NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience

James H. Stock, Mark W. Watson

Chapter in NBER book Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting (1993), James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, editors (p. 95 - 156)
Conference held May 3-4, 1991
Published in January 1993 by University of Chicago Press
© 1993 by the National Bureau of Economic Research
in NBER Book Series Studies in Business Cycles

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This chapter first appeared as NBER working paper w4014, A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience, James H. Stock, Mark W. Watson
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