Is There a Case for a "Second Demographic Transition"? Three Distinctive Features of the Post-1960 U.S. Fertility Decline

Martha J. Bailey, Melanie Guldi, Brad J. Hershbein

Chapter in NBER book Human Capital in History: The American Record (2014), Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo, editors (p. 273 - 312)
Conference held December 7-8, 2012
Published in October 2014 by University of Chicago Press
© 2014 by the National Bureau of Economic Research

---- Acknowledgements ----

We thank George Alter, John Bound, John DiNardo, Richard Easterlin, Melissa Kearney, Lisa Neidert, Paul Rhode, and Elyce Rotella as well as the festschrift organizers, Leah Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Bob Margo, and participants for helpful comments and suggestions. The University of Michigan's Population Studies Center Eva Mueller Fund, the University of Michigan's Institute of Social Research's Graduate Student Research Assistant Tuition Support Grant, the University of Michigan Rackham Research Grant, and an NICHD Population Studies Center Trainee Grant (T32 HD0007339) provided financial assistance for this project. Anna Erickson, Sayeh Nikpay, and Johannes Norling provided outstanding research assistance.

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