The Misfortune of Non-financial Firms in a Financial Crisis: Disentangling Finance and Demand Shocks
Chapter in NBER book Measuring Wealth and Financial Intermediation and Their Links to the Real Economy (2015), Charles R. Hulten and Marshall B. Reinsdorf, editors
If a non-financial firm does not do well in a financial crisis, it could be due to either a contraction of demand for its output or a contraction of supply of external finance. We propose a framework to assess the relative importance of the two shocks, and apply it to the 2007-2008 crisis. We find robust evidence suggesting that both channels are at work, but that a finance shock is economically more important in understanding the plight of non-financial firms.
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This paper was revised on April 17, 2014
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