NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Hedge Fund Tail Risk

Tobias Adrian, Markus K. Brunnermeier, Hoai-Luu Q. Nguyen

Chapter in NBER book Quantifying Systemic Risk (2013), Joseph G. Haubrich and Andrew W. Lo, editors (p. 155 - 172)
Conference held November 6, 2009
Published in January 2013 by University of Chicago Press
© 2013 by the National Bureau of Economic Research

This chapter uses quantile regressions to examine the interdependencies between different hedge fund styles in times of crisis. It shows that tail sensitivities between different strategies are higher in times of distress, suggesting the potential for simultaneous losses across many hedge funds; identifies seven risk factors related to these tail dependencies; and shows that offloading this risk significantly reduces the sensitivities. However, consistent with existing literature, it is also shown that these factors explain a large part of hedge funds' expected returns. The chapter provides evidence suggesting that capital flows across strategies and over time reward those which load more heavily on the tail risk factors.

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This paper was revised on November 11, 2011

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Commentary on this chapter: Comment, Ben Craig
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