NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

Money and Interest Rates


2009
w15528 Katheryn N. Russ
Diego Valderrama

Financial Choice in a Non-Ricardian Model of Trade

w15512 Moritz Schularick
Alan M. Taylor

Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870–2008

w15506 Jaroslav Borovička
Lars Peter Hansen
Mark Hendricks
José A. Scheinkman

Risk Price Dynamics

w15499 William Kerr
Ramana Nanda

Banking Deregulations, Financing Constraints, and Firm Entry Size

w15498 William Kerr
Ramana Nanda

Financing Constraints and Entrepreneurship

w15494 Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé
Martín Uribe

Foreign Demand for Domestic Currency and the Optimal Rate of Inflation

w15487 Dimitri Vayanos
Jean-Luc Vila

A Preferred-Habitat Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

w15432 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vincenzo Quadrini

Financial Globalization, Financial Crises and Contagion

w15424 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Craig Hakkio

Inflation targeting and private sector forecasts

w15414 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crises and Liquidity in Over-the-Counter Markets

w15399 François Gourio
Disasters Risk and Business Cycles

w15388 David G. Blanchflower
Conall MacCoille

The formation of inflation expectations: an empirical analysis for the UK

w15379 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Marion Kohler
Christian Upper

Financial Crises and Economic Activity

w15367 David O. Lucca
Francesco Trebbi

Measuring Central Bank Communication: An Automated Approach with Application to FOMC Statements

w15362 Amir E. Khandani
Andrew W. Lo
Robert C. Merton

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

w15353 Sergio Mayordomo
Juan Ignacio Peña
Eduardo S. Schwartz

Towards a Common European Monetary Union Risk Free Rate

w15297 Lasse Heje Pedersen
When Everyone Runs for the Exit

w15289 Vasco Cúrdia
Michael Woodford

Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy

w15270 Andrew Ang
Jean Boivin
Sen Dong
Rudy Loo-Kung

Monetary Policy Shifts and the Term Structure

w15268 Francisco J. Buera
Yongseok Shin

Productivity Growth and Capital Flows: The Dynamics of Reforms

w15260 Lieven Baele
Geert Bekaert
Koen Inghelbrecht

The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements

w15243 Fatih Guvenen
A Parsimonious Macroeconomic Model for Asset Pricing

w15240 David Backus
Mikhail Chernov
Ian Martin

Disasters implied by equity index options

w15227 Yosef Bonaparte
Russell Cooper

Costly Portfolio Adjustment

w15225 Craig Burnside
Alexandra Tabova

Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates

w15197 Douglas W. Diamond
Raghuram G. Rajan

Illiquidity and Interest Rate Policy

w15138 Emmanuel Farhi
Jean Tirole

Collective Moral Hazard, Maturity Mismatch and Systemic Bailouts

w15123 Espen Henriksen
Finn E. Kydland
Roman Sustek

The High Cross-Country Correlations of Prices and Interest Rates

w15118 Willem H. Buiter
Negative Nominal Interest Rates: Three ways to overcome the zero lower bound

w15110 Paul Beaudry
Amartya Lahiri

Risk Allocation, Debt Fueled Expansion and Financial Crisis

w15072 Harald Uhlig
A Model of a Systemic Bank Run

w15062 Emmanuel Farhi
Samuel Paul Fraiberger
Xavier Gabaix
Romain Ranciere
Adrien Verdelhan

Crash Risk in Currency Markets

w15045 Efraim Benmelech
Jennifer Dlugosz

The Credit Rating Crisis

w15024 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom

Inflation and the Stock Market:Understanding the "Fed Model"

w15020 Yuko Hashimoto
Takatoshi Ito

Effects of Japanese Macroeconomic Announcements on the Dollar/Yen Exchange Rate: High-Resolution Picture

w15014 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller
Luis M. Viceira

Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets

w14993 Peter L. Rousseau
Monetary Policy and the Dollar

w14931 Söhnke M. Bartram
Gregory Brown
René M. Stulz

Why Do Foreign Firms Have Less Idiosyncratic Risk than U.S. Firms?

w14925 Douglas W. Diamond
Raghuram G. Rajan

Fear of Fire Sales and the Credit Freeze

w14914 Francisco J. Buera
Joseph Kaboski
Yongseok Shin

Finance and Development: A Tale of Two Sectors

w14894 Riccardo DiCecio
Edward Nelson

Euro Membership as a U.K. Monetary Policy Option: Results from a Structural Model

w14872 Frank Schorfheide
Keith Sill
Maxym Kryshko

DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Non-modelled Variables

w14870 S. Boragan Aruoba
Frank Schorfheide

Sticky Prices Versus Monetary Frictions: An Estimation of Policy Trade-offs

w14863 Simon Gilchrist
Vladimir Yankov
Egon Zakrajsek

Credit Market Shocks and Economic Fluctuations: Evidence from Corporate Bond and Stock Markets

w14862 Marvin Goodfriend
Robert G. King

The Great Inflation Drift

w14826 Maurice Obstfeld
Jay C. Shambaugh
Alan M. Taylor

Financial Instability, Reserves, and Central Bank Swap Lines in the Panic of 2008

w14815 Ravi Bansal
Ivan Shaliastovich

Confidence Risk and Asset Prices

w14814 Ravi Bansal
Ivan Shaliastovich

Learning and Asset-Price Jumps

w14772 Lars Ljungqvist
Harald Uhlig

Optimal Endowment Destruction under Campbell-Cochrane Habit Formation

w14770 Jess Benhabib
A Note on Regime Switching, Monetary Policy, and Multiple Equilibria

w14760 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursúa

Stock-Market Crashes and Depressions

w14710 Roger E.A. Farmer
Tao Zha
Daniel F. Waggoner

Understanding Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models

w14688 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Global Imbalances and Financial Fragility

w14656 Carmen M. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

The Aftermath of Financial Crises


2008
w14621 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation

w14616 J. Christina Wang
Susanto Basu
John G. Fernald

A General-Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Approach to the Measurement of Nominal and Real Bank Output

w14615 Susanto Basu
Robert Inklaar
J. Christina Wang

The Value of Risk: Measuring the Service Output of U.S. Commercial Banks

w14614 J. Christina Wang
Susanto Basu

Risk Bearing, Implicit Financial Services and Specialization in the Financial Industry

w14612 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-08

w14596 Andreas Beyer
Vitor Gaspar
Christina Gerberding
Otmar Issing

Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy After the Break Down of Bretton Woods

w14586 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko

What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?

w14549 Michelle J. White
Bankruptcy: Past Puzzles, Recent Reforms, and the Mortgage Crisis

w14534 Bennett T. McCallum
Inflation Determination with Taylor Rules: Is New Keynesian Analysis Critically Flawed?

w14519 Ulf Söderström
Re-Evaluating Swedish Membership in EMU: Evidence from an Estimated Model

w14489 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Kermit L. Schoenholtz

How Central Bankers See It: The First Decade of ECB Policy and Beyond

w14473 Markus K. Brunnermeier
Stefan Nagel
Lasse H. Pedersen

Carry Trades and Currency Crashes

w14444 Enrique G. Mendoza
Sudden Stops, Financial Crises and Leverage: A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q

w14422 Asaf Bernstein
Eric Hughson
Marc D. Weidenmier

Can a Lender of Last Resort Stabilize Financial Markets? Lessons from the Founding of the Fed

w14401 Takeo Hoshi
Anil K Kashyap

Will the U.S. Bank Recapitalization Succeed? Eight Lessons from Japan

w14379 Alon Binyamini
Assaf Razin

Inflation-Output Tradeoff as Equilibrium Outcome of Globalization

w14378 William A. Brock
Charles F. Manski

Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment

w14366 Zhiguo He
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A Model of Capital and Crises

w14351 Rajnish Mehra
Facundo Piguillem
Edward C. Prescott

Intermediated Quantities and Returns

w14259 Olivier J. Blanchard
The State of Macro

w14255 Manuel Amador
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Learning from Prices: Public Communication and Welfare

w14244 Matthew Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad Diba
David Lopez-Salido

Monetary Aggregates and Liquidity in a Neo-Wicksellian Framework

w14243 Lars Peter Hansen
Modeling the Long Run: Valuation in Dynamic Stochastic Economies

w14223 James D. Hamilton
Daily Monetary Policy Shocks and the Delayed Response of New Home Sales

w14217 Maurice Obstfeld
Jay C. Shambaugh
Alan M. Taylor

Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves

w14190 Jean Boivin
Marc P. Giannoni
Benoît Mojon

How Has the Euro Changed the Monetary Transmission?

w14120 Gary Richardson
Patrick Van Horn

Intensified Regulatory Scrutiny and Bank Distress in New York City During the Great Depression

w14119 Ricardo Lagos
Guillaume Rocheteau
Pierre-Olivier Weill

Crashes and Recoveries in Illiquid Markets

w14098 Peter N. Ireland
On the Welfare Cost of Inflation and the Recent Behavior of Money Demand

w14058 Jennifer Huang
Jiang Wang

Market Liquidity, Asset Prices and Welfare

w14049 Enrique G. Mendoza
Marco E. Terrones

An Anatomy Of Credit Booms: Evidence From Macro Aggregates And Micro Data

w14013 Jennifer Huang
Jiang Wang

Liquidity and Market Crashes

w13974 Farley Grubb
Creating Maryland's Paper Money Economy, 1720-1739: The Role of Power, Print, and Markets

w13940 Robert J. Barro
José F. Ursúa

Macroeconomic Crises since 1870

w13955 Emmanuel Farhi
Jean Tirole

Competing Liquidities: Corporate Securities, Real Bonds and Bubbles

w13943 John B. Taylor
John C. Williams

A Black Swan in the Money Market

w13936 Atif Mian
Amir Sufi

The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis

w13909 Menzie D. Chinn
Jeffrey A. Frankel

The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

w13892 Lars E.O. Svensson
Noah Williams

Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in DSGE Models: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach

w13861 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vivian Z. Yue

A Solution to the Default Risk-Business Cycle Disconnect

w13805 Emmanuel Farhi
Xavier Gabaix

Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates

w13761 Carmen M. Reinhart
Kenneth S. Rogoff

Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison

w13736 Jean Boivin
Marc Giannoni

Global Forces and Monetary Policy Effectiveness

w13724 Xavier Gabaix
Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance


2007
w13685 John B. Taylor
The Explanatory Power of Monetary Policy Rules

w13682 John B. Taylor
Housing and Monetary Policy

w13677 Ramon Marimon
Javier Díaz-Giménez
Giorgia Giovannetti
Pedro Teles

Nominal Debt as a Burden on Monetary Policy

w13655 V. V. Chari
Patrick J. Kehoe

The Heterogeneous State of Modern Macroeconomics: A Reply to Solow

w13650 Dirk Krueger
Hanno Lustig
Fabrizio Perri

Evaluating Asset Pricing Models with Limited Commitment using Household Consumption Data

w13639 Guido Lorenzoni
Inefficient Credit Booms

w13635 Josephine M. Smith
John B. Taylor

The Long and the Short End of the Term Structure of Policy Rules

w13607 Dale F. Gray
Robert C. Merton
Zvi Bodie

New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability

w13580 Marvin Goodfriend
How the World Achieved Consensus on Monetary Policy

w13566 Frederic S. Mishkin
Will Monetary Policy Become More of a Science?

w13521 Lawrence Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

Shocks, Structures or Monetary Policies? The Euro Area and US After 2001

w13518 Frederic S. Mishkin
Housing and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism

w13502 Lawrence Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

Two Reasons Why Money and Credit May be Useful in Monetary Policy

w13471 Martin S. Feldstein
Housing, Credit Markets and the Business Cycle

w13448 Andrew Ang
Sen Dong
Monika Piazzesi

No-Arbitrage Taylor Rules

w13430 Xavier Gabaix
Linearity-Generating Processes: A Modelling Tool Yielding Closed Forms for Asset Prices

w13419 David K. Backus
Jonathan H. Wright

Cracking the Conundrum

w13416 Fernando E. Alvarez
Francesco Lippi

Financial Innovation and the Transactions Demand for Cash

w13414 Lars E.O. Svensson
Noah M. Williams

Bayesian and Adaptive Optimal Policy under Model Uncertainty

w13412 Enrique G. Mendoza
Vincenzo Quadrini
José-Victor Ríos-Rull

On the Welfare Implications of Financial Globalization without Financial Development

w13398 Andrew Atkeson
V. V. Chari
Patrick J. Kehoe

On the Optimal Choice of a Monetary Policy Instrument

w13363 Igor Livshits
James MacGee
Michèle Tertilt

Accounting for the Rise in Consumer Bankruptcies

w13361 Ralph S.J Koijen
Otto Van Hemert
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Mortgage Timing

w13320 Boyan Jovanovic
Bubbles in Prices of Exhaustible Resources

w13315 Simon Gilchrist
Jae W. Sim

Investment during the Korean Financial Crisis: A Structural Econometric Analysis

w13310 Tai-wei Hu
John Kennan
Neil Wallace

Coalition-Proof Trade and the Friedman Rule in the Lagos-Wright Model

w13307 Boyan Jovanovic
Investment Options and the Business Cycle

w13254 Fabio Braggion
Lawrence J. Christiano
Jorge Roldos

Optimal Monetary Policy in a 'Sudden Stop'

w13251 Rui Albuquerque
Neng Wang

Agency Conflicts, Investment, and Asset Pricing

w13245 Michael F. Gallmeyer
Burton Hollifield
Francisco Palomino
Stanley E. Zin

Arbitrage-Free Bond Pricing with Dynamic Macroeconomic Models

w13244 Domenico Delli Gatti
Mauro Gallegati
Bruce C. Greenwald
Joseph E. Stiglitz

Net Worth, Exchange Rates, and Monetary Policy: The Effects of a Devaluation in a Financially Fragile Environment

w13209 Kiminori Matsuyama
Aggregate Implications of Credit Market Imperfections

w13207 Marvin Goodfriend
Bennett T. McCallum

Banking and Interest Rates in Monetary Policy Analysis: A Quantitative Exploration

w13204 Veronica Guerrieri
Guido Lorenzoni

Liquidity and Trading Dynamics

w13196 Ravi Bansal
Long-Run Risks and Financial Markets

w13174 Simon Gilchrist
Egon Zakrajsek

Investment and the Cost of Capital: New Evidence from the Corporate Bond Market

w13123 Ceyhun Bora Durdu
Enrique G. Mendoza
Marco E. Terrones

Precautionary Demand for Foreign Assets in Sudden Stop Economies: An Assessment of the New Merchantilism

w13112 James D. Hamilton
Daily Changes in Fed Funds Futures Prices

w13104 Jeremy Greenwood
Juan M. Sanchez
Cheng Wang

Financing Development: The Role of Information Costs

w13092 Guido Lorenzoni
Karl Walentin

Financial Frictions, Investment and Tobin's q

w13089 Galina Hale
Assaf Razin
Hui Tong

Credit Constraints and Stock Price Volatility

w13076 Fernando A. Broner
Guido Lorenzoni
Sergio L. Schmukler

Why Do Emerging Economies Borrow Short Term?

w13024 Laura X. L. Liu
Toni Whited
Lu Zhang

Regularities

w13003 N. Nergiz Dincer
Barry Eichengreen

Central Bank Transparency: Where, Why, and with What Effects?

w12982 Michael D. Bordo
Christopher Erceg
Andrew Levin
Ryan Michaels

Three Great American Disinflations

w12957 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Inflation Illusion, Credit, and Asset Pricing

w12948 Lars Peter Hansen
Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Economic Risk

w12938 Mark Carlson
Kris James Mitchener

Branch Banking as a Device for Discipline: Competition and Bank Survivorship During the Great Depression

w12930 Andrew Ang
Geert Bekaert
Min Wei

The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation

w12919 Willem H. Buiter
Seigniorage

w12912 Mariano M. Croce
Martin Lettau
Sydney C. Ludvigson

Investor Information, Long-Run Risk, and the Duration of Risky Cash-Flows

w12896 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode

w12881 Arvind Krishnamurthy
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

The Demand for Treasury Debt

w12839 Willem H. Buiter
Is Numerairology the Future of Monetary Economics? Unbundling numeraire and medium of exchange through a virtual currency and a shadow exchange rate

w12835 Peter L. Rousseau
Backing, the Quantity Theory, and the Transition to the U.S. Dollar, 1723-1850

w12824 Jean Boivin
Marc Giannoni
Ilian Mihov

Sticky Prices and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Disaggregated U.S. Data


2006
w12781 Wei Xiong
Hongjun Yan

Heterogeneous Expectations and Bond Markets

w12763 Robert J. Barro
On the Welfare Costs of Consumption Uncertainty

w12753 Ricardo J. Caballero
On the Macroeconomics of Asset Shortages

w12719 Gary Richardson
A Comment Concerning Deposit Insurance and Moral Hazard

w12717 Gary Richardson
Bank Distress during the Great Depression: The Illiquidity-Insolvency Debate Revisited

w12716 Gary Richardson
Correspondent Clearing and the Banking Panics of the Great Depression

w12715 Gary Richardson
Quarterly Data on the Categories and Causes of Bank Distress During the Great Depression

w12713 Jeffrey A. Frankel
The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Commodity Prices

w12662 Michael D. Bordo
Owen Humpage
Anna J. Schwartz

The Historical Origins of U.S. Exchange Market Intervention Policy

w12638 Glenn D. Rudebusch
John C. Williams

Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections

w12634 Dirk Krueger
Hanno Lustig

When is Market Incompleteness Irrelevant for the Price of Aggregate Risk (and when is it not)?

w12614 Christian Hellwig
Guido Lorenzoni

Bubbles and Self-Enforcing Debt

w12612 Atif Mian
Asim Ijaz Khwaja

Tracing the Impact of Bank Liquidity Shocks: Evidence from an Emerging Market

w12609 Monika Piazzesi
Martin Schneider

Equilibrium Yield Curves

w12594 Ching-Yi Chung
Gary Richardson

Deposit Insurance and the Composition of Bank Suspensions in Developing Economies: Lessons from the State Deposit Insurance Experiments of the 1920S

w12590 Gary Richardson
Bank Distress During the Great Contraction, 1929 to 1933, New Data from the Archives of the Board of Governors

w12564 Enrique G. Mendoza
Endogenous Sudden Stops in a Business Cycle Model with Collateral Constraints:A Fisherian Deflation of Tobin's Q

w12560 Francis E. Warnock
Veronica Cacdac Warnock

International Capital Flows and U.S. Interest Rates

w12540 Roger E. A. Farmer
Daniel F. Waggoner
Tao Zha

Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model

w12477 Guido Lorenzoni
A Theory of Demand Shocks

w12476 Patrick Kehoe
Varadarajan V. Chari

Modern Macroeconomics in Practice: How Theory is Shaping Policy

w12470 Tommaso Monacelli
Optimal Monetary Policy with Collateralized Household Debt and Borrowing Constraints

w12462 Thomas Philippon
The Bond Market's q

w12454 Kenneth Kuttner
Can Central Banks Target Bond Prices?

w12442 Simon Gilchrist
Masashi Saito

Expectations, Asset Prices, and Monetary Policy: The Role of Learning

w12420 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

Noisy Macroeconomic Announcements, Monetary Policy, and Asset Prices

w12393 Michael D. Bordo
Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Original Sin in Emerging Countries: Déjà vu?

w12337 Anders B. Trolle
Eduardo S. Schwartz

A General Stochastic Volatility Model for the Pricing and Forecasting of Interest Rate Derivatives

w12283 Bernardo S. de M. Carvalho
Márcio G.P. Garcia

Ineffective Controls on Capital Inflows Under Sophisticated Financial Markets: Brazil in the Nineties

w12277 Vitor Gaspar
Anil K. Kashyap

Stability First: Reflections Inspired by Otmar Issing's Success as the ECB's Chief Economist

w12248 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Yuhang Xing

Risk, Uncertainty and Asset Prices

w12247 Geert Bekaert
Eric Engstrom
Steven R. Grenadier

Stock and Bond Returns with Moody Investors

w12243 Giorgio E. Primiceri
Ernst Schaumburg
Andrea Tambalotti

Intertemporal Disturbances

w12189 Michael Bordo
Harold James

One World Money, Then and Now

w12146 Clemens Sialm
Investment Taxes and Equity Returns

w12136 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Flight to Quality and Collective Risk Management

w12129 Ricardo J. Caballero
Takeo Hoshi
Anil K. Kashyap

Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan

w12074 Kris James Mitchener
Are Prudential Supervision and Regulation Pillars of Financial Stability? Evidence from the Great Depression

w12035 Michael D. Bordo
Peter L. Rousseau

Legal-Political Factors and the Historical Evolution of the Finance-Growth Link

w12014 Erica X. N. Li
Dmitry Livdan
Lu Zhang

Optimal Market Timing

w11978 Joseph Engelberg
Charles F. Manski
Jared Williams

Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters

w11966 Enrique G. Mendoza
Lessons From the Debt-Deflation Theory of Sudden Stops

w11962 Darrell Duffie
Leandro Siata
Ke Wang

Multi-Period Corporate Default Prediction With Stochastic Covariates

w11946 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Alfonso Flores-Lagunes
Stefan Krause

Assessing the Sources of Changes in the Volatility of Real Growth

w11942 Marc Giannoni
Robust Optimal Policy in a Forward-Looking Model with Parameter and Shock Uncertainty

w11929 Refet Gurkaynak
Justin Wolfers

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk


2005
w11834 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Financial System Risk and Flight to Quality

w11784 Farley Grubb
Two Theories of Money Reconciled: The Colonial Puzzle Revisited with New Evidence

w11756 Clemens Sialm
Tax Changes and Asset Pricing: Time-Series Evidence

w11733 Lars Svensson
Noah Williams

Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Forecast Targeting

w11703 Sydeny C. Ludvigson
Serena Ng

Macro Factors in Bond Risk Premia

w11687 Hanno Lustig
Christopher Sleet
Sevin Yeltekin

Fiscal Hedging and the Yield Curve

w11668 Hans Fehr
Sabine Jokisch
Laurence J. Kotlikoff

Will China Eat Our Lunch or Take Us Out to Dinner? Simulating the Transition Paths of the U.S., EU, Japan, and China

w11633 Philippe Bacchetta
Eric van Wincoop

Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle

w11618 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Bubbles and Capital Flow Volatility: Causes and Risk Management

w11562 Marvin Goodfriend
Robert King

The Incredible Volcker Disinflation

w11538 Andrew Ang
Geert Bekaert
Min Wei

Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?

w11480 Laura X.L. Liu
Jerold B. Warner
Lu Zhang

Momentum Profits and Macroeconomic Risk

w11459 Evgeny Lyandres
Le Sun
Lu Zhang

Investment-Based Underperformance Following Seasoned Equity Offerings

w11340 Geert Bekaert
Seonghoon Cho
Antonio Moreno

New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure

w11326 Naiping Lu
Lu Zhang

The Value Spread as a Predictor of Returns

w11323 Murillo Campello
Long Chen
Lu Zhang

Expected Returns, Yield Spreads, and Asset Pricing Tests

w11322 Lu Zhang
Anomalies

w11291 Mark Carlson
Kris James Mitchener

Branch Banking, Bank Competition, and Financial Stability

w11285 Jean Boivin
Serena Ng

Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts

w11276 Michael Gallmeyer
Burton Hollifield
Stanley E. Zin

Taylor Rules, McCallum Rules and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

w11222 Claude B. Erb
Campbell R. Harvey

The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures

w11191 Christian Hellwig
Arijit Mukherji
Aleh Tsyvinski

Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises: The Role of Interest Rates

w11178 Ceyhun Bora Durdu
Enrique G. Mendoza

Are Asset Price Guarantees Useful for Preventing Sudden Stops?: A Quantitative Investigation of the Globalization Hazard-Moral Hazard Tradeoff

w11169 Peter Hecht
Tuomo Vuolteenaho

Explaining Returns with Cash-Flow Proxies

w11167 Lars E.O. Svensson
Monetary Policy with Judgment: Forecast Targeting

w11166 Michael Ehrmann
Marcel Fratzscher
Roberto Rigobon

Stocks, Bonds, Money Markets and Exchange Rates: Measuring International Financial Transmission

w11102 Seok-Kyun Hur
Money Growth and Interest Rates

w11089 Francis X. Diebold
Monika Piazzesi
Glenn Rudebusch

Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics

w11054 Dongchul Cho
Interest Rate, Inflation, and Housing Price: With an Emphasis on Chonsei Price in Korea

w11034 David Altig
Lawrence Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum
Jesper Linde

Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities and the Business Cycle


2004
w10999 Philippe Aghion
Jeremy C. Stein

Growth vs. Margins: Destabilizing Consequences of Giving the Stock Market What it Wants

w10951 Charles W. Calomiris
Joseph R. Mason

Resolving the Puzzle of the Underissuance of National Bank Notes

w10940 Enrique G. Mendoza
Katherine A. Smith

Quantitative Implication of A Debt-Deflation Theory of Sudden Stops and Asset Prices

w10915 Julio J. Rotemberg
Fair Pricing

w10878 Takatoshi Ito
Frederic S. Mishkin

Two Decades of Japanese Monetary Policy and the Deflation Problem

w10848 Willem H. Buiter
The Elusive Welfare Economics of Price Stability as a Monetary Policy Objective: Should New Keynesian Central Bankers Pursue Price Stability?

w10827 Andres Velasco
Roberto Chang

Monetary Policy and the Currency Denomination of Debt: A Tale of Two Equilibria

w10818 Takatoshi Ito
Inflation Targeting and Japan: Why has the Bank of Japan not Adopted Inflation Targeting?

w10790 Enrique G. Mendoza
Ceyhun Bora Durdu

Putting the Brakes on Sudden Stops: The Financial Frictions-Moral Hazard Tradeoff of Asset Price Guarantees

w10747 Lars E.O. Svensson
Targeting Rules vs. Instrument Rules for Monetary Policy: What is Wrong with McCallum and Nelson?

w10743 Darrell Duffie
Ke Wang

Multi-Period Corporate Failure Prediction with Stochastic Covariates

w10702 Peter L. Rousseau
A Common Currency: Early U.S. Monetary Policy and the Transition to the Dollar

w10672 Andrew Ang
Monika Piazzesi
Min Wei

What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth?

w10616 Francis X. Diebold
Glenn D. Rudebusch
S. Boragan Aruoba

The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach

w10532 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Fiscal Policy and Financial Depth

w10524 Willem Buiter
A Small Corner of Intertemporal Public Finance - New Developments in Monetary Economics: 2 Ghosts, 2 Eccentricities, A Fallacy, A Mirage and A Mythos

w10519 Ricardo Caballero
Kevin Cowan
Jonathan Kearns

Fear of Sudden Stops: Lessons from Australia and Chile

w10517 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Exchange Rate Volatility and the Credit Channel in Emerging Markets: A Vertical Perspective

w10475 Kris James Mitchener
Bank Supervision, Regulation, and Instability During the Great Depression

w10431 Michael D. Bordo
Joseph G Haubrich

The Yield Curve, Recessions and the Credibility of the Monetary Regime: Long Run Evidence 1875-1997

w10402 Ben S. Bernanke
Kenneth N. Kuttner

What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?

w10390 Carlo A. Favero
Francesco Giavazzi

Inflation Targeting and Debt: Lessons from Brazil

w10362 Troy Davig
Eric M. Leeper
Hess Chung

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching

w10298 Boyan Jovanovic
Peter L. Rousseau

Interest Rates and Initial Public Offerings

w10295 Leonardo Gambacorta
How Do Banks Set Interest Rates?

w10293 Aaron Tornell
Frank Westermann
Lorenza Martinez

The Positive Link Between Financial Liberalization, Growth and Crises

w10290 Alan Auerbach
Maurice Obstfeld

Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation

w10289 Aaron Tornell
Frank Westermann
Lorenza Martinez

NAFTA and Mexico's Less-Than-Stellar Performance

w10255 Lawrence J. Christiano
Roberto Motto
Massimo Rostagno

The Great Depression and the Friedman-Schwartz Hypothesis

w10220 Ben S. Bernanke
Jean Boivin
Piotr Eliasz

Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach


2003
w10171 Michael D. Bordo
Robert D. Dittmar
William T. Gavin

Gold, Fiat Money, and Price Stability

w10163 Willem H. Buiter
Helicopter Money: Irredeemable Fiat Money and the Liquidity Trap

w10089 Eric Leeper
An "Inflation Reports" Report

w10048 Francis X. Diebold
Canlin Li

Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields

w10042 Andrew Ang
Jun Liu

How to Discount Cashflows with Time-Varying Expected Returns

w10016 Fernando Alvarez
Andrew Atkeson
Chris Edmond

On the Sluggish Response of Prices to Money in an Inventory-Theoretic Model of Money Demand

w9981 Marvin Goodfriend
Inflation Targeting in the United States?

w9934 Daron Acemoglu
Simon Johnson

Unbundling Institutions

w9840 Laurent Calvet
Martin Gonzalez-Eiras
Paolo Sodini

Financial Innovation, Market Participation and Asset Prices

w9838 Bennett T. McCallum
Monetary Policy in Economies with Little or No Money

w9835 Claudio Raddatz
Roberto Rigobon

Monetary Policy and Sectoral Shocks: Did the FED react properly to the High-Tech Crisis?

w9829 Jean Boivin
Serena Ng

Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?

w9814 Alan J. Auerbach
Maurice Obstfeld

The Case for Open-Market Purchases in a Liquidity Trap

w9759 John Y. Campbell
Joao F. Cocco

Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice

w9747 Lars E. O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting

w9640 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

Spillovers Across U.S. Financial Markets

w9629 Christian Gollier
Richard Zeckhauser

Collective Investment Decision Making with Heterogeneous Time Preferences

w9609 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

The Effects of War Risk on U.S. Financial Markets

w9599 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Inflation Targeting and Sudden Stops

w9552 Eric M. Leeper
Jennifer E. Roush

Putting 'M' back into Monetary Policy

w9486 Lars E. O. Svensson
Monetary Policy and Real Stabilization

w9457 Gerardo della Paolera
Alan M. Taylor

Gaucho Banking Redux

w9430 Lars E. O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Optimal Policy with Partial Information in a Forward-Looking Model: Certainty-Equivalence Redux

w9421 Lars E. O. Svensson
What is Wrong with Taylor Rules? Using Judgment in Monetary Policy through Targeting Rules


2002
w9391 Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
Aaron Tornell

Exchange Rate Dynamics, Learning and Misperception

t0287 Nelson C. Mark
Donggyu Sul

Cointegration Vector Estimation by Panel DOLS and Long-Run Money Demand

w9333 Peter L. Rousseau
Historical Perspectives on Financial Development and Economic Growth

w9320 Julio J. Rotemberg
Customer Anger at Price Increases, Time Variation in the Frequency of Price Changes and Monetary Policy

w9261 George J. Hall
Exchange Rates and Casualties During the First World War

w9235 Laurence Ball
Short-Run Money Demand

w9219 Aaron Tornell
Frank Westermann

Boom-Bust Cycles in Middle Income Countries: Facts and Explanation

w9192 Eric M. Leeper
Tao Zha

Modest Policy Interventions

w9178 John H. Cochrane
Monika Piazzesi

Bond Risk Premia

w9084 David B. Gordon
Eric M. Leeper

The Price Level, the Quantity Theory of Money, and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

w9063 Eric M. Leeper
Tao Zha

Empirical Analysis of Policy Interventions

w8992 Frederic S. Mishkin
Eugene N. White

U.S. Stock Market Crashes and Their Aftermath: Implications for Monetary Policy

w8990 Jun Liu
Francis A. Longstaff
Ravit E. Mandell

The Market Price of Credit Risk: An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Swap Spreads

w8925 Lars E.O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting: Should It Be Modeled as an Instrument Rule or a Targeting Rule?

w8839 John H. Cochrane
Monika Piazzesi

The Fed and Interest Rates: A High-Frequency Identification

w8838 Roberto Chang
Andres Velasco

Dollarization: Analytical Issues

w8794 Roberto Rigobon
Brian P. Sack

The Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

w8767 Jordi Gali
New Perspectives on Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle

w8765 Matthew B. Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad T. Diba

The Need for International Policy Coordination: What's Old, What's New, What's Yet to Come?

w8758 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A Dual Liquidity Model for Emerging Markets


2001
w8679 Bernhard Paasche
Stanley E. Zin

Competition and Intervention in Sovereign Debt Markets

w8617 Frederic S. Mishkin
The Transmission Mechanism and the Role of Asset Prices in Monetary Policy

w8607 Yeung Lewis Chan
Leonid Kogan

Catching Up with the Joneses: Heterogeneous Preferences and the Dynamics of Asset Prices

w8597 Boyan Jovanovic
Peter L. Rousseau

Liquidity Effects in the Bond Market

w8582 Michael D. Bordo
William G. Dewald

Bond Market Inflation Expectations in Industrial Countries: Historical Comparisons

w8428 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

A "Vertical" Analysis of Crises and Intervention: Fear of Floating and Ex-ante Problems

w8427 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Smoothing Sudden Stops

w8403 Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum
Charles Evans

Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy

w8363 Andrew Ang
Monika Piazzesi

A No-Arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomic and Latent Variables

w8360 Fernando Alvarez
Urban J. Jermann

The Size of the Permanent Component of Asset Pricing Kernels

w8358 Harrison Hong
Jeffrey D. Kubik
Jeremy C. Stein

Social Interaction and Stock-Market Participation

w8352 Hans-Werner Sinn
Frank Westermann

Why Has the Euro Been Falling? An Investigation into the Determinants of the Exchange Rate

w8350 Roberto Rigobon
Brian Sack

Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market

w8323 Peter L. Rousseau
Richard Sylla

Financial Systems, Economic Growth, and Globalization

w8255 Lars E.O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information

w8248 Frank A. Wolak
Robert H. Patrick

The Impact of Market Rules and Market Structure on the Price Determination Process in the England and Wales Electricity Market

w8246 Monika Piazzesi
An Econometric Model of the Yield Curve with Macroeconomic Jump Effects

w8182 Russell Cooper
Joao Ejarque

Exhuming Q: Market Power vs. Capital Market Imperfections

w8072 Michael Woodford
Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability


2000
w8060 Martin Schneider
Aaron Tornell

Balance SHeet Effects, Bailout Guarantees and Financial Crises

w8044 Jean-Pierre Danthine
Francesco Giavazzi
Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

European Financial Markets After EMU: A First Assessment

w8025 Stefan Gerlach
Lars E.O. Svensson

Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?

w7971 Ricardo Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

International and Domestic Collateral Constraints in a Model of Emerging Market Crises

w7953 Lars E.O. Svensson
Michael Woodford

Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy

w7951 P.R. Agenor
J. Aizenman
A. Hoffmaister

The Credit Crunch in East Asia: What can Bank Excess Liquid Assets Tell us?

w7916 Bennett T. McCallum
The Present and Future of Monetary Policy Rules

w7864 Maurice Obstfeld
Kenneth Rogoff

Do We Really Need a New International Monetary Compact?

w7853 Michael Woodford
Monetary Policy in a World Without Money

w7598 Lars E.O. Svensson
The First Year of the Eurosystem: Inflation Targeting or Not?

w7753 Aaron Tornell
Robust-H-infinity Forecasting and Asset Pricing Anomalies

w7725 Bennett T. McCallum
Alternative Monetary Policy Rules: A Comparison with Historical Settings for the United States, the United Kingdom, and Japan

w7178 Lars E.O. Svensson
Does the P* Model Provide Any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?

w7677 Bennett T. McCallum
Theoretical Analysis Regarding a Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates

w7609 Geert Bekaert
Robert J. Hodrick

Expectations Hypotheses Tests

w7559 Ben Bernanke
Mark Gertler

Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility

w7549 Mark Gertler
Cara S. Lown

The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications

w7516 Lars E.O. Svensson
How Should Monetary Policy be Conducted in an Era of Price Stability?


1999
w7448 Peter L. Rousseau
Richard Sylla

Emerging Financial Markets and Early U.S. Growth

w7446 Pierre-Richard Agenor
Joshua Aizenman

Financial Sector Inefficiencies and Coordinate Failures: Implications for Crisis Management

w5962 Lars E. O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting: Some Extensions

w7425 Brett Katzman
John Kennan
Neil Wallace

Optimal Monetary Impulse-Response Functions in a Matching Model

w7386 Gerardo della Paolera
Alan M. Taylor

Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-Country FinancialCrises: Lessons from the Argentine Bank Bailout of the 1930's

w7365 Michael D. Bordo
Lars Jonung

The Future of EMU: What Does the History of Monetary Unions Tell Us?

w7350 Tamim Bayoumi
The Morning After: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s

w7276 Lars E.O. Svensson
Price Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price Stability

w7253 Michael Hutchison
Kathleen McDill

Are All Banking Crises Alike? The Japanese Experience in International Comparison

w7245 Willem H. Buiter
Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou

Liquidity Traps: How to Avoid Them and How to Escape Them

w7242 Charles Engel
John H. Rogers

Violating the Law of One Price: Should We Make a Federal Case Out of It?

w7179 Glenn D. Rudebusch
Lars E.O. Svensson

Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data

w7177 Lars E.O. Svensson
Monetary Policy Issues for the Eurosystem

w7160 Robert J. Shiller
Designing Indexed Units of Account

w7139 Aaron Tornell
Common Fundamentals in the Tequila and Asian Crises

w7060 Fernando Alvarez
Andrew Atkeson
Patrick J. Kehoe

Money and Interest Rates with Endogeneously Segmented Markets

w7057 Wouter den Haan
Garey Ramey
Joel Watson

Liquidity Flows and Fragility of Business Enterprises

w7055 Owen Lamont
Economic Tracking Portfolios

w7017 Lawrence J. Christiano
Christopher J. Gust

Taylor Rules in a Limited Participation Model

w5497 Michael D. Bordo
Tamim Bayoumi

Getting Pegged: Comparing the 1879 and 1925 Gold Resumptions

h0117 Peter L. Rousseau
Share Liquidity and Industrial Growth in an Emerging Market: The Case of New England, 1854-1897

w6973 Owen Lamont
Investment Plans and Stock Returns

w6914 Robert E. Hall
Controlling the Price Level


1998
w6850 P.R. Agenor
J. Aizenman
A. Hoffmaister

Contagion, Bank Lending Spreads and Output Fluctuations

w6843 Ricardo J. Caballero
Arvind Krishnamurthy

Emerging Market Crises: An Asset Markets Perspective

w6790 Lars E.O. Svensson
Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule

w6771 John H. Cochrane
Long-term Debt and Optimal Policy in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

w6736 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Chris Telmer

Discrete-Time Models of Bond Pricing

w6717 Ricardo J. Caballero
Mohamad L. Hammour

Improper Churn: Social Costs and Macroeconomic Consequences

w6652 Simon Gilchrist
Charles Himmelberg

Investment, Fundamentals and Finance

w6646 John H. Cochrane
A Frictionless View of U.S. Inflation

w6599 Bennett T. McCallum
Edward Nelson

Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model

w6597 Laurence Ball
Another Look at Long-Run Money Demand

w6593 Orazio Attanasio
Luigi Guiso
Tuillo Jappelli

The Demand for Money, Financial Innovation, and the Welfare Cost of Inflation: An Analysis with Household Data

w6588 Raquel Fernandez
Education and Borrowing Constraints: Tests vs. Prices

w6471 Matthew B. Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad T. Diba

Is the Price Level Determined by the Needs of Fiscal Solvency?

w6455 Ben Bernanke
Mark Gertler
Simon Gilchrist

The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework

w6400 Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum
Charles L. Evans

Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and to What End?

w6396 Willem H. Buiter
The Young Person's Guide to Neutrality, Price Level Indeterminacy, Interest Rate Pegs, and Fiscal Theories of the Price Level

w6379 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Abon Mozumdar
Liuren Wu

Predictable Changes in Yields and Forward Rates

w6369 Rudiger Dornbusch
Carlo A. Favero
Francesco Giavazzi

The Immediate Challenges for the European Central Bank

w6356 Robert J. Shiller
Indexed Units of Account: Theory and Assessment of Historical Experience


1997
w6311 Alessandro Missale
Francesco Giavazzi
Pierpaolo Benigno

Managing the Public Debt in Fiscal Stabilizations: The Evidence

w5797 Lars E. O. Svensson
Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets

w6201 Michael D. Bordo
Anna J. Schwartz

Monetary Policy Regimes and Economic Performance: The Historical Record

w6094 Russell Cooper
Dean Corbae

Financial Fragility and the Great Depression

w6092 Menzie D. Chinn
Michael P. Dooley

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States: Does One Size Fit All?

w5080 Frederic S. Mishkin
John Simon

An Empirical Examination of the Fisher Effect in Australia

w5963 Charles W. Calomiris
David C. Wheelock

Was the Great Depression a Watershed for American Monetary Policy?

w5947 Sergio Rebelo
Danyang Xie

On the Optimality of Interest Rate Smoothing

w5944 Pierluigi Balduzzi
Giuseppe Bertola
Silverio Foresi
Leora Klapper

Interest Rate Targeting and the Dynamics of Short-Term Rates

w5930 Raquel Fernandez
Jordi Gali

To Each According To...? Markets, Tournaments, and the Matching Problem with Borrowing Constraints

w4860 Michael D. Bordo
Anna J. Schwartz

The Specie Standard as a Contingent Rule: Some Evidence for Core and Peripheral Countries, 1880-1990

w5877 Paul Soderlind
Lars E. O. Svensson

New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments

w5872 Jeremy Bulow
Paul Klemperer

The Generalized War of Attrition


1996
w5821 David G. Barr
John Y. Campbell

Inflation, Real Interest Rates, and the Bond Market: A Study of UK Nominal and Index-Linked Government Bond Prices

w5792 Wouter J. Den Haan
Understanding Equilibrium Models with a Small and a Large Number of Agents

w5789 Robert P. Flood
Nancy P. Marion

Speculative Attacks: Fundamentals and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies

w4546 Michael D. Bordo
Hugh Rockoff
Angela Redish

A Comparison of the United States and Canadian Banking Systems in the Twentieth Century: Stability vs. Efficiency?

w5752 Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev

Heterogeneous Information Arrivals and Return Volatility Dynamics: Uncovering the Long-Run in High Frequency Returns

w5638 David Backus
Silverio Foresi
Stanley Zin

Arbitrage Opportunities in Arbitrage-Free Models of Bond Pricing

w5637 Boyan Jovanovic
Masako Ueda

Contracts and Money

w5587 John Y. Campbell
Robert J. Shiller

A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt

w5532 Torsten Persson
Guido Tabellini

Monetary Cohabitation in Europe

w4692 Bennett T. McCallum
Monetary Policy Rules and Financial Stability

w5504 Casey B. Mulligan
Xavier Sala-i-Martin

Adoption of Financial Technologies: Implications for Money Demand and Monetary Policy

w5499 Owen Lamont
Cash Flow and Investment: Evidence from Internal Capital Markets


1995
w5371 Michael D. Bordo
Bruce Mizrach
Anna J. Schwartz

Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk: Some Lessons from History

w5358 Takatoshi Ito
Tokuo Iwaisako

Explaining Asset Bubbles in Japan

w5347 Michael P. Dooley
Menzie Chinn

Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration

w4977 R. Glenn Hubbard
Is There a `Credit Channel' for Monetary Policy?

w5269 V. V. Chari
Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum

Inside Money, Outside Money and Short Term Interest Rates

w5191 Maurice Obstfeld
Kenneth Rogoff

The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates

w5146 Ben S. Bernanke
Mark Gertler

Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission

w5130 Russell Cooper
Joao Ejarque

Financial Intermediation and The Great Depression: A Multiple Equilibrium Interpretation

w5087 Willem H. Buiter
Generational Accounts, Aggregate Saving and Intergenerational Distribution

w5083 Nobuhiro Kiyotaki
John Moore

Credit Cycles

w5031 John Y. Campbell
Some Lessons from the Yield Curve

w4326 Jeffrey A. Miron
Christina D. Romer
David N. Weil

Historical Perspectives on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism


1994
w4938 Bennett T. McCallum
Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

w4919 Fumio Hayashi
Akihiko Matsui

A Model of Fiat Money and Barter

w4888 James H. Stock
Martin Feldstein

Measuring Money Growth When Financial Markets Are Changing

w4873 Jose De Gregorio
Federico Sturzenegger

Credit Markets and the Welfare Costs of Inflation

w4850 Robert Flood
Michael Mussa

Issues Concerning Nominal Anchors for Monetary Policy

w4789 Ben Bernanke
Mark Gertler
Simon Gilchrist

The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality

w4676 David K. Backus
Stanley E. Zin

Reverse Engineering the Yield Curve

w3879 Benjamin M. Friedman
Kenneth N. Kuttner

Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?


1993
w4604 Lars E.O. Svensson
The Simplest Test of Inflation Target Credibility

w4544 Lars E.O. Svensson
Term, Inflation, and Foreign Exchange Risk Premia: A Unified Treatment

w4310 Michael Bordo
The Gold Standard, Bretton Woods and other Monetary Regimes: An Historical Appraisal

w4404 John H. Boyd
Mark Gertler

U.S. Commercial Banking: Trends, Cycles, and Policy

w4379 Michael D. Bordo
Lars Jonung
Pierre Siklos

The Common Development of Institutional Change as Measured by Income Velocity: A Century of Evidence from Industrialized Countries

w4362 Willem H. Buiter
Public Debt in the USA: How Much, How Bad and Who Pays?

w4236 Martin Feldstein
The Recent Failure of U.S. Monetary Policy

w4347 Pierluigi Balduzzi
Giuseppe Bertola
Silverio Foresi

A Model of Target Changes and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

w4285 Valerie A. Ramey
How Important is the Credit Channel in the Transmission of Monetary Policy?

w4275 Toru Konishi
Valerie A. Ramey

Stochastic Trends and Short-Run Relationships Between Financial Variables and Rela Activity

w4249 John Heaton
Deborah Lucas

Evaluating the Effects of Incomplete Markets on Risk Sharing and Asset Pricing


1992
w4234 Douglas Elmendorf
Mary Hirshfeld
David Weil

The Effect of News on Bond Prices: Evidence from the United Kingdom 1900-1920

w4232 Alberto Giovannini
Bart Turtelboom

Currency Substitution

w4156 Robert King
Mark W. Watson

Testing Long Run Neutrality

w4134 Karen K. Lewis
Martin D. Evans

Do Expected Shifts in Inflation Policy Affect Real Rates?

w4117 Joseph E. Stiglitz
Bruce Greenwald

Towards a Reformulation of Monetary Theory: Competitive Banking

t0124 Stephen G. Cecchetti
Pok-sang Lam
Nelson C. Mark

Testing Volatility Restrictions on Intertemporal Marginal Rates of Substitution Implied by Euler Equations and Asset Returns

w4001 Alberto Giovannini
Bretton Woods and Its Precursors: Rules Versus Discretion in the History of International Monetary Regimes

w3995 Robert B. Barsky
J. Bradford De Long

Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?

w3975 Philippe Weil
Equilibrium Asset Prices With Undiversifiable Labor Income Risk

w3974 Lawrence J. Christiano
Martin Eichenbaum

Liquidity Effects and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism


1991
w3921 Russell Cooper
Thomas W. Ross

Bank Runs: Liquidity and Incentives

w3902 Mark Gertler
R. Glenn Hubbard

Corporate Financial Policy, Taxation, and Macroeconomic Risk

t0110 Scott Freeman
Guido Tabellini

The Optimality of Nominal Contracts

w3756 Valerie A. Ramey
The Source of Fluctuations in Money: Evidence From Trade Credit

w3751 Jeffrey A. Frankel
Cara S. Lown

An Indicator of Future Inflation Extracted From the Steepness of the Interest Rate Yield Curve Along Its Entire Length


Generated Mon Nov 23 04:33:51 2009

 
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