NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Peter Englund

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NBER Working Papers and Publications

May 2005Adjustment in Property Space Markets: Estimates from the Stockholm Office Market
with Ake Gunnelin, Patric H. Hendershott, Bo Soderberg: w11345
Markets for property space adjust only gradually because tenants are constrained by long-term leases and landlords and tenants face transactions and information costs. Not only do rents adjust slowly, but space occupancy may differ from demand at current rent, giving rise to "hidden vacancies". We estimate the joint dynamics of office rents and vacancies using an error-correction model using a new lease rent series for Stockholm offices 1977--2002 estimated on 2,500 leases. It takes 5-10 years for the market to adjust to a shock. In a model simulation of a positive employment shock open vacancies fall from the natural level of 7 percent to below 4 percent, while hidden vacancies increase by about as much. Most of the variation in hidden vacancies over time is explained by the differen...

Published: Peter Englund & Åke Gunnelin & Patric H. Hendershott & Bo Söderberg, 2008. "Adjustment in Property Space Markets: Taking Long-Term Leases and Transaction Costs Seriously," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 81-109, 03.

January 1998Another Look at the Capitalization of Interest Subsidies: Evidence from Sweden
with Tommy Berger, Patric H. Hendershott, Bengt Turner: w6365
We analyze by far the most extensive data base yet employed in estimating capitalization" of below-market interest rates into asset prices: nearly 300,000 sales of owner-occupied homes in" Sweden from 1981 to 1993 with 40,000 including government subsidized interest rates. Our" estimates indicates very clearly that interest subsidies are capitalized into house prices. The" below-market financing parameter is consistently significantly negative in all model" specifications, irrespective of assumptions about the degree of foresight structure and interest rate measure for all ten regions that we have studied. In our favored model" specification the estimated capitalization coefficients center on minus unity capitalization.

Published: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (May 2000).

 
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