NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Hayri Onal

Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics
University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign
326 Mumford Hall
1301 Gregory Dr
Urbana, IL 61801

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NBER Working Papers and Publications

January 2011Meeting the Mandate for Biofuels: Implications for Land Use, Food and Fuel Prices
with Xiaoguang Chen, Haixiao Huang, Madhu Khanna: w16697
Biofuel production is being promoted through various policies such as mandates and tax credits. This paper uses a dynamic, spatial, multi-market equilibrium model, Biofuel and Environmental Policy Analysis Model (BEPAM), to estimate the effects of these policies on cropland allocation, food and fuel prices, and the mix of biofuels from corn and cellulosic feedstocks over the 2007-2022 period. We find that the biofuel mandate will increase corn price by 24%, reduce the price of gasoline by 8% in 2022, and increase social welfare by $122 B (0.7%) relative to Business As Usual scenario. The provision of volumetric tax credits that accompany the mandate significantly changes the mix of biofuels produced in favor of cellulosic biofuels and reduces the share of corn ethanol in the cumulative vol...

Published: Meeting the Mandate for Biofuels: Implications for Land Use, Food, and Fuel Prices, Xiaoguang Chen, Haixiao Huang, Madhu Khanna, Hayri ├ľnal. in The Intended and Unintended Effects of U.S. Agricultural and Biotechnology Policies, Graff Zivin and Perloff. 2012

Meeting the Mandate for Biofuels: Implications for Land Use, Food, and Fuel Prices
with Xiaoguang Chen, Haixiao Huang, Madhu Khanna
in The Intended and Unintended Effects of U.S. Agricultural and Biotechnology Policies, Joshua S. Graff Zivin and Jeffrey M. Perloff, editors
 
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