NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Summer Institute 2006

Master Program

 

 

 

MONDAY, JULY 10:

 

 

 

 

9:00 am

IFM

KOSUKE AOKI and GIANLUCA BENIGNO, London School of Economics

 

 

NOBUHIRO KIYOTAKI, London School of Economics and NBER

 

 

Adjusting to Capital Liberalization

 

 

 

 9:15 am

DAE

RICHARD STECKEL, Ohio State University and NBER

 

 

Ecological Conditions and Nutritional Success of Equestrian Nomads on the Great Plains

 

 

 

10:20 am

DAE

PETER MANCALL, University of Southern California

 

 

JOSH ROSENBLOOM and TOM WEISS, University of Kansas and NBER

 

 

Re-Examining the Role of Exports in the Economy of Colonial America: Evidence from the Middle Colonies and Lower South

 

 

 

10:40 am

IFM

ENRIQUE MENDOZA, University of Maryland and NBER

 

 

MARCELO OVIEDO, Iowa State University

 

 

Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Emerging Markets

 

 

 

11:25 am

DAE

FILIPPO OCCHINO, Rutgers University

 

 

KIM OOSTERLINCK, Université Libre de Bruxelles

 

 

EUGENE WHITE, Rutgers University and NBER

 

 

How Occupied France Financed its own Exploitation in World War II

 

 

 

 1:15 pm

DAE

LATIKA CHAUDHARY, UC, Los Angeles

 

 

Social Divisions and Public Goods Provision: Evidence from Colonial India

 

 

 

2:15 pm

ME

LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

 

 

MICHAEL KLEIN, Tufts University and NBER

 

 

Establishing Credibility:  Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank

 

 

 

2:20 pm

DAE

KEN SOKOLOFF, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

 

 

ERIC ZOLT, UC, Los Angeles

 

 

Inequality and the Evolution of Institutions of Taxation: Evidence from the Economic History of the Americas

 

 

 

3:10 pm

ME

MATTEO CICCARELLI and BENOÎT MOJON, European Central Bank

 

 

Global Inflation

 

 

 

3:25 pm

DAE

ART CARDEN, Washington University

 

 

Trial by Fury: Institutions and Southern Development

 

TUESDAY, JULY 11:

 

 

 

 

8:30 am

EFWW

ULRICH MUELLER, Princeton University

 

 

Correlation and Heterogeneity Robust Inference Based on T-Statistics

 

 

 

 9:00 am

DAE

ERIC HILT, Wellesley College and NBER

 

 

Corporate Ownership and Governance in the Early Nineteenth Century

 

 

 

9:00 am

IFM

DOIREANN FITZGERALD, UC, Santa Cruz

 

 

Trade Costs, Asset Market Frictions and Risk Sharing: A Joint Test

 

 

 

9:45 am

EFWW

MICHAEL McCRACKEN, University of Missouri

 

 

Combining Forecasts from Nested Models

 

 

 

10:05 am

DAE

RICHARD SYLLA and ROBERT WRIGHT, New York University and NBER

 

 

DAVID COWEN, New York University

 

 

The U.S. Panic of 1792: Financial Crisis Management and the Lender of Last Resort

 

 

 

10:40 am

IFM

FERNANDO BRONER and ALBERTO MARTIN, CREI

 

 

JAUME VENTURA, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and NBER

 

 

Sovereign Risk and Secondary Markets

 

 

 

11:00 am

EFWW

ALEXEI ONATSKI, Columbia University

 

 

Asymptotic Distribution of Principal Components Estimator of Large Spherical Factor Models

 

 

 

11:10 am

DAE

SEAN GAILMARD and JEFFERY JENKINS Northwestern University

 

 

Agency Problems and Electoral Institutions:  The 17th Amendment and Representation in the Senate

 

 

 

1:00 pm

DAE

CAROLA FRYDMAN, Harvard University

 

 

Rising Through the Ranks: The Evolution of the Market for Corporate Executives, 1936-2003

 

 

 

1:00 pm

ME

MARK GERTLER and JOHN LEAHY, New York University and NBER

 

 

A Phillips Curve with an Ss Foundation

 

 

 

1:55 pm

ME

CARLOS CARVALHO, Princeton University

 

 

Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

 

 

 

2:10 pm

DAE

JOE KABOSKI, Ohio State University

 

 

TREVON LOGAN, Ohio State University and NBER

 

 

The Returns to Education in the Early 20th Century: New Historical Evidence

 

 

 

3:05 pm

ME

THOMAS SARGENT, New York University and NBER

 

 

NOAH WILLIAMS, Princeton University and NBER

 

 

TAO ZHA, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

 

 

Hyperinflations:  Expectations, Escapes, and Regimes

 

 

 

 3:15 pm

DAE

RON ALQUIST, University of Michigan

 

 

BENJAMIN CHABOT, University of Michigan and NBER

 

 

The Tie That Bound? Did Adherence to the Gold Standard Really Lower the Cost of Capital?

 

 

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 12:

 

 

 

 

8:30 am

EFWW

MIN WEI, Federal Reserve Board

 

 

Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets, or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?

 

 

 

 9:00 am

DAE

SUNG WON KANG, Samsung Group

 

 

HUGH ROCKOFF. Rutgers University and NBER

 

 

After Johnny Came Marching Home: Veterans Benefits from the Revolution through the Korean War

 

 

 

9:00 a.m.

IFM

PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS, UC, Berkeley and NBER

 

 

OLIVIER JEANNE, International Monetary Fund

 

 

Capital Flows to Developing Countries: the Allocation Puzzle

 

 

 

9:45

EFWW

REFET GÜRKAYNAK, Bilkent University

 

 

JUSTIN WOLFERS, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk

 

 

 

10:05 am

DAE

MINDY MILLER, University of Michigan

 

 

Forty Acres and (no) Mule: Evaluating the Impact of Free Land on the Outcomes of Former Slaves

 

 

 

10:40 a.m.

IFM

JIANDONG JU, University of Oklahoma

 

 

SHANG-JIN WEI, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

A Solution to Two Paradoxes of International Capital Flows

 

 

 

11:00 am

EFWW

MASSIMILIANO MARCELLINO, Universita Bocconi

 

 

A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation

 

 

 

11:10 am

DAE

RADEK SZULGA, UC, Davis

 

 

A Dynamic Model of Female Labor Force Participation Rate and Human Capital Investment

 

 

 

 1:00 pm

DAE

TODD SORENSEN, University of Arizona

 

 

SAMUEL ALLEN, UC, Davis

 

 

PRICE FISHBACK, University of Arizona and NBER

 

 

SHAWN KANTOR, UC, Merced and NBER

 

 

Migration Creation, Diversion, and Retention:  The New Deal Grants and Migration, 1935-1940

 

 

 

1:00 pm

ME

JEAN BOIVIN and MARC GIANNONI, Columbia University and NBER

 

 

ILIAN MIHOV, INSEAD

 

 

Sticky Prices and Monetary Policy:  Evidence from Disaggregated U.S. Data

 

 

 

1:55 pm

ME

PETER KLENOW, Stanford University and NBER

 

 

JONATHAN WILLIS, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

 

 

Real Rigidities and Nominal Price Changes

 

 

 

2:10 pm

DAE

ZORINA KHAN, Bowdoin College and NBER

 

 

To Have and Have Not: Are Rich Litigious Plaintiffs Favored in Court Cases?

 

 

 

3:05 pm

ME

GITA GOPINATH, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

ROBERTO RIGOBON, MIT and NBER

 

 

Sticky Borders

 

 

 

 3:15 pm

DAE

PETER TEMIN, MIT and NBER

 

 

The Rate of Time Preference in the United States Government

 

 

 

THURSDAY, JULY 13:

 

 

 

 

8:30 am

EFWW

JOHN GEWEKE, University of Iowa

 

 

Smoothly Mixing Regressions

 

 

 

8:30 am

Risk

DARRELL DUFFIE, Stanford University and NBER

 

 

ANDREAS ECKNER, GUILLAUME HOREL and LEANDO SAITA,

 

 

Stanford University

 

 

Frailty Correlated Default

 

 

 

 9:00 am

DAE

THOMAS MROZ and KOLEMAN STRUMPF, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

 

 

PAUL RHODE, University of North Carolina and NBER

 

 

School Quality and Migration: Evidence from 1940

 

 

 

9:00 am

IFM

LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

 

 

JOSÉ CAMPA, IESE Business School

 

 

Distribution Margins, Imported Inputs and the Insensitivity of the CPI to Exchange Rates

 

 

 

9:45

Risk

GARY GORTON, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

PING HE, University of Illinois at Chicago

 

 

LIXIN HUANG, City University of Hong Kong

 

 

Asset Prices When Agents are Marked to Market

 

 

 

9:45 am

EFWW

GIORGIO PRIMICERI, Northwestern University and NBER

 

 

ALEJANDRO JUSTINIANO, Federal Reserve Board of Governors

 

 

The Time Varying Volatility of Macroeconomic Fluctuations

 

 

 

10:05 am

DAE

PETRA MOSER, MIT and NBER

 

 

War and Ethnic Discrimination: Evidence from Applications to the New York Stock Exchange, 1883-1973

 

 

 

10:40 a.m.

IFM

STIJN VAN NIEUWERBURGH, Stanford University and NBER

 

 

LAURA VELDKAMP, New York University

 

 

Information Immobility and the Home Bias Puzzle

 

 

 

11:00 am

EFWW

ANDREW PATTON, London School of Economics

 

 

Volatility Forecast Comparison Using Imperfect Volatility Proxies

 

 

 

11:00 am

Risk

FRANCIS LONGSTAFF, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

 

 

ARVIND RAJAN, Citigroup

 

 

An Empirical Analysis of the Pricing of Collateralized Debt Obligations

 

 

 

11:10 am

DAE

CHRISTOPHER MEISSNER, Cambridge University and NBER

 

 

DAVID JACKS, Simon Fraser University

 

 

America's Icebergs: Measuring International Integration for the USA, 1870-1913

 

 

 

1:00 pm

AP

DIRK KRUEGER, Goethe University Frankfurt and NBER

 

 

HANNO LUSTIG, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

 

 

The Irrelevance of Market Incompleteness for the Price of Aggregate Risk

 

 

 

1:00 pm

ME

RICARDO CABALLERO, MIT and NBER

 

 

TAKEO HOSHI, UC, San Diego and NBER

 

 

ANIL KASHYAP, University of Chicago and NBER

 

 

Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan

 

 

 

1:55 pm

ME

ROBERT BARSKY, University of Michigan and NBER

 

 

ERIC SIMS, University of Michigan

 

 

Information Shocks, Animal Spirits, and the Meaning of Innovations in Consumer Confidence

 

 

 

2:15 pm

AP

HONGJUN YAN, Yale University

 

 

Is Noise Trading Cancelled out by Aggregation

 

 

 

3:05

ME

MICHAEL ELSBY, University of Michigan

 

 

Evaluating the Economic Significance of Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity

 

 

 

3:30

AP

VICTOR-ANGEL DEMIGUEL, London Business School

 

 

LORENZO GARLAPPI, University of Texas at Austin

 

 

RAMAN UPPAL, London Business School

 

 

1/N

 

 

FRIDAY, JULY 14:

 

 

 

 

8:30 am

AP

ZHI DA and ERNST SCHAUMBURG, Northwestern University

 

 

Target Prices, Relative Valuations and the Compensation for Liquidity Provision

 

 

 

8:30 am

EFWW

JAMES NASON, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

 

 

JOHN ROGERS, Federal Reserve Board

 

 

Making Exchange Rates Sparkle: Restricting Its Present-Value Model with Common Trends and Common Cycles

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFJK

CHRISTIAN BRODA, University of Chicago and NBER

 

 

JOSHUA GREENFIELD, Columbia University

 

 

DAVID WEINSTEIN, Columbia University and NBER

 

 

From Groundnuts to Globalization:  A Structural Estimate of Trade and Growth

 

 

 

9:00 am

IFM

ADRIEN VERDELHAN, Boston University

 

 

A Habit-Based Explanation of the Exchange Rate Risk Premium

 

 

 

9:45 am

EFWW

JAN GROEN, Bank of England

 

 

Fundamentals Based Exchange Rate Prediction Revisited

 

 

 

9:45 am

AP

ERICA LI, University of Rochester

 

 

DMITRY LIVDAN, Texas A&M University

 

 

LU ZHANG, University of Rochester and NBER

 

 

Optimal Market Timing

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFJK

RAMON MARIMON, University of Pompeu Fabra

 

 

VINCENZO QUADRINI, University of Southern California and NBER

 

 

Competition, Innovation and Growth with Limited Commitment

 

 

 

10:40 a.m.

IFM

RODNEY RAMCHARAN, International Monetary Fund

 

 

Does Economic Diversification Lead to Financial Development? Evidence from Topography

 

 

 

11:00 am

EFWW

FILIPPO ALTISSIMO, European Central Bank

 

 

RICCARDO CRISTADORO, Banca d'Italia

 

 

MARIO FORNI, Universita de Modena e Reggio Emilia

 

 

MARCO LIPPI, Universita di Roma La Sapienza

 

 

GIOVANNI VERONESE, Banca d'Italia

 

 

New Eurocoin: Tracking Economic Growth in Real Time

 

 

 

11:00 am

AP

ANDREW DUBINSKY and MICHAEL JOHANNES, Columbia University

 

 

Anticipated Uncertainty, Earnings Announcements, and Equity Options

 

 

 

11:15 am

EFJK

MOSHE HAZAN, Hebrew University

 

 

Longevity and Lifetime Labor Input: Data and Implications

 

 

 

1:00 pm

AP

EVAN ANDERSON, Northern Illinois University

 

 

ERIC GHYSELS, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

 

 

JENNIFER JUERGENS, Arizona State University

 

 

The Impact of Risk and Uncertainty on Expected Returns

 

 

 

1:00 pm

ME

LUCA BENATI, Bank of England

 

 

UK Monetary Regimes and Macroeconomic Stylised Facts

 

 

 

1:15 pm

EFJK

DIEGO COMIN, New York University and NBER

 

 

BART HOBIJN, and EMILIE ROVITO, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

 

 

Five Facts You Need to Know About Technology Diffusion

 

 

 

1:55 pm

ME

GARY RICHARDSON and WILLIAM TROOST, UC, Irvine

 

 

Monetary Intervention Mitigated Banking Panics during the Great Depression:  Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Federal Reserve District Border in Mississippi, 1929 to 1933

 

 

 

2:15 pm

AP

LAURENT CALVET, HEC School of Management and NBER

 

 

JOHN CAMPBELL, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

PAOLO SODINI, Stockholm School of Economics

 

 

Down and Out: Assessing the Welfare Costs of Household Investment Mistakes

 

 

 

2:30 pm

EFJK

ANDRES EROSA, University of Toronto

 

 

TATYANA KORESHKOVA, Oberlin College

 

 

DIEGO RESTUCCIA, University of Toronto

 

 

On the Aggregate and Distributional Implications of Productivity Differences Across Countries

3:05 pm

ME

MICHELLE ALEXOPOULOS, University of Toronto

 

 

Read All About It!!  What Happens Following a Technology Shock?

 

 

 

3:30 pm

AP

MARIANO CROCE, New York University

 

 

MARTIN LETTAU and SYDNEY LUDVIGSON, New York University and NBER

 

 

Investor Information Long Run Risk and the Duration of Risky Cash-Flows

 

 

 

3:30 pm

EFJK

DARON ACEMOGLU and SIMON JOHNSON, MIT and NBER

 

 

Disease and Development: The Effect of Life Expectancy on Economic Growth

 

 

 

 

 

 

SATURDAY, JULY 15:

 

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFG

RICARDO CABALLERO, MIT and NBER

 

 

EMMANUEL FARHI, MIT

 

 

PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS, UC, Berkeley and NBER

 

 

An Equilibrium Model of Global Imbalances and Low Interest Rates

 

 

 

10:30 am

EFG

JONATHAN HEATHCOTE, Georgetown University

 

 

FABRIZIO PERRI, New York University and NBER

 

 

The International Diversification Puzzle is Not as Bad as You Think

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFG

RAJ CHETTY, UC, Berkeley and NBER

 

 

ADAM SZEIDL, UC, Berkeley

 

 

Consumption Commitments and Risk Preferences

 

 

 

1:30 pm

EFG

NICK BLOOM, Stanford University

 

 

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Firm Level Estimation and a 9/11 Simulation

 

 

 

3:00 pm

EFG

FATIH GUVENEN and BURHANETTIN KURUSCU, University of Texas at Austin

 

 

Understanding Wage Inequality: Ben-Porath Meets Skill-Biased Technical Change

 

 

 

4:00 pm

EFG

FRANCISCO BUERA, Northwestern University

 

 

JOSEPH KABOSKI, Ohio State University

 

 

The Rise of the Service Economy

MONDAY, JULY 17:

 

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFACR

JUAN CARLOS CONESA, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona

 

 

SAGIRI KITAO, New York University

 

 

DIRK KRUEGER, Goethe University Frankfurt and NBER

 

 

Taxing Capital?  Not a Bad Idea After All!

 

 

 

 9:00 am

EFCE

NIR JAIMOVICH, UC, San Diego

 

 

HENRY SIU, University of British Columbia

 

 

Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility

 

 

 

9:00 am

PRCR

BARRY BOSWORTH, Brookings Institution

 

 

JACK TRIPLETT, Brookings Institution

 

 

Services Productivity:  State of the Data and of the Analysis

 

 

 

10:15

EFACR

JUAN CARLOS CORDOBA, Rice University

 

 

GENEVIEVE VERDIER, Texas A&M University

 

 

Lucas vs. Lucas:  On Inequality and Growth

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFCE

NIR JAIMOVIC, UC, San Diego

 

 

SERGIO REBELO, Northwestern University and NBER

 

 

Do News Shocks Drive the Business Cycle?

 

 

 

10:15 am

PRCR

MICHAEL HORRIGAN, DEANNA BATHGATE and ROSLYN SWICK,

 

 

Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

 

BLS Services Producer Price Indices: Past, Present, and Future

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFACR

JEREMY LISE, Queen’s University

 

 

On-the-Job Search and Precautionary Savings: Theory and Empirics of Earnings and Wealth Inequality

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFCE

LAWRENCE CHRISTIANO, Northwestern University and NBER

 

 

ROBERTO MOTTO and MASSIMO ROSTAGNO, European Central Bank

 

 

Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles

 

 

 

11:30 am

PRCR

ANA AIZCORBE, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

NICOLE NESTORIAK, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

Measuring the Real Output of Medical Care Services

 

 

 

12:40 pm

EFRSW

MICHAEL PRIES, University of Maryland

 

 

Heterogeneity and the Amplification of Shocks

 

 

 

1:00 pm

EFEL

JOHN BOYD, University of Minnesota

 

 

GIANNI DE NICOLO, International Monetary Fund

 

 

ABU AL JALAL, University of Minnesota

 

 

Bank Risk Taking and Competition Revisied: New Theory and New Evidence

 

 

 

1:30 pm

EFABG

DARON ACEMOGLU, MIT and NBER

 

 

JAMES ROBINSON, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

Persistence of Power, Elites and Institutions

 

 

 

 1:30 pm

EFRSW

CHRISTIAN HAEFKE and MICHAEL REITER, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

 

 

Endogenous Labor Market Participation and the Business Cycle

 

 

 

1:30 pm

PRCR

SCOTT GOLDFARB and ROGER HELLER, Q/P Management Group

 

 

ALAN WHITE and JAISON ABEL, Analysis Group

 

 

Price Indexes for Custom and Own-Account Software

 

 

 

1:50 pm

EFEL

ARVIND KRISHNAMURTHY and ZHIGUO HE, Northwestern University

 

 

Intermediation, Capital Immobility, and Asset Prices

 

 

 

2:30 pm

PRCR

ROBERT YUSKAVAGE, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

Distributive Services in the U.S. National Accounts

 

 

 

 2:40 pm

EFRSW

GADI BARLEVY, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

 

 

H. NAGARAJA, Ohio State University

 

 

Identification of Search Models with Initial Condition Problems

 

 

 

2:45 pm

EFABG

JESS BENHABIB and ALBERTO BISIN, New York University

 

 

The Distribution of Wealth and Redistributive Policies

 

 

 

2:55 pm

EFEL

STAVROS PANAGEAS, University of Pennsylvania

 

 

Bailouts and the Incentive to Manage Risk

 

 

 

 3:30 pm

EFRSW

EVA NAGYPAL, Northwestern University

 

 

On the Nature of Job-to-Job Transitions

 

 

 

3:45 pm

EFEL

MOTOHIRO YOGO, University of Pennsylvania

 

 

BORJA LARRAIN, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

 

 

Does Firm Value Move Too Much to Be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Cash Flow?

 

 

 

4:00 pm

EFABG

DIEGO COMIN, New York University and NBER

 

 

BART HOBIJN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

 

 

Lobbies and Technology Diffusion

 

 

 

 4:40 pm

EFRSW

RASMUS LENTZ, Boston University

 

 

DALE MORTENSEN, Northwestern University

 

 

Optimal Growth through Product Innovation

 

 

 

TUESDAY, JULY 18:

 

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFABG

MATTHIAS DOEPKE, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

 

 

MOSHE HAZAN, Hebrew University

 

 

YISHAY MAOZ, University of Haifa

 

 

The Baby Boom and World War II: The Role of Labor Market Experience

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFACR

MARIACRISTINA DE NARDI and ERIC FRENCH,

 

 

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

 

 

JOHN BAILEY JONES, University at Albany

 

 

Differential Mortality, Uncertain Medical Expenses, and the Saving of Elderly Singles

 

 

 

 9:00 am

EFCE

ANDREW LEVIN, DAVID LOPEZ-SALIDO and TACK YUN,

 

 

Federal Reserve Board

 

 

Strategic Complementarities and Optimal Monetary Policy

 

 

 

9:00 am

PRCR

DENNIS FIXLER, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

MARSHALL REINSDORF, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

Computing Real Bank Services

 

 

 

9:45 am

PRCR

SUSANTO BASU, Boston College

 

 

ROBERT INKLAAR, University of Groningen and the Conference Board

 

 

CHRISTINA WANG, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

 

 

Implicit Prices of Implicit Financial Services

 

 

 

 

 

SUSANTO BASU, Boston College

 

 

CHRISTINA WANG, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

 

 

Microfoundations of the “User Cost of Money” and the Measurement of Financial Services Prices

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFABG

ODED GALOR, Brown University

 

 

OMER MOAV, Hebrew University

 

 

Natural Selection and the Evolution of Life Expectancy

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFACR

CHRISTIAN GOLLIER, University of Toulouse

 

 

Whom Should We Believe?  Collective Risk-Taking Decisions with Heterogeneous Beliefs

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFCE

MICHAEL WOODFORD, Columbia University and NBER

 

 

Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy Under Near-Rational Expectations

 

 

 

10:30 am

EFABG

RODOLFO MANUELLI and ANANTH SESHADRI, University of Wisconsin

 

 

Births, Deaths and Development: The Role of Human Capital

 

 

 

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFACR

VINCENZO QUADRINI, University of Southern California and NBER

 

 

JOSE-VICTOR RIOS-RULL, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

Capital Markets Liberalization, Savings and Global Imbalances

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFCE

STEPHANIE SCHMITT-GROHE and MARTIN URIBE.

 

 

Duke University and NBER

 

 

Optimal Inflation Stabilization in a Medium-Scale Macroeconomic Model

 

 

 

12:40 pm

EFRSW

ROBERT HALL, Stanford University and NBER

 

 

Work-Consumption Preferences and Employment Volatility

 

 

 

1:00 pm

EFEL

MICHAEL HALIASSOS, Goethe University Frankfurt

 

 

DIMITRIS CHRISTELIS, University of Salerno

 

 

DIMITRIS GEORGARAKOS, Goethe University Frankfurt

 

 

Portfolio Composition of the Elderly, an International Comparison

 

 

 

1:00 pm

PRCR

DAVID PATON, Nottingham University

 

 

DONALD SEIGEL, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

 

 

LEIGHTON WILLIAMS, Nottingham Trent University

 

 

Productivity Measurement in Gambling

 

 

 

1:30 pm

EFABG

FERNANDO BRONER, CREI

 

 

JAUME VENTURA, CREI and NBER

 

 

Globalization and Risk Sharing

 

 

 

 1:30 pm

EFRSW

ROBERT SHIMER, University of Chicago and NBER

 

 

Mismatch and Mobility

 

 

 

1:50 pm

EFEL

PAUL WILLEN, University of Chicago

 

 

FELIX KUBLER, Stanford University

 

 

Collateralized Borrowing and Life-Cycle Portfolio Choice

 

 

 

2:00 pm

PRCR

THEODORE CRONE, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

 

 

LEONARD NAKAMURA, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

 

 

RICHARD VOITH, Econsult Corporation 

 

 

Rents Have Been Rising, Not Falling, in the Postwar Period

 

 

 

 2:40 pm

EFRSW

PHILLIP KIRCHER, University of Bonn

 

 

Efficiency of Simultaneous Directed Search with Recall

 

 

 

2:55 pm

EFEL

ADRIANO RAMPINI and ANDREA EISFELDT, Northwestern University

 

 

Leasing, Ability to Repossess and Debt Capacity

 

 

 

2:45 pm

EFABG

PAOLO EPIFANI, Università Bocconi

 

 

GINO GANCIA, Universitat Pompeu Fabra

 

 

On Globalization and the Growth of Governments

 

 

 

3:15 pm

PRCR

W. ERWIN DIEWERT, University of British Columbia and NBER

 

 

On Measuring Inventory Change in Current and Constant Dollars

 

 

 

 3:30 pm

EFRSW

BOYAN JOVANOVIC, New York University and NBER

 

 

BALAZS SZENTES,  University of Chicago

 

 

An Estimated Model of the Market for Venture Capital

 

 

 

3:45 pm

EFEL

VIRAL ACHARYA, London Business School

 

 

HEITOR ALMEIDA, New York University and NBER

 

 

MURILLO CAMPELLO, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and NBER

 

 

Is Cash Negative Debt? A Hedging Perspective on Corporate Financial Policies

 

 

 

4:00 pm

EFABG

XAVIER GABAIX, MIT and NBER

 

 

AUGUSTIN LANDIER, New York University

 

 

Why Has CEO Pay Increased So Much?

 

 

 

 4:40 pm

EFRSW

ALEKSANDER BERENTSEN, Universität Basel

 

 

GUIDO MENZIO, Northwestern University

 

 

RANDALL WRIGHT, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

Inflation and Unemployment:  Lagos-Wright meets Mortensen-Pissarides

 

 

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 19:

 

 

 

 

8:45 am

PRCR

ROBERT INKLAAR, MARCEL TIMMER and BART VAN ARK,

 

 

University of Groningen

 

 

Mind the Gap!  International Comparisons of Productivity in Services and Goods Production

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFABG

MICHELE BOLDRIN, University of Minnesota

 

 

JESÚS FERNÁNDEZ-VILLAVERDE, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

A Theory of Growth Cycles

 

 

 

9:00 am

EFACR

YANN ALGAN, PSE

 

 

XAVIER RAGOT, PSE

 

 

Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents and Credit Constraints

 

 

 

 9:00 am

EFCE

RANDALL WRIGHT, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

RAFAEL SILVEIRA, University of Pennsylvania

 

 

Liquidity and the Market for Ideas

 

 

 

10:00 am

PRCR

CAROL CORRADO, Federal Reserve Board

 

 

PAUL LENGERMANN, Federal Reserve Board

 

 

ERIC BARTELSMAN, Free University of Amsterdam

 

 

J. JOSEPH BEAULIEU, Brevan Howard, Inc.

 

 

Modeling Aggregate Productivity at a Disaggregate Level: New Results for U.S. Sectors and Industries

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFABG

MIKLOS KOREN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

 

 

SILVANA TENREYRO, London School of Economics

 

 

Technological Diversification

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFACR

MANUELA ANGELUCCI, University of Arizona

 

 

GIACOMO DE GIORGI, University College London

 

 

Indirect Effects of an Aid Program:  The Case of Progresa and Consumption

 

 

 

10:15 am

EFCE

VALERIE RAMEY, UC, San Diego and NBER

 

 

Identification of Fiscal Spending Shocks

 

 

 

11:15 am

PRCR

CHARLES HULTEN, University of Maryland and NBER

 

 

ANDERS ISAKSSON, UNIDO

 

 

Why Income Levels Differ: The Sources of Differential Economic Growth in a Panel of High and Low Income Countries

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFABG

FRANCESCO CASELLI, London School of Economics and NBER

 

 

JAMES FEYRER, Dartmouth College

 

 

The Marginal Product of Capital

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFACR

NEZIH GUNER, REMZI KAYGUSUZ and GUSTAVO VENTURA,

 

 

Pennsylvania State University

 

 

Taxation, Aggregates and the Household

 

 

 

11:30 am

EFCE

BOYAN JOVANOVIC, New York University and NBER

 

 

Investment Options and the Business Cycle

 

 

 

12:40 pm

EFRSW

STEVE DAVIS, University of Chicago and NBER

 

 

JOHN HALTIWANGER, University of Maryland and NBER

 

 

RON JARMIN, and JAVIER MIRANDA, Bureau of the Census

 

 

Volatility and Dispersion in Business Growth Rates: Publicly Traded vs Privately Held Firms

 

 

 

1:00 pm

EFEL

GUIDO LORENZONI, MIT and NBER

 

 

KARL WALENTIN, New York University

 

 

Financial Frictions, Investment, and Tobin's Q

 

 

 

1:15 pm

PRCR

BAOLINE CHEN, Bureau of Economic Analysis

 

 

Estimation of Structural Distribution of Statistical Discrepancy in the US National Accounts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1:30 pm

EFABG

DANIEL CHEN, University of Chicago

 

 

JO LIND, University of Oslo

 

 

The Political Economy of Beliefs: Why Fiscal and Social Conservatives and Liberals Come Hand-in-Hand

 

 

 

 1:30 pm

EFRSW

RAQUEL FERNANDEZ, New York University and NBER

 

 

ALESSANDRA FOGLI, New York University

 

 

The Evolution of Preferences and Women’s Work: A Quantitative Evaluation of the Role of Culture

 

 

 

1:50 pm

EFEL

THOMAS PHILIPPON, New York University and NBER

 

 

The Y-Theory of Investment

 

 

 

2:30 pm

PRCR

CINDY ZOGHI, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

 

Changes to the BLS Labor Composition Index

 

 

 

 2:40 pm

EFRSW

CHRISTOPHER HOUSE, University of Michigan and NBER

 

 

JOHN LAITNER and DMITRIY STOLYAROV, University of Michigan

 

 

Valuing Lost Home Production of Dual Career Couples

 

 

 

2:45 pm

EFABG

BENJAMIN OLKEN, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

Do Television and Radio Destroy Social Capital? Evidence from Indonesian Villages