NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Effect of Pensions and Disability Benefits on Retirement in the UK

James Banks, Carl Emmerson, Gemma Tetlow


This chapter is a preliminary draft unless otherwise noted. It may not have been subjected to the formal review process of the NBER. This page will be updated as the chapter is revised.

Chapter in forthcoming NBER book Social Security Programs and Retirement Around the World: Disability Insurance Programs and Retirement, David A. Wise, editor
Conference held September 26-28, 2013
Forthcoming from University of Chicago Press
in NBER Book Series - International Social Security

This paper examines to what extent differences in employment rates across those in better and worse health in the UK can be explained by the availability of publicly-funded disability insurance and the financial incentives provided by other retirement income schemes. Using an option value approach, we find that individuals' labor force participation is affected by financial incentives. A one standard deviation change in the option value is estimated to reduce the likelihood of an individual leaving the labor market in the next year by between 2.7 and 3.1 percentage points, relative to an average exit probability of 9.4%. This suggests the variation in financial incentives across different individuals could explain a significant proportion of retirements. However, we find no evidence that individuals with different levels of health respond to our measure of financial incentives differently. We conclude that it would require a major change in disability insurance program stringency to generate an economically significant change in overall employment rates of older workers in the UK. The level of disability benefits they might receive is low relative to the amount they could earn and, therefore, large changes in rates of eligibility would not induce large changes in overall employment rates.

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This paper was revised on December 29, 2014

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This chapter first appeared as NBER working paper w19907, Effect of Pensions and Disability Benefits on Retirement in the UK, James Banks, Carl Emmerson, Gemma C. Tetlow
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