Great Inflation and Central Bank Independence in Japan
Chapter in NBER book The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking (2013), Michael D. Bordo and Athanasios Orphanides, editors (p. 357 - 387)
This chapter analyzes Japan's experience during the Great Inflation in the 1970s, first reviewing the 120-year history of inflation in Japan. It then describes the economic events, political developments, and monetary policy actions that resulted in the Great Inflation of 1972 to 1974. The monetary policy during this period is considered to have been a mistake. The chapter discusses why the Bank of Japan gained monetarist rhetoric and de facto independence after the mistake of 1972 to 1973, and reviews the no-inflation experience during the second oil crisis, 1978 to 1980. It also presents some econometric analysis to substantiate the arguments in the preceding sections.
This paper was revised on January 6, 2015Great Inflation and Central Bank Independence in Japan, Takatoshi Ito
Commentary on this chapter: Comment, Frederic S. Mishkin
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