NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Tamon Asonuma

International Monetary Fund
700 19th Street N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20431

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NBER Working Papers and Publications

September 2017Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity
with Dirk Niepelt, Romain Rancière: w23864
Rejecting a common assumption in the sovereign debt literature, we document that creditor losses ("haircuts") during sovereign restructuring episodes are asymmetric across debt instruments. We code a comprehensive dataset on instrument-specific haircuts for 28 debt restructurings with private creditors in 1999-2015 and find that haircuts on shorter-term debt are larger than those on debt of longer maturity. In a standard asset pricing model, we show that increasing short-run default risk in the run-up to a restructuring episode can explain the stylized fact. The data confirms the predicted relation between perceived default risk, bond prices, and haircuts by maturity.

Published: Tamon Asonuma & Dirk Niepelt & Romain Ranciere, 2017. "Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity," IMF Working Papers, vol 17(119).

 
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