1900 Market St, Suite 120
Philadelphia, PA 19103
Institutional Affiliation: Picwell Inc.
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|April 2020||Managing Intelligence: Skilled Experts and AI in Markets for Complex Products|
with Jonathan Gruber, Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan T. Kolstad: w27038
In numerous high stakes markets skilled experts play a key role in facilitating consumer choice of complex products. New artificial intelligence (AI) technologies are increasingly being used to augment expert decisions. We study the role of technology and expertise in the market for health insurance, where consumer choices are widely known to be sub-optimal. Our analysis leverages the large-scale implementation of an AI-based decision support tool in a private Medicare exchange where consumers are randomized to skilled agents over time. We find that, prior to AI-based technology, skilled experts in this market exhibit the same type of inconsistent behavior found in previous studies of individual choices, costing consumers $1260 on average. The addition of AI-based decision support improv...