Department of Economics
University of California, Davis
1112 Social Sciences and Humanities
Davis, CA 95616
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|August 2014||Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s|
with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson: w20395
Even before the Great Recession, U.S. employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable gains in employment rates it had achieved during the 1990s, with major contractions in manufacturing employment being a prime contributor to the slump. The U.S. employment "sag" of the 2000s is widely recognized but poorly understood. In this paper, we explore the contribution of the swift rise of import competition from China to sluggish U.S. employment growth. We find that the increase in U.S. imports from China, which accelerated after 2000, was a major force behind recent reductions in U.S. manufacturing employment and that, through input-output linkages and other general equilibrium effects, it appears to have significantly suppressed overall U.S. job...
Published: Daron Acemoglu & David Autor & David Dorn & Gordon H. Hanson & Brendan Price, 2016. "Import Competition and the Great US Employment Sag of the 2000s," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34(S1), pages S141 - S198. citation courtesy of
|January 2014||Return of the Solow Paradox? IT, Productivity, and Employment in U.S. Manufacturing|
with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson: w19837
An increasingly influential "technological-discontinuity" paradigm suggests that IT-induced technological changes are rapidly raising productivity while making workers redundant. This paper explores the evidence for this view among the IT-using U.S. manufacturing industries. There is some limited support for more rapid productivity growth in IT-intensive industries depending on the exact measures, though not since the late 1990s. Most challenging to this paradigm, and our expectations, is that output contracts in IT-intensive industries relative to the rest of manufacturing. Productivity increases, when detectable, result from the even faster declines in employment.
Published: Daron Acemoglu & David Autor & David Dorn & Gordon H. Hanson & Brendan Price, 2014. "Return of the Solow Paradox? IT, Productivity, and Employment in US Manufacturing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 394-99, May. citation courtesy of
|May 2013||Import Competition and the Great US Employment Sag of the 2000s|
with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson
in Labor Markets in the Aftermath of the Great Recession, David Card and Alexandre Mas, organizers