Peter Gottschalk

Department of Economics
Boston College
140 Commonwealth Avenue
Chestnut Hill, MA 02467-3806

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NBER Working Papers and Publications

February 2011Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1970-2004
with Robert A. Moffitt: w16833
We estimate the trend in the transitory variance of male earnings in the U.S. using the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1970 to 2004. Using both an error components model as well as simpler but only approximate methods, we find that the transitory variance started to increase in the early 1970s, continued to increase through the mid-1980s, and then remained at this new higher level through the 1990s and beyond. Thus the increase mostly occurred about thirty years ago. Its increase accounts for between 31 and 49 percent of the total rise in cross-sectional variance, depending on the time period.

Published: T re nds in th e T ra nsi tor y Var ia nce of Ma le Ear nin gs in t he U.S ., 19 70- 2004 . J our nal of Hum an Re sou rc es, Wi nte r, 2 012.

June 2010Some Evidence on the Importance of Sticky Wages
with Alessandro Barattieri, Susanto Basu: w16130
Nominal wage stickiness is an important component of recent medium-scale structural macroeconomic models, but to date there has been little microeconomic evidence supporting the assumption of sluggish nominal wage adjustment. We present evidence on the frequency of nominal wage adjustment using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) for the period 1996-1999. The SIPP provides high-frequency information on wages, employment and demographic characteristics for a large and representative sample of the US population. The main results of the analysis are as follows. 1) After correcting for measurement error, wages appear to be very sticky. In the average quarter, the probability that an individual will experience a nominal wage change is between 5 and 18 percent, dep...

Published: Alessandro Barattieri & Susanto Basu & Peter Gottschalk, 2014. "Some Evidence on the Importance of Sticky Wages," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 70-101, January. citation courtesy of

February 1998An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics
with John Fitzgerald, Robert Moffitt: t0220
By 1989 the Michigan Panel Study on Income Dynamics (PSID) had experienced approximately 50 percent sample loss from cumulative attrition from its initial 1968 membership. We study the effect of this attrition on the unconditional distributions of several socioeconomic variables and on the estimates of several sets of regression coefficients. We provide a statistical framework for conducting tests for attrition bias that draws a sharp distinction between selection on unobservables and on observables and that shows that weighted least squares can generate consistent parameter estimates when selection is based on observables, even when they are endogenous. Our empirical analysis shows that attrition is highly selective and is concentrated among lower socioeconomic status individuals. We ...

Published: Fitzgerald, John, Peter Gottschalk and Robert Moffitt. "The Impact Of Attrition In The Panel Study Of Income Dynamics On Intergenerational Analysis," Journal of Human Resources, 1998, v33(2,Spring), 300-344.

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