@inbook{NBERc7193, Crossref = "NBERstoc93-1", title = "Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?", author = "Benjamin M. Friedman and Kenneth Kuttner", BookTitle = "Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting", Publisher = "University of Chicago Press", pages = "213-254", year = "1993", month = "January", URL = "http://www.nber.org/chapters/c7193", } @book{NBERstoc93-1, title = "Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting", author = "James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Book", publisher = "University of Chicago Press", year = "1993", URL = "http://www.nber.org/books/stoc93-1", }