Department of Economics
Social Sciences Building
807 Union Street
Schenectady, NY 12308
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|November 2006||The Effect of Subjective Survival Probabilities on Retirement and Wealth in the United States|
with David E. Bloom, David Canning, Michael Moore: w12688
We explore the proposition that expected longevity affects retirement decisions and accumulated wealth using micro data drawn from the Health and Retirement Study for the United States. We use data on a person's subjective probability of survival to age 75 as a proxy for their prospective lifespan. In order to control for the presence of measurement error and focal points in responses, as well as reverse causality, we instrument subjective survival probabilities using information on current age, or age at death, of the respondent's parents. Our estimates indicate that increased subjective probabilities of survival result in increased household wealth among couples, with no effect on the length of the working life. These findings are consistent with the view that retirement decisions are dr...
Published: Clark, Robert, Naohiro Ogawa, and Andrew Mason (eds.) "Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy." Cheltenham, U.K. and Northampton, MA: Elgar, 2007.
|December 2002||Welfare Reform and Changes in the Economic Well-Being of Children|
with Neil G. Bennett, Hsien-Hen Lu: w9399
Since the implementation of the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program in late-1996, welfare rolls have declined by more than half. This paper explores whether improvements in the economic well-being of children have accompanied this dramatic reduction in welfare participation. Further, we examine the degree to which the success or failure of welfare reform has been shared equally among families of varying educational background. We analyze data from the March Current Population Surveys over the years 1988 through 2001. Specifically, we link data for families with children who are interviewed in adjacent years and determine whether their economic circumstances either improved or deteriorated. We use two alternative approaches to address this general issue: a variety of regression ...
Published: Bennett, Neil G., Hsien-Hen Lu, and Younghwan Song. "Welfare Reform and Changes in the Economic Well-Being of Children." Population Research and Policy Review 23, 5-6 (Special Issue October-December 2004): 671-99.