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1.
Front matter, Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting.
(p. -21 - 0)
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2.
Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview.
(p. 1 - 19)
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3.
Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective.
(p. 20 - 76)
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4.
Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U. S. Economic Fluctuations.
(p. 77 - 124)
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5.
Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements.
(p. 125 - 163)
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6.
Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau.
(p. 164 - 180)
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7.
How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction.
(p. 181 - 202)
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8.
Business Cycles and Growth.
(p. 203 - 231)
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9.
The Regularity of Business Cycles.
(p. 232 - 264)
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10.
Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy .
(p. 265 - 280)
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11.
Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses.
(p. 281 - 315)
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12.
Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators.
(p. 316 - 356)
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13.
Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes.
(p. 357 - 382)
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14.
On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions.
(p. 383 - 413)
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15.
An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts.
(p. 414 - 443)
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16.
The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts.
(p. 444 - 461)
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17.
Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts.
(p. 462 - 491)
(bibliographic info)
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18.
Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction.
(p. 492 - 518)
(bibliographic info)
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19.
The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting.
(p. 519 - 534)
(bibliographic info)
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20.
References.
(p. 535 - 576)
(bibliographic info)
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21.
Author Index.
(p. 577 - 584)
(bibliographic info)
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22.
Subject Index.
(p. 585 - 593)
(bibliographic info)
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