Jaap H. Abbring
CentER, Department of Econometrics & OR
P.O. Box 90153
5000 LE Tilburg, The Netherlands
Information about this author at RePEc
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|January 2009||Last-In First-Out Oligopoly Dynamics|
with Jeffrey R. Campbell: w14674
This paper extends the static analysis of oligopoly structure into an infinite-horizon setting with sunk costs and demand uncertainty. The observation that exit rates decline with firm age motivates the assumption of last-in first-out dynamics: An entrant expects to produce no longer than any incumbent. This selects an essentially unique Markov-perfect equilibrium. With mild restrictions on the demand shocks, sequences of thresholds describe firms' equilibrium entry and survival decisions. Bresnahan and Reiss's (1993) empirical analysis of oligopolists' entry and exit assumes that such thresholds govern the evolution of the number of competitors. Our analysis provides an infinite-horizon game-theoretic foundation for that structure.
Published: Jaap H. Abbring & Jeffrey R. Campbell, 2010.
"Last-In First-Out Oligopoly Dynamics,"
Econometric Society, vol. 78(5), pages 1491-1527, 09.
citation courtesy of
|May 2003||A Structural Empirical Model of Firm Growth, Learning, and Survival|
with Jeffrey R. Campbell: w9712
We present a structural model of firm growth, learning, and survival and consider its identification and estimation. In the model, entrepreneurs have private and possibly error-ridden observations of persistent and transitory shocks to profit. We demonstrate that the model's parameters can be recovered from public observations of sales and survival, and we estimate them using monthly data from new bars in Texas. We find that entrepreneurs observe profit's persistent component without error. In this sense, their information is substantially superior to the public's.