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NBER Papers on Political Economy Program

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2020
w27189 Nicola Gennaioli
Rafael La Porta
Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes
Andrei Shleifer

Trust and Insurance Contracts
w27164 David Altig
Alan J. Auerbach
Laurence J. Kotlikoff
Elias Ilin
Victor Ye

Marginal Net Taxation of Americans' Labor Supply
w27161 James J. Feigenbaum
Soumyajit Mazumder
Cory B. Smith

When Coercive Economies Fail: The Political Economy of the US South After the Boll Weevil
w27153 William Easterly
Steven Pennings

Leader Value Added: Assessing the Growth Contribution of Individual National Leaders
w27141 Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Michael Weber

The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
w27107 Zhangkai Huang
Gordon M. Phillips
Jialun Yang
Yi Zhang

Education and Innovation: The Long Shadow of the Cultural Revolution
w27082 Thiemo R. Fetzer
Marc Witte
Lukas Hensel
Jon Jachimowicz
Johannes Haushofer
Andriy Ivchenko
Stefano Caria
Elena Reutskaja
Christopher P. Roth
Stefano Fiorin
Margarita Gómez
Gordon Kraft-Todd
Friedrich M. Götz
Erez Yoeli

Global Behaviors and Perceptions at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic
w27075 Konrad B. Burchardi
Thomas Chaney
Tarek Alexander Hassan
Lisa Tarquinio
Stephen J. Terry

Immigration, Innovation, and Growth
w27073 Samuel Bazzi
Masyhur Hilmy
Benjamin Marx

Islam and the State: Religious Education in the Age of Mass Schooling
w26845 Joseph S. Shapiro
The Environmental Bias of Trade Policy
w27062 Christian A. Moser
Pierre Yared

Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment
w27053 Alberto F. Alesina
Marlon Seror
David Y. Yang
Yang You
Weihong Zeng

Persistence through Revolutions
w27039 Alexander Chudik
M. Hashem Pesaran
Alessandro Rebucci

Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
w27034 Lydia Cox
Gernot Müller
Ernesto Pastén
Raphael Schoenle
Michael Weber

Big G
w27032 Jian Chu
Raymond Fisman
Songtao Tan
Yongxiang Wang

Hometown Ties and the Quality of Government Monitoring: Evidence from Rotation of Chinese Auditors
w27026 J. Carter Braxton
Kyle F. Herkenhoff
Gordon M. Phillips

Can the Unemployed Borrow? Implications for Public Insurance
w27008 John M. Barrios
Yael Hochberg

Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic
w26990 Theresa Kuchler
Dominic Russel
Johannes Stroebel

The Geographic Spread of COVID-19 Correlates with Structure of Social Networks as Measured by Facebook
w26987 Sydney C. Ludvigson
Sai Ma
Serena Ng

Covid19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters
w26975 William Belmont
Bruce Sacerdote
Ranjan Sehgal
Ian Van Hoek

Relief Rally: Senators As Feckless As the Rest of Us at Stock Picking
w26960 Michael Bailey
Abhinav Gupta
Sebastian Hillenbrand
Theresa Kuchler
Robert J. Richmond
Johannes Stroebel

International Trade and Social Connectedness
w26946 Hunt Allcott
Levi Boxell
Jacob C. Conway
Matthew Gentzkow
Michael Thaler
David Y. Yang

Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during the Coronavirus Pandemic
w26930 Kate Baldwin
Dean Karlan
Christopher R. Udry
Ernest Appiah

How Political Insiders Lose Out When International Aid Underperforms: Evidence from a Participatory Development Experiment in Ghana
w26928 Erika Deserranno
Aisha Nansamba
Nancy Qian

Aid Crowd-Out: The Effect of NGOs on Government-Provided Public Services
w26921 Philippe Aghion
Roland Bénabou
Ralf Martin
Alexandra Roulet

Environmental Preferences and Technological Choices: Is Market Competition Clean or Dirty?
w26913 Louis Kaplow
Scott Duke Kominers

On the Representativeness of Voter Turnout
w26897 Filipe R. Campante
Emilio Depetris-Chauvin
Ruben Durante

The Virus of Fear: The Political Impact of Ebola in the U.S.
w26856 Charles W. Calomiris
Harry Mamaysky
Ruoke Yang

Measuring the Cost of Regulation: A Text-Based Approach
w26848 Leopoldo Fergusson
Carlos A. Molina
James A. Robinson

The Weak State Trap
w26840 John F. Helliwell
Haifang Huang
Shun Wang

Happiness and the Quality of Government
w26825 Francesco Giavazzi
Felix Iglhaut
Giacomo Lemoli
Gaia Rubera

Terrorist Attacks, Cultural Incidents and the Vote for Radical Parties: Analyzing Text from Twitter
w26818 Christine Laudenbach
Ulrike Malmendier
Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi

The Long-lasting Effects of Living under Communism on Attitudes towards Financial Markets
w26775 Michael Kremer
Jonathan D. Levin
Christopher M. Snyder

Advance Market Commitments: Insights from Theory and Experience
w26757 Marco Battaglini
Rebecca B. Morton
Eleonora Patacchini

Social Groups and the Effectiveness of Protests
w26754 Davide Cantoni
Noam Yuchtman

Historical Natural Experiments: Bridging Economics and Economic History
w26744 Karthik Muralidharan
Paul Niehaus
Sandip Sukhtankar

Identity Verification Standards in Welfare Programs: Experimental Evidence from India
w26733 Oriana Bandiera
Michael Carlos Best
Adnan Qadir Khan
Andrea Prat

The Allocation of Authority in Organizations: A Field Experiment with Bureaucrats
w26730 Pushkar Maitra
Sandip Mitra
Dilip Mookherjee
Sujata Visaria

Decentralized Targeting of Agricultural Credit Programs: Private versus Political Intermediaries
w26720 Alberto F. Alesina
Davide Furceri
Jonathan D. Ostry
Chris Papageorgiou
Dennis P. Quinn

Structural Reforms and Elections: Evidence from a World-Wide New Dataset
w26715 Janet Currie
Henrik Kleven
Esmée Zwiers

Technology and Big Data Are Changing Economics: Mining Text to Track Methods
w26709 Elizabeth U. Cascio
Na’ama Shenhav

A Century of the American Woman Voter: Sex Gaps in Political Participation, Preferences, and Partisanship Since Women's Enfranchisement
w26697 Hung-Hao Chang
Chad Meyerhoefer

Do Elections Make You Sick?
w26677 Paola Giuliano
Paola Sapienza

The cost of being too patient
w26675 Alberto F. Alesina
Armando Miano
Stefanie Stantcheva

The Polarization of Reality
w26674 Gordon B. Dahl
Cristina Felfe
Paul Frijters
Helmut Rainer

Caught between Cultures: Unintended Consequences of Improving Opportunity for Immigrant Girls
w26669 Levi Boxell
Matthew Gentzkow
Jesse M. Shapiro

Cross-Country Trends in Affective Polarization
w26667 Harold L. Cole
Dirk Krueger
George J. Mailath
Yena Park

Coalition-Proof Risk Sharing Under Frictions
w26664 Benjamin Enke
Frederik Schwerter
Florian Zimmermann

Associative Memory and Belief Formation
w26652 Ying Bai
Ruixue Jia

The Economic Consequences of Political Hierarchy: Evidence from Regime Changes in China, AD1000-2000
w26648 Leland Bybee
Bryan T. Kelly
Asaf Manela
Dacheng Xiu

The Structure of Economic News
w26620 Alberto F. Alesina
Stefanie Stantcheva

Diversity, Immigration, and Redistribution
w26616 Maria Petrova
Ricardo Perez-Truglia
Andrei Simonov
Pinar Yildirim

Are Political and Charitable Giving Substitutes? Evidence from the United States
w26603 Cailin R. Slattery
Owen M. Zidar

Evaluating State and Local Business Tax Incentives
2019
w26599 Vincent Pons
Clémence Tricaud

Coordination and Bandwagon Effects of Candidate Rankings: Evidence from Runoff Elections
w26581 Jie Bai
Jiahua Liu

The Impact of Intranational Trade Barriers on Exports: Evidence from a Nationwide VAT Rebate Reform in China
w26572 Caroline Le Pennec
Vincent Pons

Vote Choice Formation and Minimal Effects of TV Debates: Evidence from 62 Elections in Ten OECD Countries
w26567 Leonardo Bursztyn
Georgy Egorov
Ruben Enikolopov
Maria Petrova

Social Media and Xenophobia: Evidence from Russia
w26558 Alessandro Rebucci
Chang Ma

Capital Controls: A Survey of the New Literature
w26555 Dietmar Fehr
Johanna Mollerstrom
Ricardo Perez-Truglia

Your Place in the World: The Demand for National and Global Redistribution
w26544 Edward N. Wolff
Wealth Taxation in the United States
w26530 Zoë B. Cullen
Ricardo Perez-Truglia

The Old Boys' Club: Schmoozing and the Gender Gap
w26529 John F. Helliwell
Measuring and Using Happiness to Support Public Policies
w26523 Sudheer Chava
Alexander Oettl
Manpreet Singh

Does a One-Size-Fits-All Minimum Wage Cause Financial Stress for Small Businesses?
w26519 Simon Jäger
Benjamin Schoefer
Jörg Heining

Labor in the Boardroom
w26518 Benjamin Enke
Thomas Graeber

Cognitive Uncertainty
w26515 Eric Chyn
Kareem Haggag

Moved to Vote: The Long-Run Effects of Neighborhoods on Political Participation
w26487 M. Keith Chen
Kareem Haggag
Devin G. Pope
Ryne Rohla

Racial Disparities in Voting Wait Times: Evidence from Smartphone Data
w26473 Gino Gancia
Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto
Jaume Ventura

A Theory of Economic Unions
w26465 Ricardo Dahis
Emily Nix
Nancy Qian

Choosing Racial Identity in the United States, 1880-1940
w26451 Alessandro Dovis
Rishabh Kirpalani

Rules without Commitment: Reputation and Incentives
w26444 Allan Drazen
Anna Dreber Almenberg
Erkut Y. Ozbay
Erik Snowberg

A Journal-Based Replication of "Being Chosen to Lead"
w26440 Ethan Kaplan
Fernando Saltiel
Sergio S. Urzúa

Voting for Democracy: Chile's Plebiscito and the Electoral Participation of a Generation
w26434 Emily J. Blanchard
Chad P. Bown
Davin Chor

Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?
w26431 Julien Labonne
Sahar Parsa
Pablo Querubín

Political Dynasties, Term Limits and Female Political Empowerment: Evidence from the Philippines
w26414 William J. Collins
Ariell Zimran

Immigrants' Changing Labor Market Assimilation in the United States during the Age of Mass Migration
w26409 Gene M. Grossman
Elhanan Helpman

Electoral Competition with Fake News
w26404 Guillaume R. Fréchette
Alessandro Lizzeri
Jacopo Perego

Rules and Commitment in Communication: an Experimental Analysis
w26388 Thomas Bossuroy
Clara Delavallade
Vincent Pons

Biometric Tracking, Healthcare Provision, and Data Quality: Experimental Evidence from Tuberculosis Control
w26352 Hitoshi Shigeoka
Long-Term Consequences of Growing up in a Recession on Risk Preferences
w26322 Amine Ouazad
Matthew E. Kahn

Mortgage Finance in the Face of Rising Climate Risk
w26321 Rafael Di Tella
Sebastian Galiani
Ernesto Schargrodsky

Persuasive Propaganda during the 2015 Argentine Ballotage
w26303 Alberto Bisin
Giulia Tura

Marriage, Fertility, and Cultural Integration in Italy
w26294 Erica M. Field
Rohini Pande
Natalia Rigol
Simone G. Schaner
Charity Troyer Moore

On Her Own Account: How Strengthening Women's Financial Control Affects Labor Supply and Gender Norms
w26293 Christopher Blattman
Horacio Larreguy
Benjamin Marx
Otis R. Reid

Eat Widely, Vote Wisely? Lessons from a Campaign Against Vote Buying in Uganda
w26287 Matilde Bombardini
Francesco Trebbi

Empirical Models of Lobbying
w26282 Clément de Chaisemartin
Luc Behaghel

Estimating the Effect of Treatments Allocated by Randomized Waiting Lists.
w26247 Michael Geruso
Dean Spears
Ishaana Talesara

Inversions in US Presidential Elections: 1836-2016
w26243 Steven J. Davis
Rising Policy Uncertainty
w26241 Raúl Duarte
Frederico Finan
Horacio Larreguy
Laura Schechter

Brokering Votes With Information Spread Via Social Networks
w26215 Ruixue Jia
Huihua Nie
Wei Xiao

Power and Publications in Chinese Academia
w26213 Dani Rodrik
Putting Global Governance in its Place
w26187 Michael Luca
Deepak Malhotra
Christopher Poliquin

The Impact of Mass Shootings on Gun Policy
w26180 William Morrison
Dmitry Taubinsky

Rules of Thumb and Attention Elasticities: Evidence from Under- and Overreaction to Taxes
w26160 Katherine Casey
Abou Bakarr Kamara
Niccoló Meriggi

An Experiment in Candidate Selection
w26156 Daniel M. Thompson
James J. Feigenbaum
Andrew B. Hall
Jesse Yoder

Who Becomes a Member of Congress? Evidence From De-Anonymized Census Data
w26148 Binkai Chen
Ming Lu
Christopher Timmins
Kuanhu Xiang

Spatial Misallocation: Evaluating Place-Based Policies Using a Natural Experiment in China
w26146 Soren T. Anderson
Ioana Marinescu
Boris Shor

Can Pigou at the Polls Stop Us Melting the Poles?
w26141 Jaume Ventura
Sharing a Government
w26119 Sandro Ambuehl
B. Douglas Bernheim
Axel Ockenfels

Projective Paternalism
w26061 Enrico Spolaore
Commanding Nature by Obeying Her: A Review Essay on Joel Mokyr's A Culture of Growth
w26044 Omar Galárraga
Jeffrey E. Harris

Effect of an Abrupt Change in Sexual and Reproductive Health Policy on Adolescent Birth Rates in Ecuador, 2008-2017
w26029 Michael Bailey
Patrick Farrell
Theresa Kuchler
Johannes Stroebel

Social Connectedness in Urban Areas
w26008 Ruixue Jia
Torsten Persson

Individual vs. Social Motives in Identity Choice: Theory and Evidence from China
w26001 Germán Gutiérrez
Thomas Philippon

The Failure of Free Entry
w25988 Marco Battaglini
Eleonora Patacchini
Edoardo Rainone

Endogenous Social Connections in Legislatures
w25985 Michael J. Boskin
Diego J. Perez
Daniel S. Bennett

The Political Economy of Social Security Reform
w25983 Matias Covarrubias
Germán Gutiérrez
Thomas Philippon

From Good to Bad Concentration? U.S. Industries over the past 30 years
w25980 Samuel Bazzi
Robert A. Blair
Christopher Blattman
Oeindrila Dube
Matthew Gudgeon
Richard Merton Peck

The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
w25967 David Card
Stefano DellaVigna
Patricia Funk
Nagore Iriberri

Are Referees and Editors in Economics Gender Neutral?
w25957 Enrico Spolaore
Romain Wacziarg

Fertility and Modernity
w25949 Laurent Bouton
Jorge Gallego
Aniol Llorente-Saguer
Rebecca Morton

Runoff Elections in the Laboratory
w25941 Jonas Hjort
Diana Moreira
Gautam Rao
Juan Francisco Santini

How Research Affects Policy: Experimental Evidence from 2,150 Brazilian Municipalities
w25925 Filipe R. Campante
Davin Chor
Bingjing Li

The Political Economy Consequences of China's Export Slowdown
w25918 Sylvain Chassang
Christian Zehnder

Secure Survey Design in Organizations: Theory and Experiments
w25916 Brian Knight
Ana Tribin

Opposition Media, State Censorship, and Political Accountability: Evidence from Chavez's Venezuela
w25901 Hanming Fang
Linke Hou
Mingxing Liu
Lixin Colin Xu
Pengfei Zhang

Factions, Local Accountability, and Long-Term Development: Theory and Evidence
w25842 Hunt Allcott
Benjamin Lockwood
Dmitry Taubinsky

Should We Tax Sugar-Sweetened Beverages? An Overview of Theory and Evidence
w25841 Hunt Allcott
Benjamin Lockwood
Dmitry Taubinsky

Regressive Sin Taxes, With an Application to the Optimal Soda Tax
w25839 Chong-En Bai
Chang-Tai Hsieh
Zheng Michael Song

Special Deals with Chinese Characteristics
w25835 Stefano Gagliarducci
M. Daniele Paserman
Eleonora Patacchini

Hurricanes, Climate Change Policies and Electoral Accountability
w25815 Alma Cohen
Moshe Hazan
Roberto Tallarita
David Weiss

The Politics of CEOs
w25770 David Altig
Alan J. Auerbach
Patrick C. Higgins
Darryl R. Koehler
Laurence J. Kotlikoff
Michael Leiseca
Ellyn Terry
Yifan Ye

Did the 2017 Tax Reform Discriminate against Blue State Voters?
w25766 Alberto Ciancio
Camilo García-Jimeno

The Political Economy of Immigration Enforcement: Conflict and Cooperation under Federalism
w25724 Pedro Dal Bó
Andrew Foster
Kenju Kamei

The Democracy Effect: a Weights-Based Identification Strategy
w25717 Patrick Bolton
Tao Li
Enrichetta Ravina
Howard L. Rosenthal

Investor Ideology
w25716 Christian Dippel
Michael Poyker

How Common are Electoral Cycles in Criminal Sentencing?
w25715 Christian Dippel
Michael Poyker

Do Private Prisons Affect Criminal Sentencing?
w25705 Rafael Di Tella
Dani Rodrik

Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys
w25697 Raquel Fernández
Sahar Parsa
Martina Viarengo

Coming out in America: AIDS, Politics, and Cultural Change
w25693 David Atkin
Eve Colson-Sihra
Moses Shayo

How Do We Choose Our Identity? A Revealed Preference Approach Using Food Consumption
w25683 Samuel Bazzi
Arya Gaduh
Alexander D. Rothenberg
Maisy Wong

Unity in Diversity? How Intergroup Contact Can Foster Nation Building
w25678 Jonathan I. Dingel
Antonio Miscio
Donald R. Davis

Cities, Lights, and Skills in Developing Economies
w25664 Marco Battaglini
Coalition Formation in Legislative Bargaining
w25637 Luigi Butera
Robert Metcalfe
William Morrison
Dmitry Taubinsky

The Deadweight Loss of Social Recognition
w25622 Ricardo Perez-Truglia
The Effects of Income Transparency on Well-Being: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
w25601 Christian Dippel
Political Parties Do Matter in U.S. Cities ... For Their Unfunded Pensions
w25589 Vivi Alatas
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Markus Mobius
Benjamin A. Olken
Cindy Paladines

When Celebrities Speak: A Nationwide Twitter Experiment Promoting Vaccination In Indonesia
w25581 Julio J. Elias
Nicola Lacetera
Mario Macis

Paying for Kidneys? A Randomized Survey and Choice Experiment
w25575 Timothy Besley
Anders Jensen
Torsten Persson

Norms, Enforcement, and Tax Evasion
w25562 Alberto Alesina
Elie Murard
Hillel Rapoport

Immigration and Preferences for Redistribution in Europe
w25535 Gaia Dossi
David N. Figlio
Paola Giuliano
Paola Sapienza

Born in the Family: Preferences for Boys and the Gender Gap in Math
w25534 Alberto Alesina
Sebastian Hohmann
Stelios Michalopoulos
Elias Papaioannou

Intergenerational Mobility in Africa
w25522 Enrico Cantoni
Vincent Pons

Strict ID Laws Don't Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008-2018
w25514 Hunt Allcott
Luca Braghieri
Sarah Eichmeyer
Matthew Gentzkow

The Welfare Effects of Social Media
w25510 Alessandra Casella
Luis Sanchez

Storable Votes and Quadratic Voting. An Experiment on Four California Propositions
w25508 Robert J. Barro
Brian Wheaton

Incorporation, and Productivity
w25506 Garance Genicot
Tolerance and Compromise in Social Networks
w25503 Francesco Maria Esposito
Diego Focanti
Justine S. Hastings

Effects of Photo ID Laws on Registration and Turnout: Evidence from Rhode Island
w25501 Klenio Barbosa
Fernando V. Ferreira

Occupy Government: Democracy and the Dynamics of Personnel Decisions and Public Finances
w25500 Hunt Allcott
Matthew Gentzkow
Chuan Yu

Trends in the Diffusion of Misinformation on Social Media
w25497 Abhijit Banerjee
Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Markus Mobius

Naive Learning with Uninformed Agents
w25490 Guillaume Blanc
Romain Wacziarg

Change and Persistence in the Age of Modernization: Saint-Germain-d'Anxure 1730-1895
w25463 Marina Halac
Pierre Yared

Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Limited Enforcement
w25430 Stelios Michalopoulos
Melanie Meng Xue

Folklore

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