20246 Marcin Kacperczyk
Jaromir B. Nosal
Luminita Stevens

Investor Sophistication and Capital Income Inequality
w20207 Oliver Hart
Luigi Zingales

Banks Are Where The Liquidity Is
w20210 Frederico Belo
Xiaoji Lin
Fan Yang

External Equity Financing Shocks, Financial Flows, and Asset Prices
w20224 Mark Gertler
Peter Karadi

Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs and Economic Activity
w20193 Tarek A. Hassan
Thomas M. Mertens

Information Aggregation in a DSGE Model
w20165 Anil K. Kashyap
Dimitrios P. Tsomocos
Alexandros P. Vardoulakis

How does macroprudential regulation change bank credit supply?
w20152 Atif Mian
Amir Sufi

House Price Gains and U.S. Household Spending from 2002 to 2006
w20154 Stefano Giglio
Matteo Maggiori
Johannes Stroebel

No-Bubble Condition: Model-free Tests in Housing Markets
w20115 Drew D. Creal
Jing Cynthia Wu

Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility
w20126 Kenneth S. Rogoff
Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency
w20133 Stefano Giglio
Matteo Maggiori
Johannes Stroebel

Very Long-Run Discount Rates
w20099 Paul Bergin
Ling Feng
Ching-Yi Lin

Financial Frictions and Firm Dynamics
w20110 George M. Constantinides
Anisha Ghosh

Asset Pricing with Countercyclical Household Consumption Risk
w20117 Jing Cynthia Wu
Fan Dora Xia

Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound
w20081 Francesco Bianchi
Cosmin L. Ilut
Martin Schneider

Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle
w20094 Simon Gilchrist
David López-Salido
Egon Zakrajšek

Monetary Policy and Real Borrowing Costs at the Zero Lower Bound
w20070 John Y. Campbell
Carolin Pflueger
Luis M. Viceira

Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks
w20076 Bernard Herskovic
Bryan T. Kelly
Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

The Common Factor in Idiosyncratic Volatility: Quantitative Asset Pricing Implications
w20027 Gary B. Gorton
Andrew Metrick
Lei Xie

The Flight from Maturity
w20041 Simon Gilchrist
Benoît Mojon

Credit Risk in the Euro Area
w19985 Anne-Laure Delatte
Julien Fouquau
Richard Portes

Nonlinearities in Sovereign Risk Pricing: The Role of CDS Index Contracts
w19997 Francisco J. Buera
Roberto Fattal-Jaef
Yongseok Shin

Anatomy of a Credit Crunch: From Capital to Labor Markets
w19970 Anton Korinek
Alp Simsek

Liquidity Trap and Excessive Leverage
w19960 Jaume Ventura
Alberto Martin

Managing Credit Bubbles
w19910 John Graham
Mark T. Leary
Michael R. Roberts

A Century of Capital Structure: The Leveraging of Corporate America
w19903 Farley Grubb
A New Approach to Solving the Colonial Monetary Puzzle: Evidence from New Jersey, 1709-1775
w19885 Zhiguo He
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A Macroeconomic Framework for Quantifying Systemic Risk
w19887 Mervyn King
David Low

Measuring the ''World'' Real Interest Rate
w19854 Xavier Gabaix
Matteo Maggiori

International Liquidity and Exchange Rate Dynamics
w19814 Dick van Dijk
Robin L. Lumsdaine
Michel van der Wel

Market Set-Up in Advance of Federal Reserve Policy Decisions
w19823 Carmen M. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes
w19777 Pascal Michaillat
Emmanuel Saez

An Economical Business-Cycle Model
w19747 David Yermack
Is Bitcoin a Real Currency? An economic appraisal
w19683 Guillermo Calvo
Fabrizio Coricelli
Pablo Ottonello

Jobless Recoveries During Financial Crises: Is Inflation the Way Out?
w19635 Alejandro Justiniano
Giorgio Primiceri
Andrea Tambalotti

The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy
w19650 Alessandro Beber
Michael W. Brandt
Maurizio Luisi

Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow
w19594 Thomas F. Cooley
Ramon Marimon
Vincenzo Quadrini

Risky Investments with Limited Commitment
w19572 Anton Korinek
Jonathan Kreamer

The Redistributive Effects of Financial Deregulation
w19537 Matthias Doepke
Martin Schneider

Money as a Unit of Account
w19540 Gary Gorton
The Development of Opacity in U.S. Banking
w19516 Mark Aguiar
Manuel Amador
Emmanuel Farhi
Gita Gopinath

Crisis and Commitment: Inflation Credibility and the Vulnerability to Sovereign Debt Crises
w19523 Linda S. Goldberg
Christian Grisse

Time Variation in Asset Price Responses to Macro Announcements
w19497 Linda S. Goldberg
Banking Globalization, Transmission, and Monetary Policy Autonomy
w19476 John H. Cochrane
The New-Keynesian Liquidity Trap
w19477 Pablo D'Erasmo
Enrique G. Mendoza

Distributional Incentives in an Equilibrium Model of Domestic Sovereign Default
w19456 Kyle Jurado
Sydney C. Ludvigson
Serena Ng

Measuring Uncertainty
w19421 Hui Chen
Michael Michaux
Nikolai Roussanov

Houses as ATMs? Mortgage Refinancing and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
w19405 Barry Eichengreen
Does the Federal Reserve Care About the Rest of the World?
w19382 Zheng Liu
Jianjun Miao
Tao Zha

Land Prices and Unemployment
w19360 David Backus
Mikhail Chernov
Stanley E. Zin

Identifying Taylor Rules in Macro-Finance Models
w19362 Anton Korinek
Enrique G. Mendoza

From Sudden Stops to Fisherian Deflation: Quantitative Theory and Policy Implications
w19323 Dean Corbae
Erwan Quintin

Leverage and the Foreclosure Crisis
w19337 Simon Gilchrist
Egon Zakrajsek

The Impact of the Federal Reserve's Large-Scale Asset Purchase Programs on Corporate Credit Risk
w19345 Andreas Fuster
Paul S. Willen

Payment Size, Negative Equity, and Mortgage Default
w19278 Russell Cooper
Kalin Nikolov

Government Debt and Banking Fragility: The Spreading of Strategic Uncertainty
w19313 Emmanuel Farhi
Iván Werning

A Theory of Macroprudential Policies in the Presence of Nominal Rigidities
w19246 Robin Greenwood
Samuel Hanson

Waves in Ship Prices and Investment
w19248 S. Borağan Aruoba
Pablo Cuba-Borda
Frank Schorfheide

Macroeconomic Dynamics Near the ZLB: A Tale of Two Countries
w19260 Emi Nakamura
Jón Steinsson

High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect
w19204 Andrew G. Atkeson
Andrea L. Eisfeldt
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Measuring the Financial Soundness of U.S. Firms, 1926-2012
w19184 Oliver D. Hart
Luigi Zingales

Liquidity and Inefficient Investment
w19192 V.V. Chari
Patrick J. Kehoe

Bailouts, Time Inconsistency, and Optimal Regulation
w19139 Harry DeAngelo
René M. Stulz

Why High Leverage is Optimal for Banks
w19146 Rajnish Mehra
Asset Pricing Implications of Macroeconomic Interventions An Application to Climate Policy
w19156 David S. Scharfstein
Adi Sunderam

Concentration in Mortgage Lending, Refinancing Activity and Mortgage Rates
w19117 Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer
Robert W. Vishny

Finance and the Preservation of Wealth
w19129 Mark Gertler
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki

Banking, Liquidity and Bank Runs in an Infinite-Horizon Economy
w19132 Russell Cooper
Hubert Kempf

Deposit Insurance and Orderly Liquidation without Commitment: Can we Sleep Well?
w19106 Dean Karlan
Jonathan Zinman

Long-Run Price Elasticities of Demand for Credit: Evidence from a Countrywide Field Experiment in Mexico
w19093 Franziska Bremus
Claudia Buch
Katheryn Russ
Monika Schnitzer

Big Banks and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence of Granularity
w19095 Lieven Baele
Geert Bekaert
Koen Inghelbrecht
Min Wei

Flights to Safety
w19072 Enrique G. Mendoza
Katherine A. Smith

Financial Globalization, Financial Crises, and the External Portfolio Structure of Emerging Markets
w19008 George J. Hall
Thomas J. Sargent

Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars
w19009 Venky Venkateswaran
Randall Wright

Pledgability and Liquidity: A New Monetarist Model of Financial and Macroeconomic Activity
w19022 Guillermo Ordonez
Sustainable Shadow Banking
w18941 Alejandro Justiniano
Giorgio E. Primiceri
Andrea Tambalotti

Household Leveraging and Deleveraging
w18922 Stéphane Guibaud
Yves Nosbusch
Dimitri Vayanos

Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve, and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt
w18890 Mary Amiti
David E. Weinstein

How Much do Idiosyncratic Bank Shocks Affect Investment? Evidence from Matched Bank-Firm Loan Data
w18895 Kris James Mitchener
Gary Richardson

Does "Skin in the Game" Reduce Risk Taking? Leverage, Liability and the Long-Run Consequences of New Deal Banking Reforms
w18864 Marco Bassetto
Christopher Phelan

Speculative Runs on Interest Rate Pegs
w18860 Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Michael Weber

Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence From The Stock Market
w18800 George-Marios Angeletos
Fabrice Collard
Harris Dellas
Behzad Diba

Optimal Public Debt Management and Liquidity Provision
w18806 Jordi Galí
Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles
w18796 Alexander J. Field
The Interwar Housing Cycle in the Light of 2001-2011: A Comparative Historical Approach
w18759 Robert J. Barro
Sanjay P. Misra

Gold Returns
w18766 Jaromir Nosal
Guillermo Ordoñez

Uncertainty as Commitment
w18737 Ricardo J. Caballero
Emmanuel Farhi

A Model of the Safe Asset Mechanism (SAM): Safety Traps and Economic Policy
w18732 Gary B. Gorton
Guillermo Ordoñez

The Supply and Demand for Safe Assets
w18682 Lawrence Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

Risk Shocks
w18688 Lawrence Christiano
Daisuke Ikeda

Leverage Restrictions in a Business Cycle Model
w18675 Olivier Jeanne
Anton Korinek

Macroprudential Regulation Versus Mopping Up After the Crash
w18647 Roger E.A. Farmer
Carine Nourry
Alain Venditti

The Inefficient Markets Hypothesis: Why Financial Markets Do Not Work Well in the Real World
w18616 Christopher Hanes
Paul W. Rhode

Harvests and Financial Crises in Gold-Standard America
w18606 Alan M. Taylor
External Imbalances and Financial Crises
w18587 Javier Bianchi
Efficient Bailouts?
w18527 Joshua Aizenman
Ilan Noy

Macroeconomic Adjustment and the History of Crises in Open Economies
w18505 Lars Peter Hansen
Challenges in Identifying and Measuring Systemic Risk
w18510 Jonathan A. Parker
LEADS on Macroeconomic Risks to and from the Household Sector
w18496 Martin L. Weitzman
Rare Disasters, Tail-Hedged Investments, and Risk-Adjusted Discount Rates
w18467 Domenico Giannone
Michele Lenza
Giorgio E. Primiceri

Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions
w18480 Guillermo A. Calvo
Fabrizio Coricelli
Pablo Ottonello

Labor Market, Financial Crises and Inflation: Jobless and Wageless Recoveries
w18406 Florian Scheuer
Adverse Selection In Credit Markets and Regressive Profit Taxation
w18408 Zhiguo He
Konstantin Milbradt

Endogenous Liquidity and Defaultable Bonds
w18360 Guillermo Ordoñez
The Asymmetric Effects of Financial Frictions
w18379 Enrique G. Mendoza
Marco E. Terrones

An Anatomy of Credit Booms and their Demise
w18397 Gary B. Gorton
Some Reflections on the Recent Financial Crisis
w18358 Michael J. Fishman
Jonathan A. Parker

Valuation, Adverse Selection, and Market Collapses
w18362 Hideaki Hirata
M. Ayhan Kose
Christopher Otrok
Marco E. Terrones

Global House Price Fluctuations: Synchronization and Determinants
w18304 Efraim Benmelech
An Empirical Analysis of the Fed's Term Auction Facility
w18285 Guillermo A. Calvo
The Price Theory of Money, Prospero's Liquidity Trap, and Sudden Stop: Back to Basics and Back
w18289 Janvier D. Nkurunziza
Léonce Ndikumana
Prime Nyamoya

The Financial Sector in Burundi
w18273 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Gee Hee Hong

The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications
w18276 S. Boragan Aruoba
Morris A. Davis
Randall Wright

Homework in Monetary Economics: Inflation, Home Production, and the Production of Homes
w18264 Carola Frydman
Eric Hilt
Lily Y. Zhou

Economic Effects of Runs on Early 'Shadow Banks': Trust Companies and the Impact of the Panic of 1907
w18215 Bennett T. McCallum
Determinacy, Learnability, Plausibility, and the Role of Money in New Keynesian Models
w18219 Guillermo A. Calvo
Alejandro Izquierdo
Rudy Loo-Kung

Optimal Holdings of International Reserves: Self-Insurance against Sudden Stop
w18195 Yuriy Kitsul
Jonathan H. Wright

The Economics of Options-Implied Inflation Probability Density Functions
w18170 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Lorenz Kueng
John Silvia

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S.
w18152 Fernando Alvarez
Francesco Lippi

The Demand of Liquid Assets with Uncertain Lumpy Expenditures
w18102 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Thomas M. Eisenbach
Yuliy Sannikov

Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions: A Survey
w18094 James H. Stock
Mark W. Watson

Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession
w18099 Farley Grubb
Chronic Specie Scarcity and Efficient Barter: The Problem of Maintaining an Outside Money Supply in British Colonial America
w18072 Philippe Aghion
Emmanuel Farhi
Enisse Kharroubi

Monetary Policy, Liquidity, and Growth
w18074 Jess Benhabib
Pengfei Wang

Financial Constraints, Endogenous Markups, and Self-fulfilling Equilibria
w18035 Fatih Guvenen
Serdar Ozkan
Jae Song

The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk
w18036 Javier Bianchi
Emine Boz
Enrique G. Mendoza

Macro-Prudential Policy in a Fisherian model of Financial Innovation
w18015 Carmen M. Reinhart
Vincent R. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

Debt Overhangs: Past and Present
w18007 Roger E.A. Farmer
The Effect of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rules on Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence
w17997 Farley Grubb
Is Paper Money Just Paper Money? Experimentation and Variation in the Paper Monies Issued by the American Colonies from 1690 to 1775
w17934 Nobuhiro Kiyotaki
John Moore

Liquidity, Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy
w17941 Carmen M. Reinhart
A Series of Unfortunate Events: Common Sequencing Patterns in Financial Crises
w17956 Martin S. Eichenbaum
Nir Jaimovich
Sergio Rebelo
Josephine Smith

How Frequent Are Small Price Changes?
w17923 Fernando E. Alvarez
Francesco Lippi

Price Setting with menu cost for Multi-product firms
w17905 Francisco J. Buera
Joseph P. Kaboski
Yongseok Shin

The Macroeconomics of Microfinance
w17876 Veronica Guerrieri
Robert Shimer

Dynamic Adverse Selection: A Theory of Illiquidity, Fire Sales, and Flight to Quality
w17885 Michael T. Belongia
Peter N. Ireland

The Barnett Critique After Three Decades: A New Keynesian Analysis
w17868 Charles W. Calomiris
Doron Nissim

Crisis-Related Shifts in the Market Valuation of Banking Activities
w17873 Nicola Cetorelli
Linda S. Goldberg

Follow the Money: Quantifying Domestic Effects of Foreign Bank Shocks in the Great Recession
w17854 Kay Giesecke
Francis A. Longstaff
Stephen Schaefer
Ilya Strebulaev

Macroeconomic Effects of Corporate Default Crises: A Long-Term Perspective
w17823 Lars E.O. Svensson
Practical Monetary Policy: Examples from Sweden and the United States
w17838 Viral V. Acharya
Nada Mora

Are Banks Passive Liquidity Backstops? Deposit Rates and Flows during the 2007-2009 Crisis
w17780 Joon-Ho Hahm
Frederic S. Mishkin
Hyun Song Shin
Kwanho Shin

Macroprudential Policies in Open Emerging Economies
w17791 Daniel F. Waggoner
Tao Zha

Confronting Model Misspecification in Macroeconomics
w17775 Francisco J. Buera
Benjamin Moll

Aggregate Implications of a Credit Crunch
w17756 Yun Jung Kim
Linda Tesar
Jing Zhang

The Impact of Foreign Liabilities on Small Firms: Firm-Level Evidence from the Korean Crisis
w17771 Gary B. Gorton
Guillermo Ordonez

Collateral Crises
w17772 James D. Hamilton
Jing Cynthia Wu

Identification and Estimation of Gaussian Affine Term Structure Models
w17777 Gary B. Gorton
Stefan Lewellen
Andrew Metrick

The Safe-Asset Share
w17682 Charles Goodhart
Global Macroeconomic and Financial Supervision: Where Next?
w17583 Veronica Guerrieri
Guido Lorenzoni

Credit Crises, Precautionary Savings, and the Liquidity Trap
w17566 Fernando E. Alvarez
Francesco Lippi

Persistent Liquidity Effects and Long Run Money Demand
w17555 Arvind Krishnamurthy
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

The Effects of Quantitative Easing on Interest Rates: Channels and Implications for Policy
w17543 Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana
Juan Rubio-Ramírez

Supply-Side Policies and the Zero Lower Bound
w17548 Elias Albagli
Christian Hellwig
Aleh Tsyvinski

A Theory of Asset Pricing Based on Heterogeneous Information
w17518 Todd A. Gormley
Simon Johnson
Changyong Rhee

Ending "Too Big To Fail": Government Promises vs. Investor Perceptions
w17500 Yiting Li
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Liquidity and the Threat of Fraudulent Assets
w17510 Chao Gu
Randall Wright

Endogenous Credit Cycles
w17448 Igor Livshits
James MacGee
Michèle Tertilt

Costly Contracts and Consumer Credit
w17416 Jules H. van Binsbergen
Wouter Hueskes
Ralph Koijen
Evert B. Vrugt

Equity Yields
w17437 Gary Richardson
Patrick Van Horn

In the Eye of a Storm: Manhattan's Money Center Banks During the International Financial Crisis of 1931
w17407 Joshua Aizenman
Michael M. Hutchison
Yothin Jinjarak

What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS Spreads and Market Pricing of Risk
w17389 Tommaso Monacelli
Vincenzo Quadrini
Antonella Trigari

Financial Markets and Unemployment
w17392 Bo Becker
Victoria Ivashina

Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm Level Evidence
w17359 Andrew K. Rose
Mark M. Spiegel

Dollar Illiquidity and Central Bank Swap Arrangements During the Global Financial Crisis
w17299 Oliver D. Hart
Luigi Zingales

Inefficient Provision of Liquidity
w17331 Athanasios Geromichalos
Ina Simonovska

Asset Liquidity and International Portfolio Choice
w17311 Aubhik Khan
Julia K. Thomas

Credit Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Economy with Production Heterogeneity
w17321 Marcin Kacperczyk
Philipp Schnabl

Implicit Guarantees and Risk Taking: Evidence from Money Market Funds
w17328 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursua

Rare Macroeconomic Disasters
w17285 Xiaoji Lin
Lu Zhang

Covariances versus Characteristics in General Equilibrium
w17276 Farley Grubb
The Continental Dollar: Initial Design, Ideal Performance, and the Credibility of Congressional Commitment
w17277 François Gourio
Michael Siemer
Adrien Verdelhan

International Risk Cycles
w17224 Klaus Adam
Pei Kuang
Albert Marcet

House Price Booms and the Current Account
w17219 David Backus
Mikhail Chernov
Stanley E. Zin

Sources of Entropy in Representative Agent Models
w17209 Farley Grubb
State Redemption of the Continental Dollar, 1779-1790
w17123 Richard C.K. Burdekin
Kris James Mitchener
Marc D. Weidenmier

Irving Fisher and Price-Level Targeting in Austria: Was Silver the Answer?
w17129 Isaac Mbiti
David N. Weil

Mobile Banking: The Impact of M-Pesa in Kenya
w17133 Gianluca Benigno
Pierpaolo Benigno
Salvatore Nisticò

Risk, Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate
w17142 Lawrence Christiano
Daisuke Ikeda

Government Policy, Credit Markets and Economic Activity
w17144 Efraim Benmelech
Nittai K. Bergman
Amit Seru

Financing Labor
w17151 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vivian Z. Yue

A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles
w17154 Jonathan H. Wright
What does Monetary Policy do to Long-Term Interest Rates at the Zero Lower Bound?
w17115 Nicola Gennaioli
Andrei Shleifer
Robert W. Vishny

A Model of Shadow Banking
w17102 Quamrul Ashraf
Boris Gershman
Peter Howitt

Banks, Market Organization, and Macroeconomic Performance: An Agent-Based Computational Analysis
w17045 Zheng Liu
Pengfei Wang
Tao Zha

Land-price dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations
w17021 Simon Gilchrist
Egon Zakrajšek

Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations
w17024 Michael D. Bordo
Peter L. Rousseau

Historical Evidence on the Finance-Trade-Growth Nexus
w17026 Francois Gourio
Credit Risk and Disaster Risk
w17034 Olivier Coibion
Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?
w16998 Gianni De Nicolò
Marcella Lucchetta

Systemic Risks and the Macroeconomy
w16982 Andrew Ang
Francis A. Longstaff

Systemic Sovereign Credit Risk: Lessons from the U.S. and Europe
w16994 Douglas W. Diamond
Raghuram Rajan

Illiquid Banks, Financial Stability, and Interest Rate Policy
w16996 Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Shocks and Crashes
w16965 Thomas Philippon
Virgiliu Midrigan

Household Leverage and the Recession
w16979 Fiorella De Fiore
Harald Uhlig

Bank Finance Versus Bond Finance
w16956 James D. Hamilton
Jing Cynthia Wu

The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment
w16962 Shin-ichi Fukuda
Market-specific and Currency-specific Risk During the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Interbank Markets in Tokyo and London
w16925 Gabriel P. Mathy
Christopher M. Meissner

Trade, Exchange Rate Regimes and Output Co-Movement: Evidence from the Great Depression
w16931 James D. Hamilton
Jing Cynthia Wu

Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models
w16910 William Poole
Robert H. Rasche
David C. Wheelock

The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?
w16899 Patrick Bolton
Olivier Jeanne

Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies
w16893 Carmen M. Reinhart
M. Belen Sbrancia

The Liquidation of Government Debt
w16815 Carmen M. Reinhart
Vincent Reinhart

Pride Goes Before a Fall: Federal Reserve Policy and Asset Markets
w16836 Hyun Song Shin
Kwanho Shin

Procyclicality and Monetary Aggregates
w16805 Nicolas E. Magud
Carmen M. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

Capital Controls: Myth and Reality - A Portfolio Balance Approach
w16777 Nicolae Gârleanu
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Margin-Based Asset Pricing and Deviations from the Law of One Price
w16755 Frederic S. Mishkin
Monetary Policy Strategy: Lessons from the Crisis
w16741 Robert E. Hall
The Long Slump
w16750 Emmanuel Farhi
Jean Tirole

Bubbly Liquidity
w16752 Russell Cooper
Hubert Kempf

Deposit Insurance Without Commitment: Wall St. Versus Main St
w16707 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?
w16642 Andrei Shleifer
Robert W. Vishny

Fire Sales in Finance and Macroeconomics
w16654 Lars E.O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting
w16595 Gabriel Jiménez
Atif R. Mian
José-Luis Peydró
Jesús Saurina

Local Versus Aggregate Lending Channels: The Effects Of Securitization On Corporate Credit Supply In Spain
w16601 Andrea Frazzini
Lasse H. Pedersen

Betting Against Beta
w16549 Anders B. Trolle
Eduardo S. Schwartz

An Empirical Analysis of the Swaption Cube
w16537 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts
w16522 Roger E.A. Farmer
Animal Spirits, Persistent Unemployment and the Belief Function
w16458 Antje Berndt
Hanno Lustig
Sevin Yeltekin

How Does the U.S. Government Finance Fiscal Shocks?
w16460 Mark Carlson
Kris James Mitchener
Gary Richardson

Arresting Banking Panics: Fed Liquidity Provision and the Forgotten Panic of 1929
w16428 Eswar S. Prasad
Financial Sector Regulation and Reforms in Emerging Markets: An Overview
w16402 Lawrence Christiano
Cosmin L. Ilut
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms
w16412 James D. Hamilton
Seth Pruitt
Scott Borger

Estimating the Market-Perceived Monetary Policy Rule
w16386 Pierpaolo Benigno
Luigi Paciello

Monetary Policy, Doubts and Asset Prices
w16393 Pedro Teles
Harald Uhlig

Is Quantity Theory Still Alive?
w16395 Viral V. Acharya
Ouarda Merrouche

Precautionary Hoarding of Liquidity and Inter-Bank Markets: Evidence from the Sub-prime Crisis
w16397 Geert Bekaert
Marie Hoerova
Marco Lo Duca

Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy
w16398 Menzie D. Chinn
Kavan J. Kucko

The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time
w16399 Alberto Martin
Jaume Ventura

Theoretical Notes on Bubbles and the Current Crisis
w16400 Francisco J. Buera
Yongseok Shin

Financial Frictions and the Persistence of History: A Quantitative Exploration
w16374 Pierpaolo Benigno
Luca Antonio Ricci
Paolo Surico

Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility
w16377 Olivier Jeanne
Anton Korinek

Managing Credit Booms and Busts: A Pigouvian Taxation Approach
w16350 Douglas A. Irwin
Did France Cause the Great Depression?
w16337 Adam Ashcraft
Nicolae Gârleanu
Lasse Heje Pedersen

Two Monetary Tools: Interest Rates and Haircuts
w16228 Francesco Giavazzi
Alberto Giovannini

Central Banks and the Financial System
w16230 Edward L. Glaeser
Joshua D. Gottlieb
Joseph Gyourko

Can Cheap Credit Explain the Housing Boom?
w16245 Charles Courtemanche
Kenneth A. Snowden

Repairing a Mortgage Crisis: HOLC Lending and its Impact on Local Housing Markets
w16190 Peter L. Rousseau
Caleb Stroup

Monetization and Growth in Colonial New England, 1703-1749
w16200 Efraim Benmelech
Nittai K. Bergman

Credit Traps
w16165 Benjamin M. Friedman
Kenneth N. Kuttner

Implementation of Monetary Policy: How Do Central Banks Set Interest Rates?
w16183 Anisha Ghosh
George M. Constantinides

The Predictability of Returns with Regime Shifts in Consumption and Dividend Growth
w16145 Christopher L. House
Yusufcan Masatlioglu

Managing Markets for Toxic Assets
w16150 Jan Hatzius
Peter Hooper
Frederic S. Mishkin
Kermit L. Schoenholtz
Mark W. Watson

Financial Conditions Indexes: A Fresh Look after the Financial Crisis
w16151 Hui Chen
Macroeconomic Conditions and the Puzzles of Credit Spreads and Capital Structure
w16153 Ian Martin
Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants
w16159 Philippe Bacchetta
Cédric Tille
Eric van Wincoop

Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics
w16124 Laurence M. Ball
The Performance of Alternative Monetary Regimes
w16087 John H. Cochrane
Understanding Policy in the Great Recession: Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic
w16091 Javier Bianchi
Enrique G. Mendoza

Overborrowing, Financial Crises and 'Macro-prudential' Taxes
w16093 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Johannes F. Wieland

The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models
w16080 V.V. Chari
Ali Shourideh
Ariel Zetlin-Jones

Adverse Selection, Reputation and Sudden Collapses in Secondary Loan Markets
w16060 Thomas Chaney
David Sraer
David Thesmar

The Collateral Channel: How Real Estate Shocks Affect Corporate Investment
w16054 Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe
Martin Uribe

The Optimal Rate of Inflation
w16031 Lucian A. Bebchuk
Itay Goldstein

Self-Fulfilling Credit Market Freezes
w16020 Emine Boz
Enrique G. Mendoza

Financial Innovation, the Discovery of Risk, and the U.S. Credit Crisis
w15988 Jack Favilukis
Sydney C. Ludvigson
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

The Macroeconomic Effects of Housing Wealth, Housing Finance, and Limited Risk-Sharing in General Equilibrium
w15907 Anton Korinek
Agustín Roitman
Carlos A. Végh

Decoupling and Recoupling
w15879 Jean Boivin
Michael T. Kiley
Frederic S. Mishkin

How Has the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Evolved Over Time?
w15883 George-Marios Angeletos
Guido Lorenzoni
Alessandro Pavan

Beauty Contests and Irrational Exuberance: A Neoclassical Approach
w15870 Alberto Martin
Jaume Ventura

Economic Growth with Bubbles
w15785 Thomas Philippon
Vasiliki Skreta

Optimal Interventions in Markets with Adverse Selection
w15763 Linda S. Goldberg
Craig Kennedy
Jason Miu

Central Bank Dollar Swap Lines and Overseas Dollar Funding Costs
w15770 Peter L. Rousseau
The Market for Bank Stocks and the Rise of Deposit Banking in New York City, 1866-1897
w15735 Efraim Benmelech
Nittai K. Bergman

Vintage Capital and Creditor Protection
w15736 James D. Hamilton
Tatsuyoshi Okimoto

Sources of Variation in Holding Returns for Fed Funds Futures Contracts
w15688 Ralph S.J. Koijen
Hanno Lustig
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

The Cross-Section and Time-Series of Stock and Bond Returns
w15702 George J. Hall
Thomas J. Sargent

Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics
w15708 Efraim Benmelech
Nittai K. Bergman

Bankruptcy and the Collateral Channel
w15710 Kris James Mitchener
David C. Wheelock

Does the Structure of Banking Markets Affect Economic Growth? Evidence from U.S. State Banking Markets
w15662 Ricardo Reis
Interpreting the Unconventional U.S. Monetary Policy of 2007-09
w15670 Kris James Mitchener
Marc D. Weidenmier

Searching for Irving Fisher
w15636 Ricardo J. Caballero
The "Other" Imbalance and the Financial Crisis
w15556 Mary Amiti
David E. Weinstein

Exports and Financial Shocks
w15542 Arvind Krishnamurthy
How Debt Markets have Malfunctioned in the Crisis
w15528 Katheryn N. Russ
Diego Valderrama

Financial Choice in a Non-Ricardian Model of Trade
w15512 Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870-2008
w15494 Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé
Martín Uribe

Foreign Demand for Domestic Currency and the Optimal Rate of Inflation
w15498 William Kerr
Ramana Nanda

Financing Constraints and Entrepreneurship
w15499 William Kerr
Ramana Nanda

Banking Deregulations, Financing Constraints, and Firm Entry Size
w15506 Jaroslav Borovička
Lars Peter Hansen
Mark Hendricks
José A. Scheinkman

Risk Price Dynamics
w15487 Dimitri Vayanos
Jean-Luc Vila

A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
w15424 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Craig Hakkio

Inflation targeting and private sector forecasts
w15432 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vincenzo Quadrini

Financial Globalization, Financial Crises and Contagion
w15414 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crises and Liquidity in Over-the-Counter Markets
w15399 François Gourio
Disasters Risk and Business Cycles
w15379 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Marion Kohler
Christian Upper

Financial Crises and Economic Activity
w15388 David G. Blanchflower
Conall MacCoille

The formation of inflation expectations: an empirical analysis for the UK
w15353 Sergio Mayordomo
Juan Ignacio Peña
Eduardo S. Schwartz

Towards a Common European Monetary Union Risk Free Rate
w15362 Amir E. Khandani
Andrew W. Lo
Robert C. Merton

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
w15367 David O. Lucca
Francesco Trebbi

Measuring Central Bank Communication: An Automated Approach with Application to FOMC Statements
w15289 Vasco Cúrdia
Michael Woodford

Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy
w15297 Lasse Heje Pedersen
When Everyone Runs for the Exit
w15270 Andrew Ang
Jean Boivin
Sen Dong
Rudy Loo-Kung

Monetary Policy Shifts and the Term Structure
w15268 Francisco J. Buera
Yongseok Shin

Productivity Growth and Capital Flows: The Dynamics of Reforms
w15225 Craig Burnside
Alexandra Tabova

Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates
w15240 David Backus
Mikhail Chernov
Ian Martin

Disasters implied by equity index options
w15243 Fatih Guvenen
A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing
w15227 Yosef Bonaparte
Russell Cooper

Costly Portfolio Adjustment
w15260 Lieven Baele
Geert Bekaert
Koen Inghelbrecht

The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements
w15197 Douglas W. Diamond
Raghuram G. Rajan

Illiquidity and Interest Rate Policy
w15123 Espen Henriksen
Finn E. Kydland
Roman Sustek

Globally Correlated Nominal Fluctuations
w15138 Emmanuel Farhi
Jean Tirole

Collective Moral Hazard, Maturity Mismatch and Systemic Bailouts
w15118 Willem H. Buiter
Negative Nominal Interest Rates: Three ways to overcome the zero lower bound
w15110 Paul Beaudry
Amartya Lahiri

Risk Allocation, Debt Fueled Expansion and Financial Crisis
w15072 Harald Uhlig
A Model of a Systemic Bank Run
w15045 Efraim Benmelech
Jennifer Dlugosz

The Credit Rating Crisis
w15062 Emmanuel Farhi
Samuel Paul Fraiberger
Xavier Gabaix
Romain Ranciere
Adrien Verdelhan

Crash Risk in Currency Markets
w15024 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom

Inflation and the Stock Market:Understanding the "Fed Model"
w15014 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller
Luis M. Viceira

Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets
w15020 Yuko Hashimoto
Takatoshi Ito

Effects of Japanese Macroeconomic Announcements on the Dollar/Yen Exchange Rate: High-Resolution Picture
w14993 Peter L. Rousseau
Monetary Policy and the Dollar
w14931 Söhnke M. Bartram
Gregory Brown
René M. Stulz

Why Do Foreign Firms Have Less Idiosyncratic Risk than U.S. Firms?
w14925 Douglas W. Diamond
Raghuram G. Rajan

Fear of Fire Sales and the Credit Freeze
w14914 Francisco J. Buera
Joseph Kaboski
Yongseok Shin

Finance and Development: A Tale of Two Sectors
w14894 Riccardo DiCecio
Edward Nelson

Euro Membership as a U.K. Monetary Policy Option: Results from a Structural Model
w14862 Marvin Goodfriend
Robert G. King

The Great Inflation Drift
w14863 Simon Gilchrist
Vladimir Yankov
Egon Zakrajsek

Credit Market Shocks and Economic Fluctuations: Evidence from Corporate Bond and Stock Markets
w14870 S. Boragan Aruoba
Frank Schorfheide

Sticky Prices Versus Monetary Frictions: An Estimation of Policy Trade-offs
w14872 Frank Schorfheide
Keith Sill
Maxym Kryshko

DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Non-modelled Variables
w14814 Ravi Bansal
Ivan Shaliastovich

Learning and Asset-Price Jumps
w14815 Ravi Bansal
Ivan Shaliastovich

Confidence Risk and Asset Prices
w14826 Maurice Obstfeld
Jay C. Shambaugh
Alan M. Taylor

Financial Instability, Reserves, and Central Bank Swap Lines in the Panic of 2008
w14770 Jess Benhabib
A Note on Regime Switching, Monetary Policy, and Multiple Equilibria
w14772 Lars Ljungqvist
Harald Uhlig

Optimal Endowment Destruction under Campbell-Cochrane Habit Formation
w14760 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursúa

Stock-Market Crashes and Depressions
w14710 Roger E.A. Farmer
Tao Zha
Daniel F. Waggoner

Understanding Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models
w14688 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Global Imbalances and Financial Fragility
w14656 Carmen M. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

The Aftermath of Financial Crises
w14615 Susanto Basu
Robert Inklaar
J. Christina Wang

The Value of Risk: Measuring the Service Output of U.S. Commercial Banks
w14614 J. Christina Wang
Susanto Basu

Risk Bearing, Implicit Financial Services and Specialization in the Financial Industry
w14616 J. Christina Wang
Susanto Basu
John G. Fernald

A General-Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Approach to the Measurement of Nominal and Real Bank Output
w14621 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation
w14612 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-08
w14586 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?
w14596 Andreas Beyer
Vitor Gaspar
Christina Gerberding
Otmar Issing

Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy After the Break Down of Bretton Woods
w14549 Michelle J. White
Bankruptcy: Past Puzzles, Recent Reforms, and the Mortgage Crisis
w14519 Ulf Söderström
Re-Evaluating Swedish Membership in EMU: Evidence from an Estimated Model
w14534 Bennett T. McCallum
Inflation Determination with Taylor Rules: Is New Keynesian Analysis Critically Flawed?
w14473 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Stefan Nagel
Lasse H. Pedersen

Carry Trades and Currency Crashes
w14489 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Kermit L. Schoenholtz

How Central Bankers See It: The First Decade of ECB Policy and Beyond
w14444 Enrique G. Mendoza
Sudden Stops, Financial Crises and Leverage: A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q
w14422 Asaf Bernstein
Eric Hughson
Marc D. Weidenmier

Can a Lender of Last Resort Stabilize Financial Markets? Lessons from the Founding of the Fed
w14401 Takeo Hoshi
Anil K. Kashyap

Will the U.S. Bank Recapitalization Succeed? Eight Lessons from Japan
w14378 William A. Brock
Charles F. Manski

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment
w14379 Alon Binyamini
Assaf Razin

Inflation-Output Tradeoff as Equilibrium Outcome of Globalization
w14366 Zhiguo He
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A Model of Capital and Crises
w14351 Rajnish Mehra
Facundo Piguillem
Edward C. Prescott

Costly Financial Intermediation in Neoclassical Growth Theory
w14255 Manuel Amador
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Learning from Prices: Public Communication and Welfare
w14259 Olivier J. Blanchard
The State of Macro
w14243 Lars Peter Hansen
Modeling the Long Run: Valuation in Dynamic Stochastic Economies
w14244 Matthew Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad Diba
David Lopez-Salido

Monetary Aggregates and Liquidity in a Neo-Wicksellian Framework
w14217 Maurice Obstfeld
Jay C. Shambaugh
Alan M. Taylor

Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves
w14223 James D. Hamilton
Daily Monetary Policy Shocks and the Delayed Response of New Home Sales
w14190 Jean Boivin
Marc P. Giannoni
Benoît Mojon

How Has the Euro Changed the Monetary Transmission?
w14120 Gary Richardson
Patrick Van Horn

Intensified Regulatory Scrutiny and Bank Distress in New York City During the Great Depression
w14119 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crashes and Recoveries in Illiquid Markets
w14098 Peter N. Ireland
On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of Money Demand
w14058 Jennifer Huang
Jiang Wang

Market Liquidity, Asset Prices and Welfare
w14049 Enrique G. Mendoza
Marco E. Terrones

An Anatomy Of Credit Booms: Evidence From Macro Aggregates And Micro Data
w14013 Jennifer Huang
Jiang Wang

Liquidity and Market Crashes
w13974 Farley Grubb
Creating Maryland's Paper Money Economy, 1720-1739: The Role of Power, Print, and Markets
w13940 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursúa

Macroeconomic Crises since 1870
w13955 Emmanuel Farhi
Jean Tirole

Competing Liquidities: Corporate Securities, Real Bonds and Bubbles
w13936 Atif Mian
Amir Sufi

The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis
w13943 John B. Taylor
John C. Williams

A Black Swan in the Money Market
w13909 Menzie D. Chinn
Jeffrey A. Frankel

The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency
w13892 Lars E.O. Svensson
Noah Williams

Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in DSGE Models: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach
w13861 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vivian Z. Yue

A Solution to the Disconnect between Country Risk and Business Cycle Theories
w13805 Emmanuel Farhi
Xavier Gabaix

Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates
w13761 Carmen M. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison
w13736 Jean Boivin
Marc Giannoni

Global Forces and Monetary Policy Effectiveness
w13724 Xavier Gabaix
Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance
w13677 Ramon Marimon
Javier Díaz-Giménez
Giorgia Giovannetti
Pedro Teles

Nominal Debt as a Burden on Monetary Policy
w13682 John B. Taylor
Housing and Monetary Policy
w13685 John B. Taylor
The Explanatory Power of Monetary Policy Rules
w13639 Guido Lorenzoni
Inefficient Credit Booms
w13650 Dirk Krueger
Hanno Lustig
Fabrizio Perri

Evaluating Asset Pricing Models with Limited Commitment using Household Consumption Data
w13655 V. V. Chari
Patrick J. Kehoe

The Heterogeneous State of Modern Macroeconomics: A Reply to Solow
w13635 Josephine M. Smith
John B. Taylor

The Long and the Short End of the Term Structure of Policy Rules
w13607 Dale F. Gray
Robert C. Merton
Zvi Bodie

New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability
w13580 Marvin Goodfriend
How the World Achieved Consensus on Monetary Policy
w13566 Frederic S. Mishkin
Will Monetary Policy Become More of a Science?
w13518 Frederic S. Mishkin
Housing and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism
w13521 Lawrence Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

Shocks, Structures or Monetary Policies? The Euro Area and US After 2001
w13502 Lawrence Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

Two Reasons Why Money and Credit May be Useful in Monetary Policy
w13471 Martin S. Feldstein
Housing, Credit Markets and the Business Cycle
w13448 Andrew Ang
Sen Dong
Monika Piazzesi

No-Arbitrage Taylor Rules
w13430 Xavier Gabaix
Linearity-Generating Processes: A Modelling Tool Yielding Closed Forms for Asset Prices
w13412 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vincenzo Quadrini
José-Victor Ríos-Rull

On the Welfare Implications of Financial Globalization without Financial Development
w13414 Lars E.O. Svensson
Noah M. Williams

Bayesian and Adaptive Optimal Policy under Model Uncertainty
w13416 Fernando E. Alvarez
Francesco Lippi

Financial Innovation and the Transactions Demand for Cash
w13419 David K. Backus
Jonathan H. Wright

Cracking the Conundrum
w13398 Andrew Atkeson
V. V. Chari
Patrick J. Kehoe

On the Optimal Choice of a Monetary Policy Instrument
w13361 Ralph S.J. Koijen
Otto Van Hemert
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Mortgage Timing
w13363 Igor Livshits
James MacGee
Michèle Tertilt

Accounting for the Rise in Consumer Bankruptcies
w13315 Simon Gilchrist
Jae W. Sim

Investment during the Korean Financial Crisis: A Structural Econometric Analysis
w13320 Boyan Jovanovic
Bubbles in Prices of Exhaustible Resources
w13310 Tai-wei Hu
John Kennan
Neil Wallace

Coalition-Proof Trade and the Friedman Rule in the Lagos-Wright Model
w13307 Boyan Jovanovic
Investment Options and the Business Cycle
w13251 Rui Albuquerque
Neng Wang

Agency Conflicts, Investment, and Asset Pricing
w13254 Fabio Braggion
Lawrence J. Christiano
Jorge Roldos

Optimal Monetary Policy in a 'Sudden Stop'
w13245 Michael F. Gallmeyer
Burton Hollifield
Francisco Palomino
Stanley E. Zin

Arbitrage-Free Bond Pricing with Dynamic Macroeconomic Models
w13244 Domenico Delli Gatti
Mauro Gallegati
Bruce C. Greenwald
Joseph E. Stiglitz

Net Worth, Exchange Rates, and Monetary Policy: The Effects of a Devaluation in a Financially Fragile Environment
w13209 Kiminori Matsuyama
Aggregate Implications of Credit Market Imperfections
w13196 Ravi Bansal
Long-Run Risks and Financial Markets
w13204 Veronica Guerrieri
Guido Lorenzoni

Liquidity and Trading Dynamics
w13207 Marvin Goodfriend
Bennett T. McCallum

Banking and Interest Rates in Monetary Policy Analysis: A Quantitative Exploration
w13174 Simon Gilchrist
Egon Zakrajsek

Investment and the Cost of Capital: New Evidence from the Corporate Bond Market
w13123 Ceyhun Bora Durdu
Enrique G. Mendoza
Marco E. Terrones

Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Merchantilism
w13104 Jeremy Greenwood
Juan M. Sanchez
Cheng Wang

Financing Development: The Role of Information Costs
w13112 James D. Hamilton
Daily Changes in Fed Funds Futures Prices
w13092 Guido Lorenzoni
Karl Walentin

Financial Frictions, Investment and Tobin's q
w13076 Fernando A. Broner
Guido Lorenzoni
Sergio L. Schmukler

Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?
w13089 Galina Hale
Assaf Razin
Hui Tong

Credit Constraints and Stock Price Volatility
w13024 Laura X. L. Liu
Toni Whited
Lu Zhang

w13003 N. Nergiz Dincer
Barry Eichengreen

Central Bank Transparency: Where, Why, and with What Effects?
w12982 Michael D. Bordo
Christopher Erceg
Andrew Levin
Ryan Michaels

Three Great American Disinflations
w12957 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Inflation Illusion, Credit, and Asset Pricing
w12948 Lars Peter Hansen
Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Economic Risk
w12930 Andrew Ang
Geert Bekaert
Min Wei

The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation
w12938 Mark Carlson
Kris James Mitchener

Branch Banking as a Device for Discipline: Competition and Bank Survivorship During the Great Depression
w12919 Willem H. Buiter
w12896 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode
w12912 Mariano M. Croce
Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Investor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Term Structure of Equity
w12881 Arvind Krishnamurthy
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

The Demand for Treasury Debt
w12835 Peter L. Rousseau
Backing, the Quantity Theory, and the Transition to the U.S. Dollar, 1723-1850
w12839 Willem H. Buiter
Is Numerairology the Future of Monetary Economics? Unbundling numeraire and medium of exchange through a virtual currency and a shadow exchange rate
w12824 Jean Boivin
Marc Giannoni
Ilian Mihov

Sticky Prices and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Disaggregated U.S. Data
w12781 Wei Xiong
Hongjun Yan

Heterogeneous Expectations and Bond Markets
w12763 Robert J. Barro
On the Welfare Costs of Consumption Uncertainty
w12753 Ricardo J. Caballero
On the Macroeconomics of Asset Shortages
w12713 Jeffrey A. Frankel
The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices
w12717 Gary Richardson
Bank Distress during the Great Depression: The Illiquidity-Insolvency Debate Revisited
w12715 Gary Richardson
Quarterly Data on the Categories and Causes of Bank Distress During the Great Depression
w12716 Gary Richardson
Correspondent Clearing and the Banking Panics of the Great Depression
w12719 Gary Richardson
A Comment Concerning Deposit Insurance and Moral Hazard
w12662 Michael D. Bordo
Owen Humpage
Anna J. Schwartz

The Historical Origins of U.S. Exchange Market Intervention Policy
w12634 Dirk Krueger
Hanno Lustig

When is Market Incompleteness Irrelevant for the Price of Aggregate Risk (and when is it not)?
w12638 Glenn D. Rudebusch
John C. Williams

Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections
w12609 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Equilibrium Yield Curves
w12612 Atif Mian
Asim Ijaz Khwaja

Tracing the Impact of Bank Liquidity Shocks: Evidence from an Emerging Market
w12614 Christian Hellwig
Guido Lorenzoni

Bubbles and Self-Enforcing Debt
w12590 Gary Richardson
Bank Distress During the Great Contraction, 1929 to 1933, New Data from the Archives of the Board of Governors
w12594 Ching-Yi Chung
Gary Richardson

Deposit Insurance and the Composition of Bank Suspensions in Developing Economies: Lessons from the State Deposit Insurance Experiments of the 1920S
w12560 Francis E. Warnock
Veronica Cacdac Warnock

International Capital Flows and U.S. Interest Rates
w12564 Enrique G. Mendoza
Endogenous Sudden Stops in a Business Cycle Model with Collateral Constraints:A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q
w12540 Roger E. A. Farmer
Daniel F. Waggoner
Tao Zha

Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model
w12470 Tommaso Monacelli
Optimal Monetary Policy with Collateralized Household Debt and Borrowing Constraints
w12476 Patrick Kehoe
Varadarajan V. Chari

Modern Macroeconomics in Practice: How Theory is Shaping Policy
w12477 Guido Lorenzoni
A Theory of Demand Shocks
w12462 Thomas Philippon
The Bond Market's q
w12442 Simon Gilchrist
Masashi Saito

Expectations, Asset Prices, and Monetary Policy: The Role of Learning
w12454 Kenneth Kuttner
Can Central Banks Target Bond Prices?
w12420 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

Noisy Macroeconomic Announcements, Monetary Policy, and Asset Prices
w12393 Michael D. Bordo
Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Original Sin in Emerging Countries: Déjà vu?
w12337 Anders B. Trolle
Eduardo S. Schwartz

A General Stochastic Volatility Model for the Pricing and Forecasting of Interest Rate Derivatives
w12277 Vitor Gaspar
Anil K. Kashyap

Stability First: Reflections Inspired by Otmar Issing's Success as the ECB's Chief Economist
w12283 Bernardo S. de M. Carvalho
Márcio G.P. Garcia

Ineffective Controls on Capital Inflows Under Sophisticated Financial Markets: Brazil in the Nineties
w12247 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Steven R. Grenadier

Stock and Bond Returns with Moody Investors
w12248 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Yuhang Xing

Risk, Uncertainty and Asset Prices
w12243 Giorgio E. Primiceri
Ernst Schaumburg
Andrea Tambalotti

Intertemporal Disturbances
w12189 Michael Bordo
Harold James

One World Money, Then and Now
w12129 Ricardo J. Caballero
Takeo Hoshi
Anil K. Kashyap

Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan
w12136 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Flight to Quality and Collective Risk Management
w12146 Clemens Sialm
Investment Taxes and Equity Returns
w12074 Kris James Mitchener
Are Prudential Supervision and Regulation Pillars of Financial Stability? Evidence from the Great Depression
w12035 Michael D. Bordo
Peter L. Rousseau

Legal-Political Factors and the Historical Evolution of the Finance-Growth Link
w12014 Erica X. N. Li
Dmitry Livdan
Lu Zhang

Optimal Market Timing
w11942 Marc Giannoni
Robust Optimal Policy in a Forward-Looking Model with Parameter and Shock Uncertainty
w11946 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Alfonso Flores-Lagunes
Stefan Krause

Assessing the Sources of Changes in the Volatility of Real Growth
w11962 Darrell Duffie
Leandro Siata
Ke Wang

Multi-Period Corporate Default Prediction With Stochastic Covariates
w11966 Enrique G. Mendoza
Lessons From the Debt-Deflation Theory of Sudden Stops
w11978 Joseph Engelberg
Charles F. Manski
Jared Williams

Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
w11929 Refet Gurkaynak
Justin Wolfers

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
w11834 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Financial System Risk and Flight to Quality
w11784 Farley Grubb
Two Theories of Money Reconciled: The Colonial Puzzle Revisited with New Evidence
w11756 Clemens Sialm
Tax Changes and Asset Pricing: Time-Series Evidence
w11733 Lars Svensson
Noah Williams

Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Forecast Targeting
w11703 Sydeny C. Ludvigson
Serena Ng

Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia
w11687 Hanno Lustig
Christopher Sleet
Sevin Yeltekin

Fiscal Hedging and the Yield Curve
w11668 Hans Fehr
Sabine Jokisch
Laurence J. Kotlikoff

Will China Eat Our Lunch or Take Us Out to Dinner? Simulating the Transition Paths of the U.S., EU, Japan, and China
w11633 Philippe Bacchetta
Eric van Wincoop

Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle
w11618 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Bubbles and Capital Flow Volatility: Causes and Risk Management
w11562 Marvin Goodfriend
Robert King

The Incredible Volcker Disinflation
w11538 Andrew Ang
Geert Bekaert
Min Wei

Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?
w11480 Laura X.L. Liu
Jerold B. Warner
Lu Zhang

Momentum Profits and Macroeconomic Risk
w11459 Evgeny Lyandres
Le Sun
Lu Zhang

Investment-Based Underperformance Following Seasoned Equity Offerings
w11340 Geert Bekaert
Seonghoon Cho
Antonio Moreno

New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure
w11322 Lu Zhang
w11323 Murillo Campello
Long Chen
Lu Zhang

Expected Returns, Yield Spreads, and Asset Pricing Tests
w11326 Naiping Lu
Lu Zhang

The Value Spread as a Predictor of Returns
w11285 Jean Boivin
Serena Ng

Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts
w11291 Mark Carlson
Kris James Mitchener

Branch Banking, Bank Competition, and Financial Stability
w11276 Michael Gallmeyer
Burton Hollifield
Stanley E. Zin

Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
w11222 Claude B. Erb
Campbell R. Harvey

The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures
w11178 Ceyhun Bora Durdu
Enrique G. Mendoza

Are Asset Price Guarantees Useful for Preventing Sudden Stops?: A Quantitative Investigation of the Globalization Hazard-Moral Hazard Tradeoff
w11191 Christian Hellwig
Arijit Mukherji
Aleh Tsyvinski

Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises: The Role of Interest Rates
w11166 Michael Ehrmann
Marcel Fratzscher
Roberto Rigobon

Stocks, Bonds, Money Markets and Exchange Rates: Measuring International Financial Transmission
w11167 Lars E.O. Svensson
Monetary Policy with Judgment: Forecast Targeting
w11169 Peter Hecht
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies
w11102 Seok-Kyun Hur
Money Growth and Interest Rates
w11089 Francis X. Diebold
Monika Piazzesi
Glenn Rudebusch

Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics
w11054 Dongchul Cho
Interest Rate, Inflation, and Housing Price: With an Emphasis on Chonsei Price in Korea
w11034 David Altig
Lawrence Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum
Jesper Linde

Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle
w10999 Philippe Aghion
Jeremy C. Stein

Growth vs. Margins: Destabilizing Consequences of Giving the Stock Market What it Wants
w10940 Enrique G. Mendoza
Katherine A. Smith

Quantitative Implication of A Debt-Deflation Theory of Sudden Stops and Asset Prices
w10951 Charles W. Calomiris
Joseph R. Mason

Resolving the Puzzle of the Underissuance of National Bank Notes
w10915 Julio J. Rotemberg
Fair Pricing
w10878 Takatoshi Ito
Frederic S. Mishkin

Two Decades of Japanese Monetary Policy and the Deflation Problem
w10848 Willem H. Buiter
The Elusive Welfare Economics of Price Stability as a Monetary Policy Objective: Should New Keynesian Central Bankers Pursue Price Stability?
w10827 Andres Velasco
Roberto Chang

Monetary Policy and the Currency Denomination of Debt: A Tale of Two Equilibria
w10818 Takatoshi Ito
Inflation Targeting and Japan: Why has the Bank of Japan not Adopted Inflation Targeting?
w10790 Enrique G. Mendoza
Ceyhun Bora Durdu

Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops: The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees
w10743 Darrell Duffie
Ke Wang

Multi-Period Corporate Failure Prediction with Stochastic Covariates
w10747 Lars E.O. Svensson
Targeting Rules vs. Instrument Rules for Monetary Policy: What is Wrong with McCallum and Nelson?
w10702 Peter L. Rousseau
A Common Currency: Early U.S. Monetary Policy and the Transition to the Dollar
w10672 Andrew Ang
Monika Piazzesi
Min Wei

What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth?
w10616 Francis X. Diebold
Glenn D. Rudebusch
S. Boragan Aruoba

The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach
w10517 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Exchange Rate Volatility and the Credit Channel in Emerging Markets: A Vertical Perspective
w10519 Ricardo Caballero
Kevin Cowan
Jonathan Kearns

Fear of Sudden Stops: Lessons from Australia and Chile
w10524 Willem Buiter
A Small Corner of Intertemporal Public Finance - New Developments in Monetary Economics: 2 Ghosts, 2 Eccentricities, A Fallacy, A Mirage and A Mythos
w10532 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Fiscal Policy and Financial Depth
w10475 Kris James Mitchener
Bank Supervision, Regulation, and Instability During the Great Depression
w10431 Michael D. Bordo
Joseph G. Haubrich

The Yield Curve, Recessions and the Credibility of the Monetary Regime: Long Run Evidence 1875-1997
w10402 Ben S. Bernanke
Kenneth N. Kuttner

What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?
w10390 Carlo A. Favero
Francesco Giavazzi

Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil
w10362 Troy Davig
Eric M. Leeper
Hess Chung

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
w10298 Boyan Jovanovic
Peter L. Rousseau

Interest Rates and Initial Public Offerings
w10289 Aaron Tornell
Frank Westermann
Lorenza Martinez

NAFTA and Mexico's Less-Than-Stellar Performance
w10290 Alan Auerbach
Maurice Obstfeld

Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation
w10293 Aaron Tornell
Frank Westermann
Lorenza Martinez

The Positive Link Between Financial Liberalization, Growth and Crises
w10295 Leonardo Gambacorta
How Do Banks Set Interest Rates?
w10255 Lawrence J. Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

The Great Depression and the Friedman-Schwartz Hypothesis
w10220 Ben S. Bernanke
Jean Boivin
Piotr Eliasz

Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach
w10163 Willem H. Buiter
Helicopter Money: Irredeemable Fiat Money and the Liquidity Trap
w10171 Michael D. Bordo
Robert D. Dittmar
William T. Gavin

Gold, Fiat Money, and Price Stability
w10089 Eric Leeper
An "Inflation Reports" Report
w10042 Andrew Ang
Jun Liu

How to Discount Cashflows with Time-Varying Expected Returns
w10048 Francis X. Diebold
Canlin Li

Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields
w10016 Fernando Alvarez
Andrew Atkeson
Chris Edmond

On the Sluggish Response of Prices to Money in an Inventory-Theoretic Model of Money Demand
w9981 Marvin Goodfriend
Inflation Targeting in the United States?
w9934 Daron Acemoglu
Simon Johnson

Unbundling Institutions
w9829 Jean Boivin
Serena Ng

Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?
w9835 Claudio Raddatz
Roberto Rigobon

Monetary Policy and Sectoral Shocks: Did the FED react properly to the High-Tech Crisis?
w9838 Bennett T. McCallum
Monetary Policy in Economies with Little or No Money
w9840 Laurent Calvet
Martin Gonzalez-Eiras
Paolo Sodini

Financial Innovation, Market Participation and Asset Prices
w9814 Alan J. Auerbach
Maurice Obstfeld

The Case for Open-Market Purchases in a Liquidity Trap
w9759 John Y. Campbell
Joao F. Cocco

Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice
w9747 Lars E. O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting
w9640 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

Spillovers Across U.S. Financial Markets
w9629 Christian Gollier
Richard Zeckhauser

Collective Investment Decision Making with Heterogeneous Time Preferences
w9599 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Inflation Targeting and Sudden Stops
w9609 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

The Effects of War Risk on U.S. Financial Markets
w9552 Eric M. Leeper
Jennifer E. Roush

Putting 'M' back in Monetary Policy
w9486 Lars E. O. Svensson
Monetary Policy and Real Stabilization
w9457 Gerardo della Paolera
Alan M. Taylor

Gaucho Banking Redux
w9430 Lars E. O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Optimal Policy with Partial Information in a Forward-Looking Model: Certainty-Equivalence Redux
w9421 Lars E. O. Svensson
What is Wrong with Taylor Rules? Using Judgment in Monetary Policy through Targeting Rules
w9391 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
Aaron Tornell

Exchange Rate Dynamics, Learning and Misperception
t0287 Nelson C. Mark
Donggyu Sul

Cointegration Vector Estimation by Panel DOLS and Long-Run Money Demand
w9333 Peter L. Rousseau
Historical Perspectives on Financial Development and Economic Growth
w9320 Julio J. Rotemberg
Customer Anger at Price Increases, Time Variation in the Frequency of Price Changes and Monetary Policy
w9261 George J. Hall
Exchange Rates and Casualties During the First World War
w9235 Laurence Ball
Short-Run Money Demand
w9219 Aaron Tornell
Frank Westermann

Boom-Bust Cycles in Middle Income Countries: Facts and Explanation
w9178 John H. Cochrane
Monika Piazzesi

Bond Risk Premia
w9192 Eric M. Leeper
Tao Zha

Modest Policy Interventions
w9084 David B. Gordon
Eric M. Leeper

The Price Level, the Quantity Theory of Money, and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level
w9063 Eric M. Leeper
Tao Zha

Empirical Analysis of Policy Interventions
w8990 Jun Liu
Francis A. Longstaff
Ravit E. Mandell

The Market Price of Credit Risk: An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Swap Spreads
w8992 Frederic S. Mishkin
Eugene N. White

U.S. Stock Market Crashes and Their Aftermath: Implications for Monetary Policy
w8925 Lars E.O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting: Should It Be Modeled as an Instrument Rule or a Targeting Rule?
w8838 Roberto Chang
Andres Velasco

Dollarization: Analytical Issues
w8839 John H. Cochrane
Monika Piazzesi

The Fed and Interest Rates: A High-Frequency Identification
w8794 Roberto Rigobon
Brian P. Sack

The Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices
w8765 Matthew B. Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad T. Diba

The Need for International Policy Coordination: What's Old, What's New, What's Yet to Come?
w8767 Jordi Gali
New Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle
w8758 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A Dual Liquidity Model for Emerging Markets
w8679 Bernhard Paasche
Stanley E. Zin

Competition and Intervention in Sovereign Debt Markets
w8617 Frederic S. Mishkin
The Transmission Mechanism and the Role of Asset Prices in Monetary Policy
w8582 Michael D. Bordo
William G. Dewald

Bond Market Inflation Expectations in Industrial Countries: Historical Comparisons
w8597 Boyan Jovanovic
Peter L. Rousseau

Liquidity Effects in the Bond Market
w8607 Yeung Lewis Chan
Leonid Kogan

Catching Up with the Joneses: Heterogeneous Preferences and the Dynamics of Asset Prices
w8427 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Smoothing Sudden Stops
w8428 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A "Vertical" Analysis of Crises and Intervention: Fear of Floating and Ex-ante Problems
w8350 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market
w8352 Hans-Werner Sinn
Frank Westermann

Why Has the Euro Been Falling? An Investigation into the Determinants of the Exchange Rate
w8358 Harrison Hong
Jeffrey D. Kubik
Jeremy C. Stein

Social Interaction and Stock-Market Participation
w8360 Fernando Alvarez
Urban J. Jermann

The Size of the Permanent Component of Asset Pricing Kernels
w8363 Andrew Ang
Monika Piazzesi

A No-Arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomic and Latent Variables
w8403 Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum
Charles Evans

Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy
w8323 Peter L. Rousseau
Richard Sylla

Financial Systems, Economic Growth, and Globalization
w8246 Monika Piazzesi
An Econometric Model of the Yield Curve with Macroeconomic Jump Effects
w8248 Frank A. Wolak
Robert H. Patrick

The Impact of Market Rules and Market Structure on the Price Determination Process in the England and Wales Electricity Market
w8255 Lars E.O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information
w8182 Russell Cooper
Joao Ejarque

Exhuming Q: Market Power vs. Capital Market Imperfections
w8072 Michael Woodford
Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability
w8025 Stefan Gerlach
Lars E.O. Svensson

Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?
w8044 Jean-Pierre Danthine
Francesco Giavazzi
Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

European Financial Markets After EMU: A First Assessment
w8060 Martin Schneider
Aaron Tornell

Balance SHeet Effects, Bailout Guarantees and Financial Crises
w7951 P.R. Agenor
J. Aizenman
A. Hoffmaister

The Credit Crunch in East Asia: What can Bank Excess Liquid Assets Tell us?
w7953 Lars E.O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy
w7971 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

International and Domestic Collateral Constraints in a Model of Emerging Market Crises
w7916 Bennett T. McCallum
The Present and Future of Monetary Policy Rules
w7598 Lars E.O. Svensson
The First Year of the Eurosystem: Inflation Targeting or Not?
w7853 Michael Woodford
Monetary Policy in a World Without Money
w7864 Maurice Obstfeld
Kenneth Rogoff

Do We Really Need a New International Monetary Compact?
w7178 Lars E.O. Svensson
Does the P* Model Provide Any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?
w7725 Bennett T. McCallum
Alternative Monetary Policy Rules: A Comparison with Historical Settings for the United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan
w7753 Aaron Tornell
Robust-H-infinity Forecasting and Asset Pricing Anomalies
w7677 Bennett T. McCallum
Theoretical Analysis Regarding a Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates
w7609 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick

Expectations Hypotheses Tests
w7516 Lars E.O. Svensson
How Should Monetary Policy be Conducted in an Era of Price Stability?
w7549 Mark Gertler
Cara S. Lown

The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications
w7559 Ben Bernanke
Mark Gertler

Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility
w7446 Pierre-Richard Agenor
Joshua Aizenman

Financial Sector Inefficiencies and Coordinate Failures: Implications for Crisis Management
w7448 Peter L. Rousseau
Richard Sylla

Emerging Financial Markets and Early U.S. Growth
w7425 Brett Katzman
John Kennan
Neil Wallace

Optimal Monetary Impulse-Response Functions in a Matching Model
w7386 Gerardo della Paolera
Alan M. Taylor

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-Country FinancialCrises: Lessons from the Argentine Bank Bailout of the 1930's
w7350 Tamim Bayoumi
The Morning After: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s
w7365 Michael D. Bordo
Lars Jonung

The Future of EMU: What Does the History of Monetary Unions Tell Us?
w7276 Lars E.O. Svensson
Price Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price Stability
w7242 Charles Engel
John H. Rogers

Violating the Law of One Price: Should We Make a Federal Case Out of It?
w7245 Willem H. Buiter
Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou

Liquidity Traps: How to Avoid Them and How to Escape Them
w7253 Michael Hutchison
Kathleen McDill

Are All Banking Crises Alike? The Japanese Experience in International Comparison
w7160 Robert J. Shiller
Designing Indexed Units of Account
w7177 Lars E.O. Svensson
Monetary Policy Issues for the Eurosystem
w7179 Glenn D. Rudebusch
Lars E.O. Svensson

Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data
w7139 Aaron Tornell
Common Fundamentals in the Tequila and Asian Crises
h0117 Peter L. Rousseau
Share Liquidity and Industrial Growth in an Emerging Market: The Case of New England, 1854-1897
w7017 Lawrence J. Christiano
Christopher J. Gust

Taylor Rules in a Limited Participation Model
w7055 Owen Lamont
Economic Tracking Portfolios
w7057 Wouter den Haan
Garey Ramey
Joel Watson

Liquidity Flows and Fragility of Business Enterprises
w7060 Fernando Alvarez
Andrew Atkeson
Patrick J. Kehoe

Money and Interest Rates with Endogeneously Segmented Markets
w6973 Owen Lamont
Investment Plans and Stock Returns
w6914 Robert E. Hall
Controlling the Price Level
w6843 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Emerging Market Crises: An Asset Markets Perspective
w6850 P.R. Agenor
J. Aizenman
A. Hoffmaister

Contagion, Bank Lending Spreads and Output Fluctuations
w6790 Lars E.O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule
w6771 John H. Cochrane
Long-term Debt and Optimal Policy in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level
w6717 Ricardo J. Caballero
Mohamad L. Hammour

Improper Churn: Social Costs and Macroeconomic Consequences
w6736 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Chris Telmer

Discrete-Time Models of Bond Pricing
w6646 John H. Cochrane
A Frictionless View of U.S. Inflation
w6652 Simon Gilchrist
Charles Himmelberg

Investment, Fundamentals and Finance
w6588 Raquel Fernandez
Education and Borrowing Constraints: Tests vs. Prices
w6593 Orazio Attanasio
Luigi Guiso
Tuillo Jappelli

The Demand for Money, Financial Innovation, and the Welfare Cost of Inflation: An Analysis with Household Data
w6597 Laurence Ball
Another Look at Long-Run Money Demand
w6599 Bennett T. McCallum
Edward Nelson

Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model
w6455 Ben Bernanke
Mark Gertler
Simon Gilchrist

The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework
w6471 Matthew B. Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad T. Diba

Is the Price Level Determined by the Needs of Fiscal Solvency?
w6396 Willem H. Buiter
The Young Person's Guide to Neutrality, Price Level Indeterminacy, Interest Rate Pegs, and Fiscal Theories of the Price Level
w6400 Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum
Charles L. Evans

Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and to What End?
w6356 Robert J. Shiller
Indexed Units of Account: Theory and Assessment of Historical Experience
w6369 Rudiger Dornbusch
Carlo A. Favero
Francesco Giavazzi

The Immediate Challenges for the European Central Bank
w6379 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Abon Mozumdar
Liuren Wu

Predictable Changes in Yields and Forward Rates
w6311 Alessandro Missale
Francesco Giavazzi
Pierpaolo Benigno

Managing the Public Debt in Fiscal Stabilizations: The Evidence
w6201 Michael D. Bordo
Anna J. Schwartz

Monetary Policy Regimes and Economic Performance: The Historical Record
w6092 Menzie D. Chinn
Michael P. Dooley

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States: Does One Size Fit All?
w6094 Russell Cooper
Dean Corbae

Financial Fragility and the Great Depression
w5962 Lars E. O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting: Some Extensions
w5963 Charles W. Calomiris
David C. Wheelock

Was the Great Depression a Watershed for American Monetary Policy?
w5930 Raquel Fernandez
Jordi Gali

To Each According To...? Markets, Tournaments, and the Matching Problem with Borrowing Constraints
w5944 Pierluigi Balduzzi
Giuseppe Bertola
Silverio Foresi
Leora Klapper

Interest Rate Targeting and the Dynamics of Short-Term Rates
w5947 Sergio Rebelo
Danyang Xie

On the Optimality of Interest Rate Smoothing
w5872 Jeremy Bulow
Paul Klemperer

The Generalized War of Attrition
w5877 Paul Soderlind
Lars E. O. Svensson

New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments
w5821 David G. Barr
John Y. Campbell

Inflation, Real Interest Rates, and the Bond Market: A Study of UK Nominal and Index-Linked Government Bond Prices
w5789 Robert P. Flood
Nancy P. Marion

Speculative Attacks: Fundamentals and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
w5792 Wouter J. Den Haan
Understanding Equilibrium Models with a Small and a Large Number of Agents
w5797 Lars E. O. Svensson
Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets
w5752 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev

Heterogeneous Information Arrivals and Return Volatility Dynamics: Uncovering the Long-Run in High Frequency Returns
w5637 Boyan Jovanovic
Masako Ueda

Contracts and Money
w5638 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Stanley Zin

Arbitrage Opportunities in Arbitrage-Free Models of Bond Pricing
w5587 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller

A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt
w5532 Torsten Persson
Guido Tabellini

Monetary Cohabitation in Europe
w5497 Michael D. Bordo
Tamim Bayoumi

Getting Pegged: Comparing the 1879 and 1925 Gold Resumptions
w5499 Owen Lamont
Cash Flow and Investment: Evidence from Internal Capital Markets
w5504 Casey B. Mulligan
Xavier Sala-i-Martin

Adoption of Financial Technologies: Implications for Money Demand and Monetary Policy
w5371 Michael D. Bordo
Bruce Mizrach
Anna J. Schwartz

Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk: Some Lessons from History
w5347 Michael P. Dooley
Menzie Chinn

Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration
w5358 Takatoshi Ito
Tokuo Iwaisako

Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan
w5269 V. V. Chari
Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum

Inside Money, Outside Money and Short Term Interest Rates
w5191 Maurice Obstfeld
Kenneth Rogoff

The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates
w5146 Ben S. Bernanke
Mark Gertler

Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission
w5130 Russell Cooper
Joao Ejarque

Financial Intermediation and The Great Depression: A Multiple Equilibrium Interpretation
w5080 Frederic S. Mishkin
John Simon

An Empirical Examination of the Fisher Effect in Australia
w5083 Nobuhiro Kiyotaki
John Moore

Credit Cycles
w5087 Willem H. Buiter
Generational Accounts, Aggregate Saving and Intergenerational Distribution
w5031 John Y. Campbell
Some Lessons from the Yield Curve
w4977 R. Glenn Hubbard
Is There a `Credit Channel' for Monetary Policy?
w4919 Fumio Hayashi
Akihiko Matsui

A Model of Fiat Money and Barter
w4938 Bennett T. McCallum
Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
w4873 Jose De Gregorio
Federico Sturzenegger

Credit Markets and the Welfare Costs of Inflation
w4888 James H. Stock
Martin Feldstein

Measuring Money Growth When Financial Markets Are Changing
w4850 Robert Flood
Michael Mussa

Issues Concerning Nominal Anchors for Monetary Policy
w4860 Michael D. Bordo
Anna J. Schwartz

The Specie Standard as a Contingent Rule: Some Evidence for Core and Peripheral Countries, 1880-1990
w4789 Ben Bernanke
Mark Gertler
Simon Gilchrist

The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality
w4692 Bennett T. McCallum
Monetary Policy Rules and Financial Stability
w4676 David K. Backus
Stanley E. Zin

Reverse Engineering the Yield Curve
w4604 Lars E.O. Svensson
The Simplest Test of Inflation Target Credibility
w4544 Lars E.O. Svensson
Term, Inflation, and Foreign Exchange Risk Premia: A Unified Treatment
w4546 Michael D. Bordo
Hugh Rockoff
Angela Redish

A Comparison of the United States and Canadian Banking Systems in the Twentieth Century: Stability vs. Efficiency?
w4404 John H. Boyd
Mark Gertler

U.S. Commercial Banking: Trends, Cycles, and Policy
w4379 Michael D. Bordo
Lars Jonung
Pierre Siklos

The Common Development of Institutional Change as Measured by Income Velocity: A Century of Evidence from Industrialized Countries
w4362 Willem H. Buiter
Public Debt in the USA: How Much, How Bad and Who Pays?
w4310 Michael Bordo
The Gold Standard, Bretton Woods and other Monetary Regimes: An Historical Appraisal
w4326 Jeffrey A. Miron
Christina D. Romer
David N. Weil

Historical Perspectives on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism
w4347 Pierluigi Balduzzi
Giuseppe Bertola
Silverio Foresi

A Model of Target Changes and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
w4285 Valerie A. Ramey
How Important is the Credit Channel in the Transmission of Monetary Policy?
w4275 Toru Konishi
Valerie A. Ramey
Clive W.J. Granger

Stochastic Trends and Short-Run Relationships Between Financial Variables and Real Activity
w4249 John Heaton
Deborah Lucas

Evaluating the Effects of Incomplete Markets on Risk Sharing and Asset Pricing
w4232 Alberto Giovannini
Bart Turtelboom

Currency Substitution
w4234 Douglas Elmendorf
Mary Hirshfeld
David Weil

The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom 1900-1920
w4236 Martin Feldstein
The Recent Failure of U.S. Monetary Policy
w4156 Robert King
Mark W. Watson

Testing Long Run Neutrality
w4134 Karen K. Lewis
Martin D. Evans

Do Expected Shifts in Inflation Policy Affect Real Rates?
t0124 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Pok-sang Lam
Nelson C. Mark

Testing Volatility Restrictions on Intertemporal Marginal Rates of Substitution Implied by Euler Equations and Asset Returns
w4117 Joseph E. Stiglitz
Bruce Greenwald

Towards a Reformulation of Monetary Theory: Competitive Banking
w3995 Robert B. Barsky
J. Bradford De Long

Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?
w4001 Alberto Giovannini
Bretton Woods and Its Precursors: Rules Versus Discretion in the History of International Monetary Regimes
w3974 Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum

Liquidity Effects and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism
w3975 Philippe Weil
Equilibrium Asset Prices With Undiversifiable Labor Income Risk
w3902 Mark Gertler
R. Glenn Hubbard

Corporate Financial Policy, Taxation, and Macroeconomic Risk
w3921 Russell Cooper
Thomas W. Ross

Bank Runs: Liquidity and Incentives
w3879 Benjamin M. Friedman
Kenneth N. Kuttner

Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?
t0110 Scott Freeman
Guido Tabellini

The Optimality of Nominal Contracts
w3751 Jeffrey A. Frankel
Cara S. Lown

An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted From the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length
w3756 Valerie A. Ramey
The Source of Fluctuations in Money: Evidence From Trade Credit

Generated on Tue Sep 19 00:00:02 2017

NBER Videos

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email:

Contact Us