Emin Dinlersoz

Center for Economic Studies
U.S. Census Bureau
4600 Silver Hill Road
Washington, DC 20233

E-Mail: EmailAddress: hidden: you can email any NBER-related person as first underscore last at nber dot org

NBER Working Papers and Publications

March 2018Early-Stage Business Formation: An Analysis of Applications for Employer Identification Numbers
with Kimberly Bayard, Timothy Dunne, John Haltiwanger, Javier Miranda, John Stevens: w24364
This paper reports on the development and analysis of a newly constructed dataset on the early stages of business formation. The data are based on applications for Employer Identification Numbers (EINs) submitted in the United States, known as IRS Form SS-4 filings. The goal of the research is to develop high-frequency indicators of business formation at the national, state, and local levels. The analysis indicates that EIN applications provide forward-looking and very timely information on business formation. The signal of business formation provided by counts of applications is improved by using the characteristics of the applications to model the likelihood that applicants become employer businesses. The results also suggest that EIN applications are related to economic activity at the ...
March 2017An Anatomy of Trademarking by Firms in the United States
with Nathan Goldschlag, Amanda Myers, Nikolas Zolas
in Measuring and Accounting for Innovation in the 21st Century, Carol Corrado, Javier Miranda, Jonathan Haskel, and Daniel Sichel, organizers
May 2014Who do Unions Target? Unionization over the Life-Cycle of U.S. Businesses
with Jeremy Greenwood, Henry Hyatt: w20151
What type of businesses do unions target for organizing? A dynamic model of the union organizing process is constructed to answer this question. A union monitors establishments in an industry to learn about their productivity, and decides which ones to organize and when. An establishment becomes unionized if the union targets it for organizing and wins the union certification election. The model predicts two main selection effects: unions organizing occurs in larger and more productive establishments early in their life-cycles, and among the establishments targeted for organizing, unions are more likely to win elections in smaller and less productive ones. These predictions find support in union certification election data for 1977-2007 matched with data on establishment characteristics.

Published: What Businesses Attract Unions? Unionization over the Life Cycle of U.S. Establishments Emin Dinlersoz, Jeremy Greenwood, Henry Hyatt ILR Review Vol 70, Issue 3, pp. 733 - 766 First Published July 1, 2016

May 2012The Rise and Fall of Unions in the U.S.
with Jeremy Greenwood: w18079
Union membership displayed a ∩-shaped pattern over the 20th century, while the distribution of income sketched a ∪. A model of unions is developed to analyze these phenomena. There is a distribution of firms in the economy. Firms hire capital, plus skilled and unskilled labor. Unionization is a costly process. A union decides how many firms to organize and its members' wage rate. Simulation of the developed model establishes that skilled-biased technological change, which affects the productivity of skilled labor relative to unskilled labor, can potentially explain the above facts. Statistical analysis suggests that skill-biased technological change is an important factor in de-unionization.
NBER Videos

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email:

Contact Us